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(25-12) NBA: 12/28

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Posted: #1
Yesterday (2-1)
(25-12) Overall  67.5%
Let's keep that record over 60% on the season and take a vacation in July after the Cavs go B2B in the finals!


I really enjoyed the discussion yesterday so I wanted to post early again and encourage anyone and everyone to share your thoughts! Only half of the lines up right now, but lets get a head start.

Today's Leans (NOT PLAYS!):

Pacers @ WizKidz -4.5

Wizards seem to be on a tear as of late. Driven by consistent scoring from Bradley Beal, great facilitation from John Wall, and an OPJ who showed up big last game against the Bucks. With Ellis and Stuckey out for the Pacers, I think John Wall and the crew continue to roll. I love this team right now and think they have the potential to be in the middle of the pack for the Eastern Conference. Gortat also having a great year. Pacers are horrific on the road and the Wizards are great at home.

Raptors +9.5 @ Warriors

I think 9.5 is way too much for the Warriors to lay in this matchup. Toronto clearly the second best team in the East right now and the Warriors are off of a demoralizing loss. Raptors can hang with anyone and are great on the road (8-6 ATS), (6-3 ATS as underdog).

Suns @ Spurs o214

Let me know what you guys think!
 
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Posted: #2
9.5 is insane, that will be my top play this evening

spurs are not the spurs of old, they play up pace and suns may have the worst defense in the nba - as long as the suns can get to 100 points it will cover

I actually like the over more in the wiz game (for whatever reason im tired of sweating the last second of every wiz game bad and good and i can see pacers losing by 3-4 or something ridiculous) but i capped this total closer to 218-219 so i would play that over spread
 
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Posted: #3
Good luck 


Your killing it man
 
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Posted: #4
 bol 
 
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Posted: #5
whats your insights on pistons and bucks? who do you think is more favorable here id like to hear 
 
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What you think about Knicks:Hawks game?
 
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Posted: #7
+9.5 is too much for the raptors. I can't remember the last time when a top 4 team in the league was given 5+ points
 
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You're right Harris, it always seems like it comes down to who has the ball last for Wizards to cover. Over is something to take a look at with Pacers playing a fast pace tempo. 
Kush
Jero

Bucks have struggled in their last few games and are poor on the road. I really think Detroit is a terrible team in shambles right now and if I had to chose one, I'd definitely take the Bucks +3. I'll have to look at it more though. 

Knick's @ Hawks. Been waiting for this line to come up on my book. I love the Hawks tonight. Knicks only play well at home and even then, they still lose to teams that they shouldn't. Hawks are still trying to figure out their identity without Teague and Horford. I love the Hawks tonight at -3.5 tonight. Will almost certainly be on them tonight.

I'm starting to like this young T-WOLVES team. I love Thibs and think he is a perfect fit for this roster. Nuggets aren't impressing me here. Barely beat a minimal Clips team and lost to Hawks and Clips a week ago. I love the wolves +4 here
 
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Quote Originally Posted by SteveStewins:

+9.5 is too much for the raptors. I can't remember the last time when a top 4 team in the league was given 5+ points
could not agree with you more. Raps always play Warriors tough. Last 3 meetING GS only won by 6, 3, and 5, respectively. And all three were a shoot out. Raps playing with pep in their step and I think the Warriors feel a sense of urgency after the Cavs loss and may be a bit demoralized
 
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Posted: #10
Love the Wiz kids at home, playing with extreme confidence and great chemistry as of late. The guard of play will be huge. George isn't getting any extra calls either after his rant couple days ago.

Wiz by DD, like 1Q play as well.
 
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Today's Plays (locked in):

Pacers @ WizKidz -5

Hornets -4 @ Magic

Knicks @ Hawks -3.5

TWolves +4 @ Nugs

Raptor +9.5 @ Warriors


GL to all tonight and lets get that Bread!!!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by BigBoiHarris:

9.5 is insane, that will be my top play this evening

Not sure I'd call -9.5 insane. Last 5 home games for the warriors, they won all 5 by:
15, 45, 30, 29, 36

Not exactly the team I'd want to take on at their house after a rare loss that had 2 days to practice.
 
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Posted: #13
gl
 
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Posted: #14
OP- When do you usually finalize your picks for game days? 

Started tailing you a few days back!
 
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Posted: #15
took 2 of your plays and teased them ..............thanks for posting
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by gofish3:


Not sure I'd call -9.5 insane. Last 5 home games for the warriors, they won all 5 by:
15, 45, 30, 29, 36

Not exactly the team I'd want to take on at their house after a rare loss that had 2 days to practice.
Raps have lost 3 on the road all season and are playing the best they ever have. Warriors haven't beat Raps by more than 6 in 2 years. Best win out of those 5 wins you are describing was against a beat up Utah team...Go one more home game back and it's a Loss. 9.5 is a lot
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by gofish3:


Not sure I'd call -9.5 insane. Last 5 home games for the warriors, they won all 5 by:
15, 45, 30, 29, 36

Not exactly the team I'd want to take on at their house after a rare loss that had 2 days to practice.

you do know that was againstt the jazz, knicks, blazers, suns and pacers???


 
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Quote Originally Posted by SteveStewins:

OP- When do you usually finalize your picks for game days? 

Started tailing you a few days back!
Usually an hour before tip, but if I'm busy at work, I could post early. Also, if I feel a line will move (in the wrong direction for my play) I'll grab it when I see it

Thanks Wes, good luck man!
 
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Posted: #19
also, toronto has never lost by dd yet this year...
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by BigBoiHarris:


you do know that was againstt the jazz, knicks, blazers, suns and pacers???


glad we're on the same page. Same post same time haha
 
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Posted: #21
I personally stay away from over on any spurs game. Just me. I like wiz -5 ....also taking magic/char over 205
 
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Posted: #22
Is Lillard out again? If so im thinking kings...they been clicking too well lately
 
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Posted: #23
GSW loss 2015 on christmas .... 
CAVs won on Christmas 2015 then played following day and L
Fast Forward 2016 
Cavs won on Christmas 2016 and played the following day and L
GSW in 2015 had 3-4 days rest after Christmas defeat and they SMASHED the next oponent by like 20ish
i like them to smash Tor today 
 
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Posted: #24
Atl should be able to handle things now. Melo got ejected 6 mins left in 2nd quarter 
 
 
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