Right now, I'm leaning on a Rain or Shine cover. Basing this one on their only game in the elims. Pretty evenly matched team with contrasting styles. RoS takes full advantage of their fast pace and high scoring import in Reid but tends to fall short come the latter parts of the game. Perhaps their fitness/conditioning is in question. Their physicality also works to their advantage against Alaska but shouldn't bother a much composed team like SMC. SMC on one hand always need to get on a good start. Points are hard to come by if the starters aren't contributing as much. They are a solid defensive team and takes full advantage of a slow setting up pace. With their lengthy players and a good post plays, they can grind teams out till the finish.
ROS will have to shoot the ball well if they want to stand a good chance against SMC. They aren't a good rebounding team that's why they try and push the tempo for easy buckets. In their elims game, they hit close to .40 clip from behind the arc against SMC. They also commited only 9 TO to 15. SMC won the rebounding battle 82-55 and has gotten to the line 5 times more than ROS'.
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Right now, I'm leaning on a Rain or Shine cover. Basing this one on their only game in the elims. Pretty evenly matched team with contrasting styles. RoS takes full advantage of their fast pace and high scoring import in Reid but tends to fall short come the latter parts of the game. Perhaps their fitness/conditioning is in question. Their physicality also works to their advantage against Alaska but shouldn't bother a much composed team like SMC. SMC on one hand always need to get on a good start. Points are hard to come by if the starters aren't contributing as much. They are a solid defensive team and takes full advantage of a slow setting up pace. With their lengthy players and a good post plays, they can grind teams out till the finish.
ROS will have to shoot the ball well if they want to stand a good chance against SMC. They aren't a good rebounding team that's why they try and push the tempo for easy buckets. In their elims game, they hit close to .40 clip from behind the arc against SMC. They also commited only 9 TO to 15. SMC won the rebounding battle 82-55 and has gotten to the line 5 times more than ROS'.
My thoughts as of now.. Yes Rain or Shine is a fast paced team but not as well matched against defensive teams like Alaska or SMC. Last series Alaska could have stolen the series but Rain or Shine got it done because of unfortunate injuries on the other side. SMC has been defending well in all aspects... defensively on transition or in the paint and/or even on 3s. And that doesnt mean they cant run and score, even with big guys they can also!! We have seen SMC pushed TNT down to less than 90pts in 4/5 games!! Which we should have expected TNT to play higher than that as TNT is one of the leagues top scoring team. ROS has been struggling, if its not because of Reid they couldn't have made it. So what we're about to look at now is who will defense AZ Reid? Name it Marcus Blakely a.k.a Mr. Everything. You think Reid can make impressive #s again? i think yes, 25% chance. but 75% NO. If Blakely can manage to defend Harris which is quicker and small than AZ Reid, why not him?
I say this series belong to SMC. Clearly. But today, i still don't know who to pick for tonight.
*Other Keys
-> Jeff Chan shooting poorly than expected.
-> Paul Lee playing normally well, as expected.
-> James Yap putting MVP scoring #s again.
-> PJ Simon always reliable, can still score.
-> Coffee Prince Mark, Improved a lot this year.
-> Mark Pingris, still suffering with his injury. But manages to play more aggressively.
-> Rain or Shine : Shoot high % in and out. Specially on 3s.
-> San Mig Coffee : Hit a higher % in FT shooting.
BOL
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My thoughts as of now.. Yes Rain or Shine is a fast paced team but not as well matched against defensive teams like Alaska or SMC. Last series Alaska could have stolen the series but Rain or Shine got it done because of unfortunate injuries on the other side. SMC has been defending well in all aspects... defensively on transition or in the paint and/or even on 3s. And that doesnt mean they cant run and score, even with big guys they can also!! We have seen SMC pushed TNT down to less than 90pts in 4/5 games!! Which we should have expected TNT to play higher than that as TNT is one of the leagues top scoring team. ROS has been struggling, if its not because of Reid they couldn't have made it. So what we're about to look at now is who will defense AZ Reid? Name it Marcus Blakely a.k.a Mr. Everything. You think Reid can make impressive #s again? i think yes, 25% chance. but 75% NO. If Blakely can manage to defend Harris which is quicker and small than AZ Reid, why not him?
I say this series belong to SMC. Clearly. But today, i still don't know who to pick for tonight.
*Other Keys
-> Jeff Chan shooting poorly than expected.
