Celtics Game 4

In everyones mind the fresh beat down from Miami in Game 3 makes Miami a sucker bet for game 4. Oddsmaker throw out a Miami -1.5/ML -120 to reel you in. 

Its NEVER that easy. 

Standalone NBA game. Boston with their backs against the wall, gimme Boston Celtics 1H and full game. 

This series goes back to Boston for at least 1 more game.....

BOSTON!!

I don’t think so. Vegas just in general completely over it’s this Celtics team for some reason.

-8 game 1

- 9 1/2 game 2

- 4 IN MIAMI game 3

In no way shape or form should Boston have been -500+ favorite this series.

it’s Miami or no bet for me. Can’t put $ on loser Mazzulla 

Miami has shown to have more dog in them and Boston coach is definitely outmatched by Erik Spoelstra. I understand all of this yet I always go back to there is no way the NBA can have this big of a gap between Conference Finals and the Finals.

I can’t wrap my head around the NBA having eight days off with no games. This is a business and that many days off before game one of the finals can’t be good for business.

GL

I think your right @AP0519. I keep thinking there should be a game this Saturday on primetime, but in order for that to happen, Boston has to win tonight and Thursday. NBA needs to have a game this Saturday.

But one game at a time. Boston Tonight. 

On Sunday I thought taking Miami at home was throwing money away. No way Boston goes down 0-3. Miami won. 

On Monday I thought, there's no way Lebron is getting to get swept, Denver won

Today, it seems like betting Boston is like throwing money away.........BOSTON WILL WIN!

@AP0519

 The refs can only rig the game so much before it becomes obvious. If the game is close they can will the losing team to the victory but if it’s a wide margin it’s just too obvious. Just like the refs tried to will the Lakers last night but couldn’t do it

And boy, were they trying.

In the first half for sure,....

@peter0105

 seems right

Conference finals dogs are 7-0 ATS. Ride the trend 

@blend 123. Beautiful trend to back. 

Lets make that 8-0 tonight!

@Kebokaos

They are showing it for the thousands of Celtics backers.  But behind the scenes they know the truth.   These are 2 different teams.  Mentaly the C's know its over and it shows in their play.  MIA -1.5 is a damn gift and they win by DD's tonight.  

@peter0105

 ton of free money, gift etc post about heat.  lots won on denver lost night, most of them are betting on a sweep here too, they'll be betting heat, 75% on heat on draftkings.  celtics have played possum before, many times.  Thinking they blow out miami.  This game could be a classic example on recency bias and why average bettor always gives back his winnings

And lots lost on the Lakers last night as well. 

Lots lost on Lakers last night too. It seems the majority of forum was on Lakers, thinking no way the NBA wants a sweep of Lebron, etc etc. We saw how that played out. 

@DeezyAZ81

 Thats what I thought too

vsin had draftkings at 61 % of  money on nuggets

the difference here is lakers were overachieving team playing a #1 seed.  here we have an underachieving celtics team, that is capable of much more then they have shown.  

Those percentages are not real. 

The sooner you realize this, the better off you will be. Why on earth would draftkings release real betting percentages to the public? Makes no sense. If you are basing your plays off of that you are in trouble. 

@AP0519

I would agree with you in general, but if that is the case, Lakers should have won yesterday. We will just never know with sports betting...

Okay thank you for educating me, I just started betting last week.      You have no proof they aren't real so we'll agree to disagree. You'd be amazed how many times those numbers predict the outcome esp. in standalone primetime games.   Its obviously not the only reason I would make bet.  bol with the heat.

@peter0105

 Dude the nba does not need to have a game saturday .. can we stop with the stupid narrative of there must be a game on Saturday.. plenty of times this has been disproven 

@peter0105

 SAVE YOUR MONEY BRO, BOSTON IS 48 MINUTES AWAY FROM CANCUN

The NBA will never have more than a week off between conference finals and finals! Well it’s easier to say now after 0:00 on the clock 

@peter0105

We often have guys around here who like to tell us "Don't overthink it." Guys who say that are 100% of the time guilty of not having given their selection much thought at all. But here's an example of someone who didn't overthink it and came up with the sensible answer for Game 4. And he didn't tell us not to overthink it. Nicely done.

@MrBator

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