AvidGuru NBA Christmas Day (8-5, +2.55units YTD)

Merry Christmas everyone!

2 plays today, short and sweet.

***Cavaliers +5***

I understand that Golden State is coming off a horrendous shooting night in a Home loss to the Nuggets, but Cleveland is well rested and obviously motivation will not be an issue. Cavs have been Underdogs 5 times this season and have covered the spread in all 5, while the Wariprs are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with .600+ winning percentage.

I love how Tristsan Thompson's presence goes under the radar, too.

In a game that may very well come down to the wire, I believe the value lies with the Cavaliers at +5.0

***Thunder ML***

After a very concerning stretch of games to start the season, OKC is finally developing chemistry as players settle into their roles.

Yes, they have a thin bench, but so does Houston.

A very strong home court on Christmas Day should be enough to get the win against a Rockets team who needs some time off to heal and regroup.

Best of luck, folks.  

Thanks Kush

Yes I meant to include that stat in writeup as well

Cavs +5 @ -109

Thunder ML @ +110

*All plays are To Win 1unit at -109 unless otherwise indicated* (so risking a total of 1.99u today)

Sports Betting is not a get rich quick scheme, it has to be slow, steady profits... Like any good investment.

I won't have any 10unit "Bombs" (though occasionally a 2unit play) and you won't here me use the term "easy money"

Thank you. Play was made on the assumption (probability?) that Capela will not play, or at least not 100% if he does.

Cavs +5 just missed the Cover, but OKC ML (+110) came through.

Updated NBA Figures: 9-6-1, +2.46u

Tuesday Leans

Pistons -1.5, CHI/MIL Under 213 and Utah +6

Huskies 

Obviously -1.5 seems too easy, but Bradley being out is significant.

Pistons are 7-1 ATS when "well rested" and 15-5 ATS Last 20 in this situation

"2 or 3 days Rest"

More than 3 days I would consider "too rested" lol

Also, Detroit has been at Home since Dec. 21 and certainly got a full practice in on 23rd

Slevin 

Utah was just a lean at +6. I feel this is a legitimate letdown spot for Denver, Utah matches up well with Nuggets and are coming off a loss, and the Christmas Break sort of "levels the field'

Move to +5.5

I am more inclined to play the Under. For what it's worth, Under is 9-1 last 10 meetings.

For the most part I agree; it is not a sexy board tonight.

I've got a few other leans to finalize, then I will be releasing my Card.

Of course, Utah is 3-13 on the Road, and Denver is playing with double revenge...

Aussie 

I dipped my toes into it and realized I should have been using it years ago!

Admittedly, I am not nearly as familiar with SDQL as I would like to be.

Trying to add you as a friend, not letting me on mobile..

No plays tonight, folks. 

Capping tomorrow's board as we speak