I had some success with my picks back in November and a part of December but then I had no time to post! Now I want to post picks for the rest of the season here. My goal for this month is +6 units at least!
So let's start it:
Grizzlies -2.5 vs Mavs
The most important aspect of this game is Randolph playing. With him healthy Memphis won 26 and only lost 5. Without him they are 6 and 4.
The other important player is Jeff Green. I think he is the perfect fit in Memphis and he will make this team better.
Intersting statistic:
Mavericks lost all their 6 games played away from home against Playoff bound Western teams.
Memphis only lost 1 home game with Big Z healthy this season.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I had some success with my picks back in November and a part of December but then I had no time to post! Now I want to post picks for the rest of the season here. My goal for this month is +6 units at least!
So let's start it:
Grizzlies -2.5 vs Mavs
The most important aspect of this game is Randolph playing. With him healthy Memphis won 26 and only lost 5. Without him they are 6 and 4.
The other important player is Jeff Green. I think he is the perfect fit in Memphis and he will make this team better.
Intersting statistic:
Mavericks lost all their 6 games played away from home against Playoff bound Western teams.
Memphis only lost 1 home game with Big Z healthy this season.
T'wolves are playing great basketball lately and I think Charlotte is really bad without their leader Kemba Walker.
Wiggins is slowly becoming a dominant player, his talent is huge and if he and Mo Williams can score like they did lately I can see them winning this one. After all they won against Denver on the road!
Third Pick:
Knicks - Pelicans -3.5 First Half
This pick is very simple. Anybody who saw how Knicks are playing this season should agree that NOP will destroy them tonight. NOP will probably have Davies back and I can't see who can stop him from Knicks.
Pelicans also likes to start their games fast so this should be a really easy win.
Fourth Pick:
Hawks -4.5 1st Half - Pistons
Hawks is playing incredible basketball at the moment. I won't go against them, but I can see Detroit pulling a late cover like they did last time. So I chose the -4.5 First Half bet.
Hawks won the 1st Half of their last 4 matches by 9, 14, 12 and 13. They also won by at least 5 points in their last 7.
Pistons lost at HT in 6 of their last 8 matches, in 4 of those by more than 5 points.
Hawks played 2 games against Pistons this season. They won at Half time by 19 and 10.
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Second pick:
Hornets - T'wolves +4.5
T'wolves are playing great basketball lately and I think Charlotte is really bad without their leader Kemba Walker.
Wiggins is slowly becoming a dominant player, his talent is huge and if he and Mo Williams can score like they did lately I can see them winning this one. After all they won against Denver on the road!
Third Pick:
Knicks - Pelicans -3.5 First Half
This pick is very simple. Anybody who saw how Knicks are playing this season should agree that NOP will destroy them tonight. NOP will probably have Davies back and I can't see who can stop him from Knicks.
Pelicans also likes to start their games fast so this should be a really easy win.
Fourth Pick:
Hawks -4.5 1st Half - Pistons
Hawks is playing incredible basketball at the moment. I won't go against them, but I can see Detroit pulling a late cover like they did last time. So I chose the -4.5 First Half bet.
Hawks won the 1st Half of their last 4 matches by 9, 14, 12 and 13. They also won by at least 5 points in their last 7.
Pistons lost at HT in 6 of their last 8 matches, in 4 of those by more than 5 points.
Hawks played 2 games against Pistons this season. They won at Half time by 19 and 10.
Grizzlies is a very strong team with Randolph back and Jeff Green on the bench. They lost against Dallas so I think they will be very motivated tonight. They also have Conley back which is important too.
Raptors won against Bucks but they didn't impress me at all. Lowry was not very good lately and his team shooting percentage was really bad at 41.8. Against a good defensive team like Memphis I think that will continue.
GSW - 7.5 vs Rockets
Not too many things to say about this one. GSW is just superb at home. They only lost 1 game all season long and won by more than 8 in 14 of their last 18 home matches. With Bogut playing they are 24-2 this season. They also won against Rockets 3 times this season by double digits.
