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any value left 102909

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Sharing is Caring
 
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GL Ax, you're going to help pay our bills this season
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:

Yeah, small action wager 1/20th Unit. 

caveat: From a value standpoint, there is absolutely no value whatsoever on this or on the over.  I'm just playing for the action.  I too am an action junkie at times.  LOL

How about them C's.  Can't bet on them since I'm such a Homer. 

BOL pal



Celtics are off to a good start this year. I can't bet on them either, always ends up bad for me. lol like last year. But yeah bol bro for this year!
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:

Creepa actually makes a decent point regarding reliance on B2B situations on his post.  This early in the season, it's difficult to wager on situational analysis, fundamental analysis or statistical analysis.  We're flying blind gents.  That's why, as I've said heretofore, I rely heavily on trending this part of the season.  Let the books do all the capping for you and just play against their numbers.  I like to use last 3 seasons as a sample.  Trending alone is not a great capping strategy but it's a guessing game right now.

 



You make some very  valid points about situational handicapping. You say trends are not a great capping strategy. You are absolutely right. Just scrolling up and down some of your threads in the NBA forum i notice that you are very knowledgeable  on the value of a point spread.  That is my motto exactly.Obviously you have probably done very well for yourself over the years.

The only thing we don't see eye to eye is waiting 2 or 3 weeks to see how teams play out. Personally i think it doesn't make a difference.

Once teams have played half a dozen games or so, i don't think handicapping becomes easier or harder for that matter. The thing is this. The Las Vegas sports consultants are watching the same games we are and the lines are adjusted accordingly. So at the end we are all in the same boat. Just my thinking.

GOOD LUCK AND HAVE A GOOD YEAR, you're definitely an asset to this forum.


 
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whats up AX!! glad to see you back for the season brotha!!  I always hated playin unders because of the mooses but with your knowledge i find it a little easier to haha. lets go !! boa
 
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Nice to see U again AX...hope u had a fine off-season!!!
Cautiously pessimistic
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:

Google search SQDL and it will lead you to the correct resources.  We're not allowed to post links here.  BOL


 
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i hit it with ya bro nice 1 !!!

 
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GOOD CAPPING
 
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Posted: #37
tailing and winning, as always

Ax
 
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Posted: #38
Thank you everyone.  We do try our best don't we.  Full board tomorrow fellas.  Got a lot of work ahead of us.  I'm about to start capping around midnight EST. 
 
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44-Dimes

That means a lot brother.  Thank you.  
 
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Axpiota59,could you please add me to your friends list.
 
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Posted: #41
Ax, any plays for today. 
 
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Posted: #42
We're working on that right now across the street. 
 
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Posted: #43
how are the picks coming ?
 
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I'm personally doing a second run on the board to account for overnight and recent movements. 
 
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Posted: #45

BOL ax

 
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Just wondering when you are going to post your picks ax...I really like seeing what you think

 
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Posted: #47

I have action plays only of course.  1/20 Unit  I hate just posting picks but I've gotten a few requests.  I'm sorry I wont' be able to answer questions since I'm headed out to play poker this evening.

CHI/BOS O187
UTA -9
TOR -2
OKC +5

caveat:  I have no under plays.  you know what that means.  LOL

 

BOLTA.

catch up soon.  please let this thread die.  I usually start a new value thread for the day when I have a play.  Thanks

 

 
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 have a great night!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by trainer4u2:

 have a great night!

 

thank you sir.  I did. on the NBA and at the table. 

 
 
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Ax, where are you hiding at?,  you were doing very well and then disappeared.
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