lost a unit last night, i think its the first losing day since i started this thread.... with that said i think from here on out thursdays willl be off days. Thursdays marquee matchups draw the public into watching as its the NBA featured night..... I'm not saying the games are rigged in anyway but I am going to lay off these nights (refs were bad in that game but clippers didnt really show up for a whole half)... okay back to what matters in the next post!
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lost a unit last night, i think its the first losing day since i started this thread.... with that said i think from here on out thursdays willl be off days. Thursdays marquee matchups draw the public into watching as its the NBA featured night..... I'm not saying the games are rigged in anyway but I am going to lay off these nights (refs were bad in that game but clippers didnt really show up for a whole half)... okay back to what matters in the next post!
hey guys didnt get to play or post anything tonight, got called into work....
there would have been 3 plays today (philly 1x, NO .25x, and sac .5x) so could've been a small plus day. glad we didnt miss a big day! obviously wont count those plays in the record just wanted to share..
I'll be back tomorrow with the plays around noon, we are going to get at least our +2 units tomorrow to put us up 5 for the week!
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hey guys didnt get to play or post anything tonight, got called into work....
there would have been 3 plays today (philly 1x, NO .25x, and sac .5x) so could've been a small plus day. glad we didnt miss a big day! obviously wont count those plays in the record just wanted to share..
I'll be back tomorrow with the plays around noon, we are going to get at least our +2 units tomorrow to put us up 5 for the week!
Would be nice to see some reasoning behind your picks. I saw what you explained on previous page: the model consists of a blend of personal overall rankings per team and
statistics that i have incorporated into an algorithm to "line" my own
games
It actually means that you use certain statistics, but what else do you also take into consideration? It's good that your picks aren't purely statistically based.
You got my attention, will check you picks latter.
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Good set of results amoney
Would be nice to see some reasoning behind your picks. I saw what you explained on previous page: the model consists of a blend of personal overall rankings per team and
statistics that i have incorporated into an algorithm to "line" my own
games
It actually means that you use certain statistics, but what else do you also take into consideration? It's good that your picks aren't purely statistically based.
You got my attention, will check you picks latter.
as for reasoning i think that sentence you quoted defines my reasoning. If asking how the unit sizes are picked, they are based on the calculated advantage vs the books line.
As for the rankings, i would say they are numbers based.... ie/ strength of schedule and point diff. some what like holligers team rankings (in fact i use those and an other set of rankings to compare mine to).
In its purest form anyone could take the difference of say the holliger ranking and create a line for that game... for instance holligers houston rank - portland rank = 0.01 and this game could easily be seen as pk.... however its not the real spread is hou -5, thats where the rest of the model comes into play...
personally i have this game lined at hou -3.6 (a small advantage that doesnt warrant a play).
i may have went off on a tangent here but i hope this helps in some way haha.
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hey Gandra,
as for reasoning i think that sentence you quoted defines my reasoning. If asking how the unit sizes are picked, they are based on the calculated advantage vs the books line.
As for the rankings, i would say they are numbers based.... ie/ strength of schedule and point diff. some what like holligers team rankings (in fact i use those and an other set of rankings to compare mine to).
In its purest form anyone could take the difference of say the holliger ranking and create a line for that game... for instance holligers houston rank - portland rank = 0.01 and this game could easily be seen as pk.... however its not the real spread is hou -5, thats where the rest of the model comes into play...
personally i have this game lined at hou -3.6 (a small advantage that doesnt warrant a play).
i may have went off on a tangent here but i hope this helps in some way haha.
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