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Good day! 1 winner and 1 push...
RECORD: 3 - 4 -1
Picks 1/21/2015:
Grizzlies -5 vs Raptors
Grizzlies is a very strong team with Randolph back and Jeff Green on the bench. They lost against Dallas so I think they will be very motivated tonight. They also have Conley back which is important too.
Raptors won against Bucks but they didn't impress me at all. Lowry was not very good lately and his team shooting percentage was really bad at 41.8. Against a good defensive team like Memphis I think that will continue.
GSW - 7.5 vs Rockets
Not too many things to say about this one. GSW is just superb at home. They only lost 1 game all season long and won by more than 8 in 14 of their last 18 home matches. With Bogut playing they are 24-2 this season. They also won against Rockets 3 times this season by double digits.
Pistons lost against Hawks but they played pretty wel against the hottest team in the NBA . This will be a bounce back win for them so I'm sure motivation will be there. Drummond should handle Vucevic so this is another plus for Detroit.
Hawks - 3.5 vs Pacers First Quarter
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Gonna add:
Pistons -8 vs Magic
Pistons lost against Hawks but they played pretty wel against the hottest team in the NBA . This will be a bounce back win for them so I'm sure motivation will be there. Drummond should handle Vucevic so this is another plus for Detroit.
No 1st Quarter system plays for tonight games. Actually there are some tricky matches on the board so I will only play one game:
Chicago Bulls - San Antonio Spurs -4.5
San Antonio are still my favourites to win it all if they have all their players healthy. Leonard is huge for them and with him back from injury Spurs were really good.(winning 3 games by double digits) Leonard is great on both ends and Spurs is another team with him on court. Chicago is not playing good since Noah got inured. He was a very important piece in Thibodeau team and without him I expect Duncan to have a nice game. I just can't see this Bulls team stoping the hot San Antonio.
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No 1st Quarter system plays for tonight games. Actually there are some tricky matches on the board so I will only play one game:
Chicago Bulls - San Antonio Spurs -4.5
San Antonio are still my favourites to win it all if they have all their players healthy. Leonard is huge for them and with him back from injury Spurs were really good.(winning 3 games by double digits) Leonard is great on both ends and Spurs is another team with him on court. Chicago is not playing good since Noah got inured. He was a very important piece in Thibodeau team and without him I expect Duncan to have a nice game. I just can't see this Bulls team stoping the hot San Antonio.
The main reason I like this game is the fact Aldridge is not playing. Without him and Lopez Portland have no depth under the basket, while Boston is decent in that compartiment with players like Zeller, Sullinger or Bass. Boston allows a lot of points in the paint(3rd worst in NBA) but without LeMarcus and Robin playing Portland don't have a lot of firepower there.
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I decide to play one more game.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics + 7.5
The main reason I like this game is the fact Aldridge is not playing. Without him and Lopez Portland have no depth under the basket, while Boston is decent in that compartiment with players like Zeller, Sullinger or Bass. Boston allows a lot of points in the paint(3rd worst in NBA) but without LeMarcus and Robin playing Portland don't have a lot of firepower there.
Gonna post my early plays and plays from the system:
System 1st Quarter Plays:
Spurs -4 vs Lakers
Nuggets -2.5 vs Celtics
Cavaliers -3.5 vs Hornets
Knicks vs Magic -0.5
Personal Picks:
Atlanta Hawks -4 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
I really like this bet. OKC is not a very disciplined team and I think Hawks will take advatage of that. I expect a lot of open 3's for Hawks players and we all know how good they are at this. Durant will be guarded by Sefolosha and Carrol so he will probably have a hard night. We can say the same about Westbrook, considering Teague is a great defensive player. Anyway I just can't bet against a team that plays like Hawks, so I will go with them till this streak stops.
