Lets test this theory out: It's called, me verse Vegas
These 3 games are the heaviest on public money, if u expect these 3 to win and cover the spread, you know nothing about betting NBA. I doubt 2 out of the 3 will even cover, no way Vegas takes this much of a loss. Public on Green, Vegas on Red, of the following 3 how many do you expect to cover? My best guess is 1. Which one of the three will cover my best guess is either Boston -4 or Chi -3. Out of the two Im gonna go with Chi-3 because they are the better team against NYK and have an away record of (21-7).
Chicago -3 (89%) vs NYK +3 (chi won last 1, ats won last 1)
Phi +4 vs Boston -4 (90%) (bos won last 1, ats won last 1)
Toronto +13 vs OKC -13 (88%) (okc lost last 3, ats loss last 3)
Bostons O/U Line is set at 176.5 (public heavily on the over) Boston usually plays D at home and they trend Under for the most part but 176.5 seems rather low. Im going to guess that Phi +4 covers this game and goes over to balance the book out.
For the toronto v OKC game, im going to guess that OKC does not cover but wins and goes over 197 to balance this game out
For these first three mentioned the line up is.
Chi - 3 under 184.5
Phi +4 over 176.5
Tor +13 over 197
However, I could be wrong with Chi - 3 and NYK covers, but i'll find that out since the Chicago game is first on the line up. If NYK covers im going with Boston -4. If Boston doesen't cover OKC -13 is the play but i highly doubt that out of Chi/Bos one of them don't cover in favor of the public.
Cleveland +7 (65%) vs NJN -7
I don't know why public is on Cleveland, they suck, honestly they are worse than the bobcats. Im gonna side with Vegas again and take NJN - 7. (NJN is 6-4 ATS L10) (Cavs are 3-7 ATS L10, Cavs are also 1-9 SU L10)
Det +12.5 (57%) vs Miami -12.5
This game is not heavily sided, i'm going to roll with Det +12.5. Miami is (4-6 ATS L10) coming off a loss against Memphis NOT covering the spread. DET is 5-5 ATS L10. Last meetup with Miami was a Loss covering the spread.
Utah +10 vs SAS -10 (60%)
Utah is 9-19 Away also lost to the spurs on feb 20, going with Public on SAS -10 (SAS also on a 10 game rolling win)(SAS is 8-1-1 ATS L10 coming off a win) (Jazz is 6-4 ATS L10, Jazz Won 4-6 L10 SU coming off a win)
Hou vs SAC (no line yet)
Final card.
Chi - 3 under 184.5
Phi +4 over 176.5
Tor +13 over 197
NJN -7 over 193
Det +12.5 under 189.5
SAS -10 under 210
Post your hater comments below