Can anyone double check this. Play hitting over 83% on 2nd half bets

A friend showed me this and from the numbers I have researched it is accurate.

This is for 2nd half plays only!!!

If a team is covering the spread by 1 1/2 times for the game by halftime, bet the other side.

Sounds simple but here is the kicker.  Only bet it if the 2nd half spread still lets the winner cover by the original point spread.

Example:

Team A favored by 8 1/2 for the game.  At half time they are winning by 13.  If the 2nd half point spread was Team B favored by 4 or less then take Team B since the 4 would still make team A cover.

Yes if they cover by more then 4 then Team A would not cover, but the bet only concerns the spread and if the spread gives them the cover.

My numbers show this hitting 83.7 % for the NBA and last year hitting 79%

Can anyone check this out as well. 

How many events?

It could hit 80% for 10 bets.

It couldn't hit 80% for 200 bets.

4/2: 2-0, Utah and Houston

4/1: no play

3/31: 2-1, Memphis and Indiana Winners.  Utah Loser.

I counted 127 events

It fit last night's CBB championship game.  Kentucky was giving 6 1/2 and was leading by 14 at the half.  2H line was Kansas - 1 1/2.  Kansas covered the 2H line.  BOL. 

Again, a friend showed me this.  I have not bet into it yet either, but did notice it won last night.  I will be watching it closely too.

Looking back through Saturday it is 4-1.  I don't have a giant database, but We can track it here on out. 

NuggetMonster is pretty awesome, though

Looking back through Saturday it is 4-1.  I don't have a giant database, but We can track it here on out. 

NuggetMonster is pretty awesome, though

I am gonna watch it as well.

It is supposed to but I am not sure how it works with the point spread.  He needs to explain that too me more.

Seems like the opposite would be any time the dog is leading at half and the 2nd Half line has the favorite by less than the full game cover...take the fave in 2nd...

Example...Team A is the dog of 6 points, they are ahead at the half by 2...the 2nd half line favors Team B by 7...so if Team B wins the second Half by exactly 7...Team A still covers the spread for the whole game...

Seems Like a great way to hedge...give yurself no chance of losing...but a window towards winning both...

That is the first thing I like to do when looking at 2nd half lines is to see if there is a big disparity between the full game spread, and what they offer up at the half. A lot of times there are chances at value if the 2nd half line is far off from the original spread, but there is really no rhyme or reason to which side covers each time you have to look at the box score or it's even better if you have watched the game and can predict what kind of changes will  be made in the 2nd half.