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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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Posted: #801
Wilson 111-129-0  ...would be perfect fade material all yr long if he went 11-129-0  ... i'd own just as many properties an women as B Dbag
 
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Posted: #802
i did see some action on those games early in tne day ridibits, but with everyone and their mother bashing my picks if they don't match their own rlm picks, i'm reluctant to post those types of moves. if you check out pages 29-31 you'll see what i mean.

   also i thought the memphis line had more to do with cp3 being out and not pushing the pace. i saw charlotte as a possible play, but i hate betting against my celtics
 
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Posted: #803
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

i did see some action on those games early in tne day ridibits, but with everyone and their mother bashing my picks 

Not I McFly 

Win or lose I think you're a pretty good guy...
 
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Posted: #804

Quote Originally Posted by FadeAndLay4:

I'll do my best to explain and I will try to post some plays if I have time, not sure of you can follow me but I will do my best to help. Here's a list or rules for the angle.
1. Never go all in, this angle will win in the long run and be profitable.
2. Check Trends, if anyone is over 80% move on to Top Bets
3. If team A(80%+) is in the top 10, and Team B (20%-) is outside top 10 move on.
4. Check the line history, if the line holds or RLM then we follow.
5. Lastly lets check the Moneyline on small spreads, if there is not overwhelming support for Team B, the angle had been set and Vegas is reeling in squares.
6. Lastly about a half hour before game starts lets double check all numbers to ensure nothing changed.
7. Lock in on Team B and fade the public wisely.

Final note... Understand most of these games you will question the pick... It may seem so stupid but in the end... It cashes. I'll try my beet to keep up with this forum. Good luck folks.

Trinni I really love your thread, thanks for the time and effort. Fade, I have a question on your above post. For number 3, I am assuming this means if the B team (Non Public) is outside the top 10 plays, we move on, meaning we continue to pursue this as a play.  Just want to make sure you did not mean move on as in "not bet it."

Trinni, I downloaded the S & O app, and would like to learn to spot these on my own.  So, looking at today so far, I see the following:

86% on IND over CHA Line Move -8 -105 to -8 -110

71% on BKN over TOR Line Move -7 100 to -7 -110

75% on LAK over MIL Line Move -6.5 to -6

So to me, it looks like MIL would be the strongest RLM play.  Lakers listed as #4 of top 10 plays as well. 

And how about this one?

65% on PHI over NOH Line Move -3.5 -105 to -3 even.

So again, higher percentage on PHI, but line moves in there favor.  Would you look at NOH as a possible play even with only 65% on PHI?  PHI listed as top number 1 play as well.

Thanks in advance for any and all help.

 

 

 
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Posted: #805
Seems to me Rockets is a good play. Its almost 50/50 in bets but the line has moved from -1,5 to -3 on Rockets. Has to be some big dough on them + some good random average joes, whats your take on that?
 
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Posted: #806
thatnks for following lmac... the indy, brooklyn stats you have listed are no where near enough for me to call it a pick. a little juice movement isn't enough. some people play lines that never even move if the percentages are enough... i'm still testing out those out on the side...

lakers and hornets games are looking good for now, don't want to call them too early though
 
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Posted: #807
Hey trini! This thread got too long and I couldn't find the post where you mentioned the ONLY opening line site to follow...can you post it for me? Thanks man! BOL
 
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Posted: #808
the only 2 i use are scores and odd.com and sportsbookspy.com... sportsbook spy compiles info from mutiple books
 
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Posted: #809
you could have a point ulwen, but i personally wouldn't touch it at those numbers... at least not as an rlm play
 
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Posted: #810
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

the only 2 i use are scores and odd.com and sportsbookspy.com... sportsbook spy compiles info from mutiple books

Great stuff thanks! 
 
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Posted: #811
Thecreighton line went from -13.5 to -11 with 93% of the money and 82% on the side of Creighton. If this isn't a perfect fit for a RLM game I dunno what is.  
 
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Posted: #812

Thanks Trini, last question and I'll leave you alone!  When you said Lakers game, you would only be considering Mil as the play right? 

And what are some good signs that you look for as it gets closer to tip off?

 
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Posted: #813
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

Thecreighton line went from -13.5 to -11 with 93% of the money and 82% on the side of Creighton. If this isn't a perfect fit for a RLM game I dunno what is.  

 
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Posted: #814
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

Thecreighton line went from -13.5 to -11 with 93% of the money and 82% on the side of Creighton. If this isn't a perfect fit for a RLM game I dunno what is.  


yep go with iowa
 
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Posted: #815
I appreciate the sharing and talking of plays in this thread bear in mind im not against u trini i think you are a decent guy.we see rlm differently thats fine im not gonna bash u feel free to post whatever plays u want. i think you should encourage sharing more tho. The more people that post the better. gl
 
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Posted: #816
i'm with you on that 'thebest'
 
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Posted: #817
yes jmac, i would be on mil... but lakers have been killing me in rlm plays... maybe too much hollywood money, not sharp money... not sure
 
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Posted: #818
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

yes jmac, i would be on mil... but lakers have been killing me in rlm plays... maybe too much hollywood money, not sharp money... not sure


i went and pulled the trig. im chasing my loss from the last RLM on the lakers. they gotta lose sometime or another right? mil is 11-6 away ATS vs lakers 9-11 home ATS.
 
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Posted: #819
Trini, 

First time checking out the system myself. Is it safe to say:

Pacer Under 70% - line moving up - over the play? Or too low of a percentage?

Creighton Spread 76% - line moving down - north. Iowa the play? 
 
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Posted: #820
what do u guys think about this new orleans phili line looks like a possible play
 
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Posted: #821
which one best, o/u or hornets... both were looking like plays earlier in the day... looks like the bets on each team are evening out
 
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Posted: #822
north iowa a play?
 
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Posted: #823
bobby, iowa looks like the strongest rlm play of the day, but maybe a player is out and that's why the line moved... such a small market game, i don't know where to get that info. i know vegas does
 
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Posted: #824
shout out to cmonet for comming over from my original nfl, rlm thread...
 
 
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Posted: #825
Rockets-3 Bucks+6 locked in...Considering Denver-9 any thoughts fellas?
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