-> Paul Lee playing normally well, as expected.
-> James Yap putting MVP scoring #s again.
-> PJ Simon always reliable, can still score.
-> Coffee Prince Mark, Improved a lot this year.
-> Mark Pingris, still suffering with his injury. But manages to play more aggressively.
-> Rain or Shine : Shoot high % in and out. Specially on 3s.
-> San Mig Coffee : Hit a higher % in FT shooting.
I think Pingris and Blakely will alternate in defending Reid. And they will probably have a tough time doing so. The difference between AR and PH is that Harris is more of a perimeter guy and he's less physical. Zona Reid is bulkier, stronger and pretty much have the same speed with Harris. It should be interesting. I think Reid will still put a 25-13 type of game. It will be interesting how it will unfold.
Chan never got his stroke back after the stint with Gilas. Paul Lee isn't really playing "normally well". He's killing it, he's averaging 16 from 11 in the playoffs and hitting over 50% from the 3. Yap should hit a bump as he always would. He isn't as consistent as he was. PJ's shot selection has always been a head scratcher but since he makes them nobody questions him. Barroca is crazy good come playoff time. He'll be facing bigger guards though. During the TNT series, he's able to post up either castro or alapag. He probably will have a hard time against the bigger Lee or the taller Tiu. Pingris has been off since the injury, hopefully he's all healed up by now (at least close to 70%).
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I think Pingris and Blakely will alternate in defending Reid. And they will probably have a tough time doing so. The difference between AR and PH is that Harris is more of a perimeter guy and he's less physical. Zona Reid is bulkier, stronger and pretty much have the same speed with Harris. It should be interesting. I think Reid will still put a 25-13 type of game. It will be interesting how it will unfold.
Chan never got his stroke back after the stint with Gilas. Paul Lee isn't really playing "normally well". He's killing it, he's averaging 16 from 11 in the playoffs and hitting over 50% from the 3. Yap should hit a bump as he always would. He isn't as consistent as he was. PJ's shot selection has always been a head scratcher but since he makes them nobody questions him. Barroca is crazy good come playoff time. He'll be facing bigger guards though. During the TNT series, he's able to post up either castro or alapag. He probably will have a hard time against the bigger Lee or the taller Tiu. Pingris has been off since the injury, hopefully he's all healed up by now (at least close to 70%).
San Mig Coffee Mixers vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters GAME 1
San Mig 1st half - (MEDIUM) - I expect the Mixers to come out strong defensively early in the game to establish tempo.
San Mig -4 -(MEDIUM) - Tim Cone and the rest of the gang knows how important it is to win Game 1 in a best of 5 series. Winners of game1 claims the throne 75% of the time as CMM mentioned in above post. I hope the late fouling is enough to cover the spread.
Under 184.5 (LARGE) - This series will be a defense vs offense type of series. ROS averages 99.6 pts per game while San Mig on the other hand only allowed 88pts on their opponent the entire season. I think the Mixers D will prevail here in Game 1 and hoping they limit ROS below 90 pts for the total to stay UNDER.
BOL!
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28-14
PBA Finals
San Mig Coffee Mixers vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters GAME 1
San Mig 1st half - (MEDIUM) - I expect the Mixers to come out strong defensively early in the game to establish tempo.
San Mig -4 -(MEDIUM) - Tim Cone and the rest of the gang knows how important it is to win Game 1 in a best of 5 series. Winners of game1 claims the throne 75% of the time as CMM mentioned in above post. I hope the late fouling is enough to cover the spread.
Under 184.5 (LARGE) - This series will be a defense vs offense type of series. ROS averages 99.6 pts per game while San Mig on the other hand only allowed 88pts on their opponent the entire season. I think the Mixers D will prevail here in Game 1 and hoping they limit ROS below 90 pts for the total to stay UNDER.
Az reid never won a pba championship revenge on mind he is a better weapon now. He much improved than before. Looking for an upset to win ros better be prepared they lost the last time with san mig banking on faith today and i would love to see a new champ..... just my insight i know yap can really score but ibanez is my fav hard work beats talents :) gl genta
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Az reid never won a pba championship revenge on mind he is a better weapon now. He much improved than before. Looking for an upset to win ros better be prepared they lost the last time with san mig banking on faith today and i would love to see a new champ..... just my insight i know yap can really score but ibanez is my fav hard work beats talents :) gl genta
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