Cleveland Cavs ML - Game 3 (5 units)

I will try to make a conscious attempt to not use that word so much. It just seems like there are so many people on here now who agree, I don't feel uncomfortable using it. I never used the word "scripted" actually UNTIL I came to this website. I personally used the word "Rigged" but it all means the same thing to me when I say it anyway

Well I think you're over thinking it just a bit. I expected a PK line to open. Because according to some the last 2 games have nothing to do with the line here, I don't know if that is true, but I expected PK because CLE was -3.5 earlier this season at home so that is almost a 4 pt difference right there which seems fair. For bookies 4 pts is a lot more than it looks like on paper

Let's be thankful that we don't have to pay any juice on Cleveland ML here....courtesy of the public!

I think the reason they don't want GS as favs here is because of their greed. They know the public is on GS regardless of the line, so they don't want to pay us cavs backers any extra than they need to

I would be afraid to even tease GS in this game

This year? Or this season?

I believe around 3, but I am not sure. I just remember I haven't lost any. And the one I posted for NFL was the Vikings game vs Giants, I called it and said Vikings would win by at least 18 (The spread was 6.5) and Vikings won by about 30

So when I have a 5 unit play it's always very solid, not only does it win but it blows out. I am hoping for the same tonight.

I expect a DD win by Cleveland

110 to 95 min final score

So I love the OVER as well as that is the lowest I can see this going is 205 so the Over will be close, but it will still cash I believe...and it is the right play.

Let's take advantage of the fact that books are going to make a LOWER line here, in an attempt to try and throw people off the over but we've seen them do this one too many times before. They lower the total or adjust it for game 3, and then the game 3 ends up fast paced and flies over the total

Here I think we will cover the over by maybe about 5 pts

But the Cleveland play I am really confident in. I explained all the reasons why, they should make sense to those who are following me

I also had a 5 unit NFL play on the broncos for the superbowl and I covered that by DD as well

I have proved that wrong beyond any shadow of a doubt.

I even had a little system for the Ultimate Race contest, it was not a system because we only needed to make flat bets everytime.

What I would do is wait for 10 days without having a perfect 4-0 day in the contest (as I stopped trying mid way through so my average, like clockwork, was 10 days without a 4-0 day)

So the first two times we won and cashed the 4 team parlay on the very first bet.

On roulette I can target the wheel down to the exact number that will hit and often get it on the very first spin

If things were truly random (which they are not that is a fallacy) then this would not be possible to do consistently.

You are simply wrong, I know you are wrong and I wont waste energy arguing about this, sorry. I suggest you try doing some tests with it yourself sometime and then you will see that I am correct and that math has patterns.

Only in infinite trials would you see the things you are thinking about. We don't do infinite trails, we have specific entry and exit points.

If what you said was true then people could potentially lose forever or go 0-100 but we know we will NEVER see that because as I said it would take an eternity for it to happen "Randomly"

everything has patterns and is in order

hope this helps you

Anyway my Cleveland play has nothing to do with me being due to win, I explained all of the reasons behind it. At first I had actually thought GS would win game 3, before I saw how game 2 went down

So I believe I am seeing the series much clearer now

Cavs will win in 6 or 7 like we've been saying all along

Here is my take on this situation.  We all pretty much know this series is over no matter what.  But, here are my reasons....

Golden State wants/needs to win game 3.  If there is a let up in any game it will be game 4 to close it out at home.  Dropping game 3 would make it 2-1 & give Cleveland the only glimmer of hope it could possibly pray for instead of standing on their throats and taking the life out of them completely.  I don't see GS offering that opportunity considering the way they have dominated so far.  A 2-1 situation & an injury to a key player for GS in game 3 or 4 and we have a new series.  Game 3 is the dagger and if Cleveland is to win any games it will be a meaningless game 4. 

But, like everyone else, I have been wrong many times before lol.

That's because I don't "cap" games for the playoffs. Only a fool would try to do that (No offense to anyone here)

I do it the correct way. I went 21-2 during the 07 playoffs on one of my hot runs

During the regular season I cap the games and I have a pattern system I use, to get multiple angles on a play and the more I have the stronger the play.

For instance if I have two 100% angles that have been established and I get an angle for both sides (0% angle as well on our opponent) then I have a 5 unit play

It works, it hits about 80%

I was using it in the contest at the point I was 27-7 but then we had to start doing those AFL plays and a few of my winning plays did not go through so I just gave up on the contest shortly after.

Maybe next time I'll try harder. Just have to figure out a way I can cap AFL. I started 0-5 for my first 5 AFL picks

Also the O/U record is what really killed me! If I had reversed that I would of won the contest. Crazy I should of faded every O/U pick I had