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#1
Late win with the OVER in San Antonio 3-1 Monday. That's 4-1 for the week already pushing us to 294-213-13.
Denver Nuggets@Washington Wizards UNDER 211.0
Okay, now let's have fun with math: Wizards is playing 3 games in 4 night and is a 3-5-0 ATS team on the second game of a back to back night. On a 3-4 set up, they are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U as well. What's interesting is that they average almost 92 ppg on that area while allowing almost a 100 ppg which perhaps opens a case on a Denver play as well. That's an average of 192 ppg which is a comfortable 15 points below the set total.
Wizards are 6-16 O/U at home as to the Nuggets' 6-12 O/U on the road which gives us a bit of confidence with the trend backing us. Right now, using the average of both teams' game Washington (averging 198 per game) combined with Denver (211) easily averages 204.5 but that's just simple math. 202 points is taken from when you take their home-road production. Their last 5 on the other hand averages to 207. That's around 4 to 9 points discrepancy given both teams play up to it. Since both team seem to be trending on losing, Nuggets is 6-11 ATS on the road 5-13 SU and also 9-12-3 ATS after resting a day between games, we can expect say around 8 total point of error for the numbers we stated which leads us to concluding that it may be pretty close to the total at the end of the game.
Still going with the UNDER here given the trend and averages which ended up a couple of points below the set total. I also take it that the Washington will respond to the Nuggets at home given a short spread. Being a different team on the road for the Nuggets helps a lot as well.
BOL.
Denver Nuggets@Washington Wizards UNDER 211.0
Okay, now let's have fun with math: Wizards is playing 3 games in 4 night and is a 3-5-0 ATS team on the second game of a back to back night. On a 3-4 set up, they are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U as well. What's interesting is that they average almost 92 ppg on that area while allowing almost a 100 ppg which perhaps opens a case on a Denver play as well. That's an average of 192 ppg which is a comfortable 15 points below the set total.
Wizards are 6-16 O/U at home as to the Nuggets' 6-12 O/U on the road which gives us a bit of confidence with the trend backing us. Right now, using the average of both teams' game Washington (averging 198 per game) combined with Denver (211) easily averages 204.5 but that's just simple math. 202 points is taken from when you take their home-road production. Their last 5 on the other hand averages to 207. That's around 4 to 9 points discrepancy given both teams play up to it. Since both team seem to be trending on losing, Nuggets is 6-11 ATS on the road 5-13 SU and also 9-12-3 ATS after resting a day between games, we can expect say around 8 total point of error for the numbers we stated which leads us to concluding that it may be pretty close to the total at the end of the game.
Still going with the UNDER here given the trend and averages which ended up a couple of points below the set total. I also take it that the Washington will respond to the Nuggets at home given a short spread. Being a different team on the road for the Nuggets helps a lot as well.
BOL.
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