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Crib notes from the Sty

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Posted: #26
Evening guys ,


I'm gonna tail a few of you guys today..


Pistons / Knicks Over 199

Heats /  Pelicans Over 101  1H


 
 
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Posted: #27
PHI/CLE over 1Q $$$$

 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

for those that follow the thread, this Bobcats/Wizards game is ripe for +money moneyline exchange plays.

other candidates for this tonight:

Lakers game
Bulls game, with the Suns winningg
Celtics game, with the nuggets winning
Kings game, and this is a toss up.

we'll see. I'm at work so I'll be waiting until the later games to pour over the lines in play.

 

what's a +money/money line exchange play?

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

PHI/CLE over 1Q $$$$


nice
 
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Posted: #30
PHX TT over 48 1H and -1 1H
 
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Posted: #31
don't have live betting on CLE game, have 1H 104.5 o... anyone like NYK 1H over ???
 
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Posted: #32
So.

Yesterday, I took ATL HAWKS at 5X at +120 in the first quarter, then, when Brooklyn was down by 8 points at half, I took them 5X at +155.

thus, I guarantee profit on that game.

Hawks lose, I"m down 5 units. 

Brooklyn Wins, I win 5 x 1.55 = 7.75

7.75 - 5 (hawks ML bet) = +2.25 Units on that game. or. +2.25 Units on 10 Units bet... whichever way you want to peel your banana.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by composite:

 

what's a +money/money line exchange play?

see above post
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by nopick:

don't have live betting on CLE game, have 1H 104.5 o... anyone like NYK 1H over ???

I played small Over 1H Knicks.
 
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Posted: #35
bottomline:

watching the live lines to take opposing teams' Moneylines at +money to ensure profit.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:


I played small Over 1H Knicks.

Never play Under when the game is at MSG.

 
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Posted: #37
NYI over 1P $$$$$ (with :44 secs left!!)
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

NYI over 1P $$$$$ (with :44 secs left!!)
listening live and thought to myself, "alright ultima!"
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:


Never play Under when the game is at MSG.

 
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Posted: #40
Agree HENRY. Smart way to play a live bet.
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

So.

Yesterday, I took ATL HAWKS at 5X at +120 in the first quarter, then, when Brooklyn was down by 8 points at half, I took them 5X at +155.

thus, I guarantee profit on that game.

Hawks lose, I"m down 5 units. 

Brooklyn Wins, I win 5 x 1.55 = 7.75

7.75 - 5 (hawks ML bet) = +2.25 Units on that game. or. +2.25 Units on 10 Units bet... whichever way you want to peel your banana.

 

Thanks. My book has a huge spread (-120 on each side) on live bet props.

 
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Posted: #42
team = Pistons and o:team = Knicks and total >= 198
SU:4-7 (-3.36, 36.4%)
ATS:4-7-0 (-4.00, 36.4%)  avg line: -0.6
O/U:5-6-0 (4.32, 45.5%)  avg total: 204.1
FGPctFTPct3sPctBLKSO-RBNDRBNDFoulsASTTOversQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team41.2747.614.7371.75.2736.24.3613.6443.1820.7321.4512.0925.127.324.922.8102.5
Opp38.0946.019.2782.210.4537.82.9111.0942.0920.0922.3612.2727.126.522.925.6105.9



some antiquated results, but basketball is one or two stars surrounded by journeymen.  
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

So.

Yesterday, I took ATL HAWKS at 5X at +120 in the first quarter, then, when Brooklyn was down by 8 points at half, I took them 5X at +155.

thus, I guarantee profit on that game.

Hawks lose, I"m down 5 units. 

Brooklyn Wins, I win 5 x 1.55 = 7.75

7.75 - 5 (hawks ML bet) = +2.25 Units on that game. or. +2.25 Units on 10 Units bet... whichever way you want to peel your banana.

But if Brooklyn doesn't collapse in the 2nd Q, don't you just end up with 5X on Hawks, which ultimately loses?
Sounds like you need a game to rollercoaster to make money doing that....
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by composite:

 

Thanks. My book has a huge spread (-120 on each side) on live bet props.

not atypical to have 20 points, but yeesh 40 points is quite a bit.

Is that like -120 WAS PK, -120 CHA PK for picks?

40 point spreads are usually in the 180-250 range:

-240, +200
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:


But if Brooklyn doesn't collapse in the 2nd Q, don't you just end up with 5X on Hawks, which ultimately loses?
Sounds like you need a game to rollercoaster to make money doing that....
yes. it's surprising to see how momentum runs really drive a game in the NBA.

like the Timberwolves losing to the Mavs after they were up by like 19 at half a few weeks ago. 
 
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Posted: #46
Sharks/Preds o1.5 1P
 
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Posted: #47
hahahahah. melo, you were right on in this Bobcats game. 
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:


But if Brooklyn doesn't collapse in the 2nd Q, don't you just end up with 5X on Hawks, which ultimately loses?
Sounds like you need a game to rollercoaster to make money doing that....

Hell no, Brooklyn will never blow any team. That game basically was up and down, 1 to 6 point margin is close game. 
 
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

hahahahah. melo, you were right on in this Bobcats game. 

They were hot on the west coast road trip. Now back to reality. 
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:


Hell no, Brooklyn will never blow any team. That game basically was up and down, 1 to 6 point margin is close game. 
 
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