Philadelphia 76'ers vs Toronto Raptors -11
76'ers are a really bad team. Now they have Tony Wroten and Mbha a Moute injured so they are even worse, Noel is probable but he might a little rusty coming back from injury. I just can't see this 76'ers banged up team keeping up with the Raptors. The spread is a little too big but I don't think it will be a big problem.
Golden State Warriors -14.5 vs Sacramento Kings
This is one of those blind picks. Warriors are just too hot and just decided to keep picking them. The spread is ver big but they won by this margin in 8 of their last 10 games,
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1-1 last night! Spurs were really bad...
ATS Personal Picks: 7 - 5 - 1
System 1st Quarter Picks: 4 - 0 - 0
Gonna post my early plays and plays from the system:
System 1st Quarter Plays:
Spurs -4 vs Lakers
Nuggets -2.5 vs Celtics
Cavaliers -3.5 vs Hornets
Knicks vs Magic -0.5
Personal Picks:
Atlanta Hawks -4 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
I really like this bet. OKC is not a very disciplined team and I think Hawks will take advatage of that. I expect a lot of open 3's for Hawks players and we all know how good they are at this. Durant will be guarded by Sefolosha and Carrol so he will probably have a hard night. We can say the same about Westbrook, considering Teague is a great defensive player. Anyway I just can't bet against a team that plays like Hawks, so I will go with them till this streak stops.
Philadelphia 76'ers vs Toronto Raptors -11
76'ers are a really bad team. Now they have Tony Wroten and Mbha a Moute injured so they are even worse, Noel is probable but he might a little rusty coming back from injury. I just can't see this 76'ers banged up team keeping up with the Raptors. The spread is a little too big but I don't think it will be a big problem.
Golden State Warriors -14.5 vs Sacramento Kings
This is one of those blind picks. Warriors are just too hot and just decided to keep picking them. The spread is ver big but they won by this margin in 8 of their last 10 games,
Things are just getting worse for Portland and I can't see them winning against a strong and healthy Wizards team. Blazers will miss Lopez, Aldridge, Batum(doubtful) and Kaman(qustionable). If all this 4 players will be out I see no way Portland cover this spread. Even without Aldridge and Lopez it will be very hard for them.(after all they lost against a really weak Bosto teamwithout this 2) Washington have Nene, Gortat and Humphries under the basket and Portland will have no one to defend those guys. Wall will probably have a lot of space to get some easy lay-ups too. Really strong play here!
Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pitons - 1.5
I'm goig with the hot team for this one. Pistons are playing extraordinarry basketball right now. I was really impressed with their point guard Jennings who became the first player in NBA to get at least 20 points and 20 assists since Steve Nash in 2009. I always thought Jennings is very talented but his problem was shooting too much. With him passing so much Detroit is way better. Bucks is not playing very good lately losing at home against Jazz.
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1st Quarter System Picks:
Grizzlies -5.5 vs 76'ers
Hornets -2.5 vs Knicks
Jazz vs Nets + 1.5
Bucks + 0.5 vs Pistons
Personal picks:
Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards -4
Things are just getting worse for Portland and I can't see them winning against a strong and healthy Wizards team. Blazers will miss Lopez, Aldridge, Batum(doubtful) and Kaman(qustionable). If all this 4 players will be out I see no way Portland cover this spread. Even without Aldridge and Lopez it will be very hard for them.(after all they lost against a really weak Bosto teamwithout this 2) Washington have Nene, Gortat and Humphries under the basket and Portland will have no one to defend those guys. Wall will probably have a lot of space to get some easy lay-ups too. Really strong play here!
Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pitons - 1.5
I'm goig with the hot team for this one. Pistons are playing extraordinarry basketball right now. I was really impressed with their point guard Jennings who became the first player in NBA to get at least 20 points and 20 assists since Steve Nash in 2009. I always thought Jennings is very talented but his problem was shooting too much. With him passing so much Detroit is way better. Bucks is not playing very good lately losing at home against Jazz.
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