1-3 last night, found myself chasing the 2nd half which was fine until Denver stopped playin ball.. 12-5 in last 5 nights - looking to round out tonight with a MONSTER night!!!
On to tonight- Orlando at Cleveland -7.5 (O/U 190)
Let's keep this simple folks -
1) So True - "Cleveland's matchup problems are glaring: Height, depth, speed. You name it, Orlando has it over Cleveland" - Covers.com
2) the Magic are making 3pt shots and Cleveland is NOT
>Game 4 - 17-38 for 44% vs. Clev 6-22 for 27%)
>Game 3 - 6-17 for 35% vs. Clev 5-26 for 19%)
>Game 2 - 10-23 for 43% vs. Clev 5-19 for 26%)
>Game 1 - 9-20 for 45% vs. Clev 8-25 for 32%)
3) Orlando's Bench- I've said it since Game 2(when I woke up) to now - MPietrus is killing Cleveland avg 14pts a game and playing good defense on Lebron. Even Alston with his 14.7pts per game is showing promise that if left alone he can kill you as well. Key here is Cleveland has NO BENCH!!!!
4) Let's be real folks - this series should be over... Bet the Cavs and lose... Even if by the grace of all that is HOLY in the world - that the Cavs win - it won't be by 7 or 8 when in fact the entire series (highly competitive) has been decided by 1-2 pts due to Lebron and only Lebron with the exception of the 10pt thrashing by Orlando in Game 3.
5) No ANSWER FOR DWIGHT HOWARD - NUFF SAID
6) Height advantage of Hedo and Rashard (both at 6'10) over Williams(6'3")/West(6'1") - see my earlier threads...
My money is on the better team tonight. Cleveland needs another true scorer to take it to the next level. When teams up are up 3-1 - they win the series over 89% of the time. Maybe next year Cavs faithful. Lastly, Howard and team want to show them up on their own floor IMO and show the world that there will not be a Kobe/Lebron matchup! Show some respect!!!
ORLANDO +8 (20 units)
- Orlando has covered all of their contests in this series - why stop now with an elimination game!
- Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
- Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference
- Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games
- Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog
- Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland
CLEV -3 1Q (5 units)
- Game 1 +14 differential for Cleveland
- Game 2 +14 differential for Cleveland
- Game 4 +4 differential for Cleveland
***The Cavs start strong at home in the first quarter and potentially the 1H***
ORLANDO ML +320 (5 units)
- They end it tonight!!!
GL 2 U and your picks!!!
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Playoff ATS Record:44-25 (64%)(+168 U)
*Moneylines: 0-1 (-1 unit) **(0%)**
*Parlay's: 3-4 (+57 units) **(43%)**
*Teasers: 4-3 (+2 units) **(57%)**