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accuscore system picks 11-27

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Posted: #1
figure ill help out cmw5123 early incase a game comes off the board like two nights ago. i just check ats and totals, not moneylines.
today the plays are

LAL over 199
det -4
GSW under 207.5

cmw5123 can correct me if im wrong but i think the fade plays if you want to play them are 

mia u197
SAS +2.5
phi over 207

i have fade plays at 35% or less. so to reiterate, these plays are what you should be playing if you are fading accuscore.

the two games accuscore does not have a projection on are 
por vs pho 
atl vs hou
 
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Posted: #2
love seeing all you guys working together to help each other out.  GL to you all tonight! 
 
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Posted: #3
Hey Rid, the threshholds are at 70% and 30%...thanks for posting dude.
 
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Posted: #4
ya i know the 70% those 3 are plays. 

if the fades are 30% then the only play is the mia u197
 
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Posted: #5
BOL man!!!! 
 
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Posted: #6
 
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Posted: #7
So do we fade the Miami under & take the Miami Over? The play is Miami over.
 
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Posted: #8
Btw thanks so much for posting early Ridibets.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by ridibets:

ya i know the 70% those 3 are plays. 

if the fades are 30% then the only play is the mia u197
That's right...
MIA/CLE Under 196.5 (89%)
DET -4 (86%)
LAL/BKN Over 199 (80%)
Bucks Underdog MoneyLine (78.5%)

 
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Posted: #10
Predicted score detroit/chicago 94.3 to 90.8.....wouldn't that put Bulls at +4 the play?
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by F1rstdegree:

Predicted score detroit/chicago 94.3 to 90.8.....wouldn't that put Bulls at +4 the play?
You're correct - the forecast and spread have both been changed, now at 3.5.
 
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Posted: #12
Accuscore has GSW at 207 and line is 204 now. Proceed with caution.
In this case going OVER is the right play, because if the line has dropped pass accuscore prediction they would predict accordingly that means OVER. 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by FiftyTwoPercent:

Accuscore has GSW at 207 and line is 204 now. Proceed with caution.
In this case going OVER is the right play, because if the line has dropped pass accuscore prediction they would predict accordingly that means OVER. 
nice pickup - You're correct here too - this and the Det/Chi lines projections (and thus the picks) have changed since this morning...Best to wait until this evening before pulling the trigger on any wagers. 
 
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Posted: #14
Detroit line is correct, book it now. Detroit is at -5 based on their prediction and the line is -3.5. Dallas game now is at 205, i wouldn't think it will jump over 207. So book Over according to the current line, if it moves over 208 then their prediction is 207 meaning UNDER. 
 
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Posted: #15
I don't know about the Fades, but right now you can book in OVER.LAL 200 and DET -3.5
The last one would be DAL/GSW total is sitting at 205 and their prediction is at 207.
These are all over 80%. Watch DAL/GSW lines closely and pick accordingly.
Yesterday, I draw the line at 65% and got NO, and UNDER.NO. right. thats a 2-1 day. Except for that last shot by LAMB on ORL lost me the UNDER 199.5.
For now if you want to book it go with the OVER DAL/GSW
 
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Posted: #16
here's a interesting AS trend:
When these two teams have gone UNDER in the simulations, AS has predicted the total correctly 75% of the time,
CATEGORYLA LakersBrooklyn Nets
LINERightWRONGPNPACC
Over in Simulations31075.00%
Over in Simulations62075.00%
 
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Posted: #17
so the correct plays are
LAL over 200
Det -3
Dal over 205
TIA
 
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Posted: #18
I've been following this thread, very good info. The question I have for those that have the accuscore access. Are there predictions always about 2 or 3 points from the line or do you sometimes see a # off by 8 or 10 points and if you do get that, is the winning % about the same or quite abit higher? Thanks for sharing, keep up the good work.
 
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Posted: #19
Like the Un Mia and Ov Lal picks. Be careful with Det cux Bulls just came off a few losses.
 
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Posted: #20
you know guys, when it comes to changing lines, i think you should take the play against the original line, if you dont catch that line and it has moved considerably to actually make it an opposite play you should just pass. this is just my opinion. 
if youre following a system like this which accuscore bases their predictions against the opening line. the GSW opening line was 207.5 - 208. and now its 205 to make the play over. do you really think its going to middle at 206-207? 
so either make it a no play or stick with the under. youre not going to win them all so win or lose i think the under is the play at 205 or a no play.
 
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Posted: #21
The same thing has happened with the Bulls/Detroit game.  The original play was Bulls +4 which I locked in this morning when I went through the games.
 
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Posted: #22
it was never bulls +4. if you look at the stars and not the projected score they projected line was det -5, and the play was det -4. i know the projected score was contradicting that but i think you are suppose to take what they predict and not follow the projected final score although it does make you wondering how they come up with the projected score.
 
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Posted: #23
The plays were a 3 pointer from going3-0...Guys,I've also had success splitting the wagers for example playing Lakers over 1st half.I don't do it on every pick..just the ones I like.Appreciate this thread..Lets beat the books tonightalso teasing games I like with these picks.
 
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Posted: #24
I was talking about last night..a 3 pointer from going3-0..Could u post the college basket picks on CBB forum or are they worth posting?
 
 
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Posted: #25
Yeah it most certainly is contradicting.......I know from the start of this system the Totals have been much more consistent.....I am locked in for Chicago and will let it ride but will monitor these closely now that I have access as well.
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