CMM can I get your opinion. When sportsbook released the lines yesterday, I snatched up the suns. I parlayed it with the bulls ML (which i figured was a lock) so I could buy 3 points without paying much juice. So the bulls hit and now I have suns at -2... Would you be comfortable with that?
Also, I did the same thing with the lakers and now have them at -1.5
Here's what you do. You stand by the 2nd Half and wait for a decent line just in case you need to hedge. What I fear is that it may be out of hand and there isn't much of a hedging option. Personally, I'd play Houston +5 which gives me a 3 point window where I can win both. Either way you win with that so I think it's the best way to at least run away with a sure profit.
As for the Lakers, obviously Hawks plus the points is the way to hedge but if you're feeling lucky, jump on the ML for a better pay out but take note that there's a 1.5 point window that can screw you both ways. I personally would play the ML since it's either the Hawks win or the Lakers cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:
CMM can I get your opinion. When sportsbook released the lines yesterday, I snatched up the suns. I parlayed it with the bulls ML (which i figured was a lock) so I could buy 3 points without paying much juice. So the bulls hit and now I have suns at -2... Would you be comfortable with that?
Also, I did the same thing with the lakers and now have them at -1.5
Here's what you do. You stand by the 2nd Half and wait for a decent line just in case you need to hedge. What I fear is that it may be out of hand and there isn't much of a hedging option. Personally, I'd play Houston +5 which gives me a 3 point window where I can win both. Either way you win with that so I think it's the best way to at least run away with a sure profit.
As for the Lakers, obviously Hawks plus the points is the way to hedge but if you're feeling lucky, jump on the ML for a better pay out but take note that there's a 1.5 point window that can screw you both ways. I personally would play the ML since it's either the Hawks win or the Lakers cover.
milk do you give Blazers any credit at all? Your good at what you do I admit but Miami are in trouble right now and one thing they will struggle with is the Blazers height and their exceptional defensive abilities plus Roy is starting to gather fitness at a very nice rate for Blazer fans. Miami are a 3 man team and they are currently not functioning correctly as a team. Wouldn't buy into that news of players crying because if it is true even more reason to worry if your Heat backer and 8.5 points against a team that plays almost identicle to the Bulls who just beat the Heat is too many points. Revenge game as well after Blazer lost in OT
I used to be a Blazers fan but I'm not really sold to the idea that they're a single unit with the way things are going. I agree with your points with the Portland as well. I still don't see how Wallace fits the team at the moment (but at least they are making progress with him).
The Heattles play isn't solely based on the Crygate thing. It's that Miami when forced to their backs are really scary. As much as they tell the media that they are "fine". Portland is a scary team but I'm baffled why you give them 8.5 points despite the beefed up bench with Wallace and as you said Roy and Camby gaining good form. Miami is successful in transition and no team can stop them when they run. Portland is one of those teams that allows the least fast break points and I'd say 6 or 5.5 is the right number for this one. I'm playing this because of this situation plus Wade and LeBron's ego of possibly losing 5 in a row will be hard for them.
Don't get me wrong. I think Portland +8.5 is a great play, It's just another one of those play where your gut just tells you to go against the grain.
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Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:
milk do you give Blazers any credit at all? Your good at what you do I admit but Miami are in trouble right now and one thing they will struggle with is the Blazers height and their exceptional defensive abilities plus Roy is starting to gather fitness at a very nice rate for Blazer fans. Miami are a 3 man team and they are currently not functioning correctly as a team. Wouldn't buy into that news of players crying because if it is true even more reason to worry if your Heat backer and 8.5 points against a team that plays almost identicle to the Bulls who just beat the Heat is too many points. Revenge game as well after Blazer lost in OT
I used to be a Blazers fan but I'm not really sold to the idea that they're a single unit with the way things are going. I agree with your points with the Portland as well. I still don't see how Wallace fits the team at the moment (but at least they are making progress with him).
