Be cautious of New Orleans tonight

I think it's worthwhile to use trends with relatively few samples if the trends also reveal large pointspread margins.  For example, the Lakers have gone under thirteen times in a row at the Staples Center when their opponent was seeking revenge for a loss in which Kobe had torched them for 30 points or more.  The last time this situation came up was on Sunday, November 22nd when Oklahoma City came to town.  Just 19 days earlier, Kobe had scored 31 points against the Thunder in a 101-98 overtime win.  The rematch at Staples had a posted total of 200 and the game stayed under easily, 101-85.  What makes that trend worth paying attention to is that those 13 unders have covered by an average of 12 points per game.  I've won a few times using this trend and not even Sasha Vujacic or Jordan Farmar can come close to screwing it up in garbage time by jacking up quick jumpshots and not getting back on defense.

If anyone cares to see this trend again put to the test, you can do so tomorrow night when the Utah Jazz come calling to Staples.  Kobe scored 31 points against Utah in Game 5 of last season's first round series as the Lakers waved goodbye to the Jazz, 4 games to 1.

I haven't played the under in that game yet because unfortunately I found an amazing over trend for the Jazz that threw a wrench into my diabolical plans.  Turns out the Jazz are an over machine as road dogs after winning a game where they shot better than 50% from the floor.  They shot 53.2% against the Spurs in Monday night's 104-101 win.  The last time this situation came up, the Jazz went over by 20 points in Cleveland a few weeks ago. 

So, haven't ruled it out yet but I have to think about this some more.

+3 on internet

amnd +2.5 with illegal street bookie

What is correct term usage?

No, but this is - I'm on Minny tonight!

+2.5 is crummy considering Pinnacle had the Wolves +4 at even money late last night.  My +3 -108 is nothing special either but it was the best number available.  And although I like the Wolves to win the game, I'm not taking any moneyline because +130 or even +135 just sucks.