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Anyone think Nuggets can cover 8.5 tomorrow night...

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Posted: #26
LEts go Denver...Locked and Loaded
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Jedi-Yorda:

Here's some stats from the NUGGETS last 10 away games (going back to Jan 16th):

5-5 SU and ATS
in 5 SU wins, avg win margin = 8.2 (but one of those wins vs. CHARLOTTE, by 14....need to take that into account)

They were AF => 6 in only 3 games this year and have only 1 win (vs. CHARLOTTE).

I think if you are thinking of playing the NUGGETS, you need to aware of the Home/Away disparity.

PHOENIX is bad, but not that bad at Home; just depends on how much pride the players still have to come out and play hard.

It was actually 4 games, Three games @ CLE, POR, and ORL were all -6 spreads and they went 1-2 SU & ATS.. and then the Charlotte game was -10 and they won by 14

Home records for who Denver beat SU & ATS this year on the road, Cha (7-24)  Cle (12-19)
Home records for who Denver lost SU & ATS this year on the road, Por (20-10)  Orl (10-24)

Other food for thoughts: Road faves have been hitting at a crazy high rate the last 7-10 days and is definitely due for a regression.  Tonights refs seem to be in favor of home teams this year with records of (28-12) (28-24) (31-23).  I saw the line drop to 8.5 earlier with many people looking like they are backing Denver but now it's holding strong at 9. 

Why would anyone want to trust this Denver team on the road in this part of the season? I surely don't want to.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by dimndimn:


It was actually 4 games, Three games @ CLE, POR, and ORL were all -6 spreads and they went 1-2 SU & ATS.. and then the Charlotte game was -10 and they won by 14

Home records for who Denver beat SU & ATS this year on the road, Cha (7-24)  Cle (12-19)
Home records for who Denver lost SU & ATS this year on the road, Por (20-10)  Orl (10-24)

Other food for thoughts: Road faves have been hitting at a crazy high rate the last 7-10 days and is definitely due for a regression.  Tonights refs seem to be in favor of home teams this year with records of (28-12) (28-24) (31-23).  I saw the line drop to 8.5 earlier with many people looking like they are backing Denver but now it's holding strong at 9. 

Why would anyone want to trust this Denver team on the road in this part of the season? I surely don't want to.


Thanks, but my line had the CLEV game at 5.5 and didn't want to skew things.
At any rate, I find it hard to go with DENVER on the road laying that many.
 
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Posted: #29
Refs are doing the home underdogs dirty at 17-21 ATS dimndimn.
 
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Posted: #30
I think if this hits 10 or higher, PHOENIX may have to be looked as a decent play.
We're talking laying DD as AF, something that only OKC (2x...actually 3x, but I'm not counting CHARLOTTE as an NBA team...) and MIAMI (1x) have done this year, and all 3 have been losses.
(this is according to my lines I have; others may have different numbers)
 
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Posted: #31
suns 
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by TheForbes777:

Refs are doing the home underdogs dirty at 17-21 ATS dimndimn.

Where do you see this at? I can only find SU & ATS, not strictly home dogs (which I would prefer)
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Jedi-Yorda:

I think if this hits 10 or higher, PHOENIX may have to be looked as a decent play.
We're talking laying DD as AF, something that only OKC (2x...actually 3x, but I'm not counting CHARLOTTE as an NBA team...) and MIAMI (1x) have done this year, and all 3 have been losses.
(this is according to my lines I have; others may have different numbers)

This line hasn't budged much since it opened.  Even with the massive love for Denver on the road, it's a long shot to get to 9.5.  
 
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Posted: #34
That the line hasn't moved with everyone on DENVER speaks for itself.
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Jedi-Yorda:

That the line hasn't moved with everyone on DENVER speaks for itself.

 
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Posted: #36
O/u went from 210 (I need) UP to 213.5 this afternoon... game isn't going over. Classic 4Q snooze, when I need an Over.
 
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Posted: #37
Denver is playing really well right now...two big games at home coming up
 
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Posted: #38
Hey baller909, I was wrong about the Suns my friend. Very nice call!
 
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Posted: #39
Nice call my brother.
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Narco:

Nuggets are a trap. 
not quite
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

and yes i think nuggets can cover the pts. gl

yezzir
 
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Posted: #43
 
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Posted: #44
We were spot on again.
 
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Posted: #45
Trustandfall.....we sure did man....been hot lately....read my new thread up regarding tomorrow.....maybe im biased
 
 
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Posted: #46
Yes lol
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