The Heattles play isn't solely based on the Crygate thing. It's that Miami when forced to their backs are really scary. As much as they tell the media that they are "fine". Portland is a scary team but I'm baffled why you give them 8.5 points despite the beefed up bench with Wallace and as you said Roy and Camby gaining good form. Miami is successful in transition and no team can stop them when they run. Portland is one of those teams that allows the least fast break points and I'd say 6 or 5.5 is the right number for this one. I'm playing this because of this situation plus Wade and LeBron's ego of possibly losing 5 in a row will be hard for them.
Don't get me wrong. I think Portland +8.5 is a great play, It's just another one of those play where your gut just tells you to go against the grain.
NBA YTD: 377-281-14 Sunday: 4-2 Monday: 5-4 (waiting for the Rockets)
Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 is really weird. Indiana isn't getting anything done after the break (3-4 SU/ATS) then again they were up against the better teams in the league. The 76ers is flying under the radar and has come from a sub .500 team to an above .500 team. They've won 8 of their last 10 and 15 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS in that stretch from 01/22/11 to 03/06/11), The Pacers leads the season series 2-1 and is currently in 8th spot in the east (1.5 games above Charlotte) so if anything, it should be a motivation for them. ATS trends all points to the 76ers and they are pretty much the better team all around in every areas except for the Center position.
I don't know what's up in Cleveland nowadays but the only thing that should keep you from playing the Golden State Warriors -3.5 is that they are on the road (8-22) and is playing the 6th game of a 7 game road trip which is a brutal schedule for them almost gone for a week now from home. Then again, the Clippers were just as bad on the road but managed to slug it out against the Bobcats Monday night. Earlier this season, the Warriors played the Cavs and they went on to shoot 14/28 in 3pt en route to a comfortable win and cover. It should be same as that night except it should be a bit closer like the Knicks@Cavs game except the Warriors edge them in the latter quarter like they put a scare on Boston a few games ago.
I wouldn't want to be up against the Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) at the moment. That's because they are crazy good. The only thing that worries me in this spot is that they could all be looking ahead to a date with Miami two days later. They do not have anything to prove here as they've trashed the Hawks by 24 where they jumped on them from start to finish. The Hawks, if anything else, would have pay back in mind. Then again, they're playing bad and shooting blanks the last 10 games. Like in my last few writeups on an Atlanta game - Hawks Sucks!
I think this is pretty much a play of the year or something. I was hoping for another Miami drama where everyone's like need to come together and talk and shit. That 4 game losing streak against teams they could've won but was bested in the waning moments of the game should be haunting them and they pretty much ask themselves why do they let teams back in. So the play here is Miami Heat -8.5. This is a statement game for the Heatles and pretty much something like an initial fire before welcoming the Lakeshow Thursday night! Portland is playing 3 games in 4 nights and you could tell something's up with them if you watched that game against Orlando. Portland played them tough in the Rose Garden early in January and the Heat needed an OT for the win and cover. Wade and Lebron combined for 78 of the Heats' 107 points with Aldridge leading the Blazers with 31. Batum went for 22 which should happen again Tuesday night.
You gotta love the Houston Rockets (+5.0) catching the points at Phoenix. The suns played terrific basketball and is playing catchup in playoff positioning. Houston is just the same and a win here should be big just in case they go into a deadlock. Nash is playing hurt as usual but nothing's new since he's a warrior thing is that Frye is out and he's been a huge part of the Suns' outside offense and rebounding (Gortat has limited range but still really handy). This game should go down the wire with both teams grinding each other out. I'm initially playing the Suns thinking they'd be a low point dog but ended up getting 5 which should come a long way in close games both teams would normally play. I see the game ending with either a 3 point lead to an 8 points lead. Either way, catching 5 is better.
BOL.
Milkman, love your write-ups.
MIA isn't playing the best ball lately and I dont think its going to change tonight. I think they will win but to cover 8.5 is a lot. I think we're better off taking MIA first half. They start strong and POR is B2B and usually their legs are tired at the start.
