Bucks/ EC angles. No Giannis gm 1?

What are thoughts on the suspension? I'm guessing the last regular season game and first playoff game. Does he get 1 game and fine to keep him in playoffs? Some early angles on the Bucks and how they relate to the Eastern Conference I'm looking at:

No rhythm

The Bucks have not found their rhythm since returning to the bubble. They have gone 3-4. Wins against Bos, Mia, and Wsh. The win against Bos was the first of the bubble with Kemba on a 19 min playing restriction and a night Tatum would like to forget shooting a miserable 2-18. While an important win the Bucks did not build momentum like we are seeing with other teams right now in the East off it, (Boston, Mia, Tor, all have performed better in the bubble and coming into playoffs hotter). 

Assuming there is a suspension for last reg season game this will be the third game in a row he has missed (he played half yesterday b4 being ejected). We have seen other teams trying to ramp up their teams into playoffs mode now, like Boston yesterday against Mem, they left their starters in the 4th being up double digits. Budenholzer won't be able to do this now making this somewhat of a meaningless game but who knows what the minutes or rotation will look like. Teams have traditionally taken it easy in the last game in preparation for the playoffs but in bubble ball you never know.

Gift from the Gods

Is this a gift from the NBA gods to Memphis? Toronto with their d-league squad just beat Mil w/o Giannis. This could be another loss going into the playoffs. Yes I know Memphis have been losing but it has been to literal top competition that is gearing up into champion contender form (Toronto, Boston, Milwaukee to end the season is as hard as you can make it for them). This desperate team could break through like we saw Toronto did with their athleticism over skill line-up which Memphis is full of.

Another loss going into playoffs is not the direction any team plans on going.

Orlando upset gm 1?

This Orlando team core has been together for a few years now and made their first playoff experience last year against Toronto. When all healthy and together they show great chemistry and defense but struggle against top competition. Ranked 5 in PPG defense and have a record of 9-18 against opponents over .500 and 22-13 against opponents under .500.

The key to beating Milwaukee is to defend the 3 and clamp down on Giannis making him a mid range player (easier said then done). But there may be another avenue to victory. I've believed for a long time Brook Lopez has been playing much higher than his expected projections the last 2 seasons. His resurgence with a 3 point game is somewhat of a mystery but I'll give him credit for being a reason of their teams success. Over the last 5 games he is performing terribly from range shooting a 27% from 3's.

If Vucevic can get into All-star mode he can exploit this match-up against Lopez and keep him running all around the floor. Lopez is a slug in the new NBA creating openings for cuts in the lane and Vucevic to get open off screens for 3. The ball needs to run through Vucevic and the wing players need to be pushing Giannis out of the paint.

Milwaukee has played well without Giannis before (they are number 1 seed for a reason) but game 1 is up for grabs in my opinion if he suspended.

Also important to note they have not played each other since February although Milwaukee had their number in all 4 meetings this year. That was pre-bubble Milwaukee though.

Value on Boston/Tor Eastern Conference

Toronto 4:1, Boston 6:1

I have units on both of these bets and see more value in them now then ever. It seems the media has all but ensured us Milwaukee will be in the finals, “they will be fine in the playoffs”, but when you do a deeper analysis you can see some red flags. In the bubble I have both these teams ranked higher than Mil currently.

not a gift.. just a part of the script. Wait for Bucks to be bet down and pound them moneyline. Grizzlies aren't getting in to the playoffs. NBA doesn't want that...fans don't want that... and it's obvious they are going to lose that game.

Lol Giannis headbutting a no name scrub and risking suspension was part of the script???????

What's with all the tinfoil hats in the forum? If the league is so scripted it must be easy for you guys to cap and make . I think you guys should stick to the oscar emmy bets if you think its all an act and stay out of the analysis.

Again, if this was all about who got into the play in game, it was clearly favor the pels. Zion is the most valuable player in terms of marketing dollars/endorsements out of all the play-in teams, so it would be stacked for him if it was about getting into playoffs. 

ok my guy lol. you can look at my comments how i capped yesterday and they were all spot on. I made good money. If you think he headbutt a wizards player in a MEANINGLESS game because he was so riled up then I think you should check for the tin foil. So let me guess.... just coincidentally Grizzlies and Suns play at the same time tomorrow in the battle for the 8th... i guess just coincidentally Suns have become world beaters all of a sudden and everyone resting their players against them lol i guess coincidentally everyone is knotted up tomorrow and it's down the wire lol... man please use your brain. I'm not one of those everything is rigged guys but the facts are the facts... the bubble is just setting up everything and simulation ball in a lot of games... literally a great percentage of the games have been playing right on the spread my guy.  Good luck with that Grizz prediction though. See you after game tomorrow. I'm telling you right now... line will get bet down.... hammer bucks moneyline for safety... if celtics were a 5.5. then bucks will be close to that or bet down to that after news Giannis is suspended comes out. People will bet Grizz... take bucks for easy money.

I'll take your word on the tinfoil Westbelfort, not familar with your posts but Since coming back to the forums most of what I see is scripted this, scripted that. In that case why even watch the games if its so obvious and fake? I guess I'm wearing the tinfoil for thinking there is still some integrity in the sport, players, and reporters following the teams?

I didn't predict any outcome yet for mem v mil but it sure is great that he is not there for them. I was more making the point the team is missing moments to build chemistry coming into the playoffs, and playing a FULLY DESPERATE must win Memphis team, short handed will require extra starter minutes which is probably not ideal coming into playoffs. The title of my article is about the Bucks and EC not this match-up.

Trust I understand where youre coming from and I do not believe every game is rigged during regular season etc.. but as a former basketball player and also a bettor I kinda figured the bubble would be flaky and there are just alot of things I legit have noticed and it hurts me as a person that loves the game but it also makes sense because NBA needs to recoup money lost. Ive never ever capped games the way I am now and I'm sitting back thinking wow that's crazy that I can predict these games based on the narrative and money flow. Perfect example I can give you is the Blazers Clippers Game.... and yes I was on clippers... but I know Dame missed those two free throws on purpose.... there was too much money flowing in on Portland that day and they had beat the spread like every game and from there on out Portland hasn't covered even the simplest of spreads. Don't get me wrong... this is why as a basketball fan i want to have hope that spurs get in instead of suns because they are the better basketball team but mannnn it def look like its going to be the undefeated suns vs Portland and i guarantee you that first game is easy money betting on the 9th against whoever is the 8th because ain't no way its not going to be two games.

This aged well. 

I'm not sure why Coach Bud load manages Giannis during the regular season only to play him 34 mins in Game 1..But that's the Coach Bud way so it's no surprise 

nice call. You think Orlando can pull of the series upset ?