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Pocono Discussion

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Posted: #1
lines from 5 dimes
 
Pennsylvania 500
Fri 7/31  12:00PM (EST)
 
Jimmie Johnson       +550   
Tony Stewart       +650   
Mark Martin       +750   
Denny Hamlin       +875   
Jeff Gordon       +875   
Kyle Busch       +1100   
Carl Edwards       +1150   
Kurt Busch       +1300   
Kasey Kahne       +1600   
Greg Biffle       +1650   
Ryan Newman       +2600   
Juan Montoya       +2650   
Brian Vickers       +2700   
Matt Kenseth       +2800   
Dale Earnhardt Jr       +3200   
Clint Bowyer       +3300   
Kevin Harvick       +4200   
David Reutimann       +4500   
Joey Lagano       +5200   
Jeff Burton       +5200   
 
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Posted: #2
wow, looks like we have a few value plays this week. I like Reuti @ +4500 (finish 3rd or 4th here last time and has run awesome on flat tracks this year) JR @ +3200, (running the same car as last week, car was solid at Indy), vickers +2700, (always runs good here, should have won here a few times)
 
Can't go wrong with Kahne +1600, Edwards +1100 or Hamlin @ +875. Definately playing the 1st 3 value plays I listed and probably someone from here also, with that said, watch Tony will win this again.
 
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Posted: #3
Vickers is the best value play there IMO.  he is going to win one of these things real soon.  Kahne's odds are very nice as well.
 
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Posted: #4
I'm not over last week yet.
 
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Posted: #5
i like hamlin

hopefully his engine starts this time

 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

I'm not over last week yet.

 

that was one of the toughtest beats all year, he had the race won hands down, no one had anything for him all day. pisses me off thinking about it.

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by PennStateMan077:

i like hamlin

hopefully his engine starts this time

 

had him for a decent wager last time, he was the car to beat per the guys in the garage..... too bad the car wouldn't run to give him a chance at it.

 
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Posted: #8
also i like the fords as usual.. i got a gut feeling say biff or edwards finally get a W

 
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Posted: #9
Like Kahne !
 
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Posted: #10
First off, I'm with you Clepto (WTF)
Early lean on Carl Edwards. He's been getting better each week and even last weeks finish was pretty good considering he started 40th. With a win and Top 10 in 2008 and a 2nd this year here, this could be the place he cracks a win. +1150 can only go down
Kahne will get a little play from me as well fella's
Gotta pass on Vickers with 4 outta the last 5 at Pocono 21st or worse. I like him better at Daytone and Dega
With only 2 of us left, I have Newman and they have Vicker's this week in the Survivor Pool. Any thought's on a Top 20 outta Newman?
 
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Posted: #11
goggs,
 
you should just split that shit, still pay you over 2 bills if im not mistaken.... lock in the profit + than we can start rd 3 
 
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Posted: #12
newman should run top 20, unless the car breaks , same for vickers.
 
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Posted: #13
I agree also don't see the 39 team taking alot of chances this weekend as they want to hold that chase spot.
 
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Posted: #14
JJ will be the man to beat again fellas.
Just can't play a +550 favorite.
As I look down the board I see a little value with Edwards at +1150
Also like Hamlin here but his mojo has sucked lately..... but if there was ever a place for him to get it turned around this would be it. Still not a ton of value imo at +875 for a guy that has been struggling.
 
Tough loss for all the JPM backers last week...... Could he possibly be a sleeper here at +2650? Hmmmmmmmmm.
 
Googles, don't split it....Newman loves Pocono and Im sure he took some pointers from the ol Bossman who just happened to win it last time..
 
 
 
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Posted: #15
I agree Tree.  If nothing happens to Newman he should secure a top 20.  problem being Pocono has been about fuel mileage and that could be the one factor that stirs the pot.  BUT, if he runs well and does like the track. 
 
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Posted: #16
Montoya finished 8th here last time around which was by far his best finish there ever.  He is running well should be good again.  I just know between, Edwards, Martin, Johnson, Stewart and Gordon you are looking at your race winner bewteen them.
 
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Posted: #17
hendrick engines looked strong in practice 1 taking 6 of top 7 spots
 
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Posted: #18
qualifying rained out
 
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Posted: #19
Do we really need 2 Pocono races? I mean seriously, give Vegas another date and scrap this boring race with guaranteed rain BS. Only good news is Petty and the TNT crew won't be cackling all F'N race.
 
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Posted: #20
vegas 2 races yes I agree
 
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Posted: #21
Or Kentucky should get a race.  That 5 car is going to be on a rail this weekend though he has some catching up to do. 
 
 
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Posted: #22
Tony will win this week...no real value. 2 wins this year when rained out qualifying...GL on your wagers. Bet some long shots and throw Tony in to cover..
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by BigPapa21:

Tony will win this week...no real value. 2 wins this year when rained out qualifying...GL on your wagers. Bet some long shots and throw Tony in to cover..

 

bol Papa but Smoke not winning on Sunday imo.

He's been struggling so far this weekend.

 

 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by TREE88:

 

bol Papa but Smoke not winning on Sunday imo.

He's been struggling so far this weekend.

 

I hear ya starting in the back wit a back up car.

 
 
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Posted: #25
well last time I said Tony couldn't win and he did so I will keep my mouth shut.  I still believe the 5 car is the car to beat after what happened to him at Indy.
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