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Quote Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:
NBA YTD: 377-281-14 Sunday: 4-2 Monday: 5-4 (waiting for the Rockets)
Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 is really weird. Indiana isn't getting anything done after the break (3-4 SU/ATS) then again they were up against the better teams in the league. The 76ers is flying under the radar and has come from a sub .500 team to an above .500 team. They've won 8 of their last 10 and 15 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS in that stretch from 01/22/11 to 03/06/11), The Pacers leads the season series 2-1 and is currently in 8th spot in the east (1.5 games above Charlotte) so if anything, it should be a motivation for them. ATS trends all points to the 76ers and they are pretty much the better team all around in every areas except for the Center position.
I don't know what's up in Cleveland nowadays but the only thing that should keep you from playing the Golden State Warriors -3.5 is that they are on the road (8-22) and is playing the 6th game of a 7 game road trip which is a brutal schedule for them almost gone for a week now from home. Then again, the Clippers were just as bad on the road but managed to slug it out against the Bobcats Monday night. Earlier this season, the Warriors played the Cavs and they went on to shoot 14/28 in 3pt en route to a comfortable win and cover. It should be same as that night except it should be a bit closer like the Knicks@Cavs game except the Warriors edge them in the latter quarter like they put a scare on Boston a few games ago.
I wouldn't want to be up against the Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) at the moment. That's because they are crazy good. The only thing that worries me in this spot is that they could all be looking ahead to a date with Miami two days later. They do not have anything to prove here as they've trashed the Hawks by 24 where they jumped on them from start to finish. The Hawks, if anything else, would have pay back in mind. Then again, they're playing bad and shooting blanks the last 10 games. Like in my last few writeups on an Atlanta game - Hawks Sucks!
I think this is pretty much a play of the year or something. I was hoping for another Miami drama where everyone's like need to come together and talk and shit. That 4 game losing streak against teams they could've won but was bested in the waning moments of the game should be haunting them and they pretty much ask themselves why do they let teams back in. So the play here is Miami Heat -8.5. This is a statement game for the Heatles and pretty much something like an initial fire before welcoming the Lakeshow Thursday night! Portland is playing 3 games in 4 nights and you could tell something's up with them if you watched that game against Orlando. Portland played them tough in the Rose Garden early in January and the Heat needed an OT for the win and cover. Wade and Lebron combined for 78 of the Heats' 107 points with Aldridge leading the Blazers with 31. Batum went for 22 which should happen again Tuesday night.
You gotta love the Houston Rockets (+5.0) catching the points at Phoenix. The suns played terrific basketball and is playing catchup in playoff positioning. Houston is just the same and a win here should be big just in case they go into a deadlock. Nash is playing hurt as usual but nothing's new since he's a warrior thing is that Frye is out and he's been a huge part of the Suns' outside offense and rebounding (Gortat has limited range but still really handy). This game should go down the wire with both teams grinding each other out. I'm initially playing the Suns thinking they'd be a low point dog but ended up getting 5 which should come a long way in close games both teams would normally play. I see the game ending with either a 3 point lead to an 8 points lead. Either way, catching 5 is better.
BOL.
Milkman, love your write-ups.
MIA isn't playing the best ball lately and I dont think its going to change tonight. I think they will win but to cover 8.5 is a lot. I think we're better off taking MIA first half. They start strong and POR is B2B and usually their legs are tired at the start.
NBA YTD: 377-281-14 Sunday: 4-2 Monday: 5-4 (waiting for the Rockets)
Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 is really weird. Indiana isn't getting anything done after the break (3-4 SU/ATS) then again they were up against the better teams in the league. The 76ers is flying under the radar and has come from a sub .500 team to an above .500 team. They've won 8 of their last 10 and 15 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS in that stretch from 01/22/11 to 03/06/11), The Pacers leads the season series 2-1 and is currently in 8th spot in the east (1.5 games above Charlotte) so if anything, it should be a motivation for them. ATS trends all points to the 76ers and they are pretty much the better team all around in every areas except for the Center position.
