Grammy Thoughts & Predictions

Watching the Grammys is about as entertaining as watching Lost. You end up feeling robbed of precious time and may be a bit dumber as a result.

At least the Grammys has the possibility of an egocentric Kanye West rant about how he is the greatest entertainer of all time.

Although I won't be watching it's always worth checking out the odds to look for some value. Sportsbook.com released odds for five of the awards so I thought I'd give my thoughts on who I think will win, who should win and some possible dark horses.

BEST ROCK ALBUM:

Coldplay (Viva La Vida) -200  
        
Kid Rock (Rock N Roll Jesus) +700
        
Kings Of Leon (Only By The Night) +500
        
Metallica (Death Magnetic) +300
        
The Raconteurs (Consolers Of The Lonely) +1000

- Kid Rock, are you kidding me? How do you get nominated for Rock Album of the Year when your single is a bad rip off? The
other four nominees brought us solid albums but having Kid Rock nominated is just ridiculous. How about some recognition for
some lesser known bands that are coming out with good music like MGMT, Fleet Foxes or The Black Keys. I'm sure you guys could
pile more to the list as well. I just wish these awards shows would start to recognize bands who don't get the commercial success but are putting out better quality albums.

WILL WIN: COLDPLAY

SHOULD WIN: THE RACONTEURS


BEST RAP ALBUM:

Jay-Z (American Gangster) +700
        
Lil Wayne (Tha Carter III) -400
        
Lupe Fiasco (The Cool) +1500

Nas (Nas) +1500
        
TI (Paper Trail) +300

Pretty much what you would expect here. Jay-Z gets the nod by reputation alone in this one though. American Gangster was a
decent album but why not throw some love to Q-Tip for "The Renaissance" (Possibly the best Rap Album of 2008) or The Roots
for "Rising Down". Honourable mention to Ice Cube for "Raw Footage". Can't say I'm a huge Lil Wayne fan but this might be his
first album I would purchase.

WILL WIN: LIL WAYNE

SHOULD WIN: LIL WAYNE

DARK HORSE: NAS (Probably the best as far as lyrics are concerned)


RECORD OF THE YEAR:

Adele (Chasing Pavements) +600
        
Cold Play (Viva La Vida) +150
        
Leona Lewis (Bleeding Love) +125
        
M.I.A (Paper Planes) +400
        
R Plant & A Krauss (Please Read the Letter) +800

Ouch! Can't say that I'm a huge fan of any of these although "Paper Planes" is definitely one of those songs I can't get out of my head after hearing it on the radio.

WILL WIN: LEONA LEWIS (At least Greyhound will be happy)

SHOULD WIN: M.I.A.


SONG OF THE YEAR:  

Adele (Chasing Pavements) +600
        
Coldplay (Viva La Vida) -250
        
Estelle (American Boy) +800
        
Jason Mraz (I am Yours) +800
        
Sara Bareilles (Love Song) +500

Once again, not an outstanding list but what can you do? I wouldn't even say that "Viva La Vida" was the best song off of Coldplay's album. I have to say that "American Boy" would be my pick.  

WILL WIN: COLDPLAY

SHOULD WIN: ESTELLE


ALBUM OF THE YEAR:  

Coldplay (Viva La Vida or Death & All His Friends) -150
        
Lil Wayne (Tha Carter III) +175

Ne Yo (Year of Gentleman) +1200
        
R Plant & A Krauss (Raising Sand) +500
        
Radiohead (In Rainbows) +800

This is the category that gets interesting every year. Remember Herbie Hancock winning as a +1400 dog last year? This award
always seems to provide the best chance for an upset. There could be some good value in throwing down some cash on Robert Plant and Alison Krauss. The Recording Academy loves to give awards to Krauss and having Robert Plant with her certainly isn't going to hurt.

WILL WIN: LIL WAYNE (This guy was everywhere. I'm pretty sure that if I recorded a song he would have wanted a few bars)

SHOULD WIN: RADIOHEAD

DARK HORSE: ROBERT PLANT & ALISON KRAUSS


Who do you think takes home the awards? And if you have some albums that you recommend please feel free to list them.

Enjoy the show... if you have nothing better to do.

You can get Song of Yr at +125 for Coldplay at the Greek!!!

Not a bad night, close to $1K profit.    Cleaned up on Rock LP, Song, LP (not as much as I should).

Damn, wish I had made deposit to Sportsbook and wager on Plant/Krauss for LP at +500 last nite.  It went down to +185 this morning and think ended up at fav odds.  Actually made fun bet on Record on RP/AK at +700.  Should have bet more as this was likely going to be their nite going in.  Should have bet on Adele for New Artist too. 

Safe to say bookies lost HUGE on LP!!!