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Hey My name is Stevie and I've been following covers here for the past couple of months.. I've had some decent success mostly in NFL but have done ok in NBA as well
I'm going to start posting my picks with some stats and other relevant info.
Any feedback would be much appreciated and GL to everyone.
CHI- stats on the back end of a B2bs this season.. in games overall the under went 5/8
4 of the back end of the b2bs were @ home and the under went 3/4
MEM- back end of b2bs this season under went 4/7 over 2/7 and one push.
The teams that MEM played where the 2 overs and one push hit were DAL,SAC,HOU
The under has gone 16/21 overall and 8/11 with MEM on the road.
The over has gone 5/7 in CHI overall and under has went 11/15 @ home in CHI
CHI home def is ranked 3rd, MEM road def is ranked 2nd
CHI home off is ranked 29th and MEM road off is ranked 19th
CHI is the worst 3pt shooting team in the leauge, MEM is second worst.
I looked at the last 20 games of CHI at home and had a look at the games where the O/U was set at 185 or lower.
of the 20 games 9 were set at 185 or lower and the Under went 7/9 with the total scores being 155,164,165,156,181,167,171
I did the same for MEM last 20 on the road where the line was set to 185 or lower and the under went 4/6 scores were 173,176,171,178
CHI played an OT game last night. MEM had an easy win.
Deng was a non factor last night with 3pts in 27 min and it looks like randolph will be playing..
last game b/w them was in MEM and ended 80-71 so revenge factor here where if CHI plays harder it will be on the DEF end imo.
Also seems like the a around 53% or so the public is leaning over and the lines have moved from 176.5/176 to 175.5
I'm personally leaning Under here and will probably risk around 3units.
Will post if and when I make it official..
Some additional leans are SA -4.5
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