I don't know what's up in Cleveland nowadays but the only thing that should keep you from playing the Golden State Warriors -3.5 is that they are on the road (8-22) and is playing the 6th game of a 7 game road trip which is a brutal schedule for them almost gone for a week now from home. Then again, the Clippers were just as bad on the road but managed to slug it out against the Bobcats Monday night. Earlier this season, the Warriors played the Cavs and they went on to shoot 14/28 in 3pt en route to a comfortable win and cover. It should be same as that night except it should be a bit closer like the Knicks@Cavs game except the Warriors edge them in the latter quarter like they put a scare on Boston a few games ago.
I wouldn't want to be up against the Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) at the moment. That's because they are crazy good. The only thing that worries me in this spot is that they could all be looking ahead to a date with Miami two days later. They do not have anything to prove here as they've trashed the Hawks by 24 where they jumped on them from start to finish. The Hawks, if anything else, would have pay back in mind. Then again, they're playing bad and shooting blanks the last 10 games. Like in my last few writeups on an Atlanta game - Hawks Sucks!
I think this is pretty much a play of the year or something. I was hoping for another Miami drama where everyone's like need to come together and talk and shit. That 4 game losing streak against teams they could've won but was bested in the waning moments of the game should be haunting them and they pretty much ask themselves why do they let teams back in. So the play here is Miami Heat -8.5. This is a statement game for the Heatles and pretty much something like an initial fire before welcoming the Lakeshow Thursday night! Portland is playing 3 games in 4 nights and you could tell something's up with them if you watched that game against Orlando. Portland played them tough in the Rose Garden early in January and the Heat needed an OT for the win and cover. Wade and Lebron combined for 78 of the Heats' 107 points with Aldridge leading the Blazers with 31. Batum went for 22 which should happen again Tuesday night.
You gotta love the Houston Rockets (+5.0) catching the points at Phoenix. The suns played terrific basketball and is playing catchup in playoff positioning. Houston is just the same and a win here should be big just in case they go into a deadlock. Nash is playing hurt as usual but nothing's new since he's a warrior thing is that Frye is out and he's been a huge part of the Suns' outside offense and rebounding (Gortat has limited range but still really handy). This game should go down the wire with both teams grinding each other out. I'm initially playing the Suns thinking they'd be a low point dog but ended up getting 5 which should come a long way in close games both teams would normally play. I see the game ending with either a 3 point lead to an 8 points lead. Either way, catching 5 is better.
BOL.
0
Quote Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:
NBA YTD: 377-281-14 Sunday: 4-2 Monday: 5-4 (waiting for the Rockets)
Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 is really weird. Indiana isn't getting anything done after the break (3-4 SU/ATS) then again they were up against the better teams in the league. The 76ers is flying under the radar and has come from a sub .500 team to an above .500 team. They've won 8 of their last 10 and 15 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS in that stretch from 01/22/11 to 03/06/11), The Pacers leads the season series 2-1 and is currently in 8th spot in the east (1.5 games above Charlotte) so if anything, it should be a motivation for them. ATS trends all points to the 76ers and they are pretty much the better team all around in every areas except for the Center position.
I don't know what's up in Cleveland nowadays but the only thing that should keep you from playing the Golden State Warriors -3.5 is that they are on the road (8-22) and is playing the 6th game of a 7 game road trip which is a brutal schedule for them almost gone for a week now from home. Then again, the Clippers were just as bad on the road but managed to slug it out against the Bobcats Monday night. Earlier this season, the Warriors played the Cavs and they went on to shoot 14/28 in 3pt en route to a comfortable win and cover. It should be same as that night except it should be a bit closer like the Knicks@Cavs game except the Warriors edge them in the latter quarter like they put a scare on Boston a few games ago.
I wouldn't want to be up against the Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) at the moment. That's because they are crazy good. The only thing that worries me in this spot is that they could all be looking ahead to a date with Miami two days later. They do not have anything to prove here as they've trashed the Hawks by 24 where they jumped on them from start to finish. The Hawks, if anything else, would have pay back in mind. Then again, they're playing bad and shooting blanks the last 10 games. Like in my last few writeups on an Atlanta game - Hawks Sucks!
