Posted:
#1
I can lock in Cavs +6.5 right now.
My thoughts are:
a) everyone can have their opinion/angle but ultimately you are just trying to convince yourself, there is no advantage coming into this game - both teams will have had a days rest, both are healthy, motivated etc. Yes Warriors have a bit more continuity (Cavs just got Kyrie back and have had some others coming into/out of the line-up) but both teams are fit and will be ready.
b) obviously Golden State being at home tips the scales in their favour, but..
c) these games usually are very hard to pick, you see a lot of hyped up games like this, only for one team to lead by 10 early and it never gets closer, or the game to be a see-saw with multiple lead changes, or one team comes storming back... I think most will agree these marquee match-ups are never very predictable.
d) and finally, you can talk about revenge factor, home court advantage, momentum, chemistry, health etc. but overall I think this is a very tough one to pick straight up... so if you can get one team +6.5, then to me that seems like decent value. Even a comfortable Golden State lead of 9 and a late Cavs 3 pointer wins you the bet. Cavs would really have to be outplayed big time for this to lose.
Would like to hear some opinions,
Cheers
0
Hot Forum Topics