I think this is pretty much a play of the year or something. I was hoping for another Miami drama where everyone's like need to come together and talk and shit. That 4 game losing streak against teams they could've won but was bested in the waning moments of the game should be haunting them and they pretty much ask themselves why do they let teams back in. So the play here is Miami Heat -8.5. This is a statement game for the Heatles and pretty much something like an initial fire before welcoming the Lakeshow Thursday night! Portland is playing 3 games in 4 nights and you could tell something's up with them if you watched that game against Orlando. Portland played them tough in the Rose Garden early in January and the Heat needed an OT for the win and cover. Wade and Lebron combined for 78 of the Heats' 107 points with Aldridge leading the Blazers with 31. Batum went for 22 which should happen again Tuesday night.
You gotta love the Houston Rockets (+5.0) catching the points at Phoenix. The suns played terrific basketball and is playing catchup in playoff positioning. Houston is just the same and a win here should be big just in case they go into a deadlock. Nash is playing hurt as usual but nothing's new since he's a warrior thing is that Frye is out and he's been a huge part of the Suns' outside offense and rebounding (Gortat has limited range but still really handy). This game should go down the wire with both teams grinding each other out. I'm initially playing the Suns thinking they'd be a low point dog but ended up getting 5 which should come a long way in close games both teams would normally play. I see the game ending with either a 3 point lead to an 8 points lead. Either way, catching 5 is better.
back a couple post to the Crying bit i think it was Wade since he has pretty much said under the radar that he is the one that is use to getting the last shot of the game
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back a couple post to the Crying bit i think it was Wade since he has pretty much said under the radar that he is the one that is use to getting the last shot of the game
milk do you give Blazers any credit at all? Your good at what you do I admit but Miami are in trouble right now and one thing they will struggle with is the Blazers height and their exceptional defensive abilities plus Roy is starting to gather fitness at a very nice rate for Blazer fans. Miami are a 3 man team and they are currently not functioning correctly as a team. Wouldn't buy into that news of players crying because if it is true even more reason to worry if your Heat backer and 8.5 points against a team that plays almost identicle to the Bulls who just beat the Heat is too many points. Revenge game as well after Blazer lost in OT
I agree. I think this has blazers and under written all over it. My boys Marcus Camby and Brandon Roy back too!! Forget about it. I think this Heat logic is flawed. Blazers are no joke when healthy.
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Quote Originally Posted by Geelong:
milk do you give Blazers any credit at all? Your good at what you do I admit but Miami are in trouble right now and one thing they will struggle with is the Blazers height and their exceptional defensive abilities plus Roy is starting to gather fitness at a very nice rate for Blazer fans. Miami are a 3 man team and they are currently not functioning correctly as a team. Wouldn't buy into that news of players crying because if it is true even more reason to worry if your Heat backer and 8.5 points against a team that plays almost identicle to the Bulls who just beat the Heat is too many points. Revenge game as well after Blazer lost in OT
I agree. I think this has blazers and under written all over it. My boys Marcus Camby and Brandon Roy back too!! Forget about it. I think this Heat logic is flawed. Blazers are no joke when healthy.
With ya on Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) Houston Rockets (+5.0)
However I just can't pull the trigger on the Heat. With all that's been going on, its evident that this ball club isn't functioning like it should be and something has definitely got to change. I can see a win but covering might be a different story. Last meeting they defeated the Blazers on the road by 7 in OT. Given today's game is in Miami's house, their ATS home record is 11-19 or something. Does that concern you at all?It would seem like it would be Portland or no play, no?
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With ya on Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) Houston Rockets (+5.0)
However I just can't pull the trigger on the Heat. With all that's been going on, its evident that this ball club isn't functioning like it should be and something has definitely got to change. I can see a win but covering might be a different story. Last meeting they defeated the Blazers on the road by 7 in OT. Given today's game is in Miami's house, their ATS home record is 11-19 or something. Does that concern you at all?It would seem like it would be Portland or no play, no?
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