Posted:
#1
reg 39-23
playoffs 38-21
finals 0-0
Bad beat on the bulls last game.
Win1234, private message me and I can respond to your questions, I'm sure everyone in my thread doesn't need to read my theory on sports gambling.
Today's play;
dallas @ miami over 188 (+102, 1 unit)
I hate going with the public and this line is begging for over action (and getting it), but the first game of a series trend is strong.
Dallas and miami are 4-2 over-under in game 1's thus far in the playoffs, a trend continued by other teams as well.
I've talked about this another time, these first games each team is probing the others defense, there are usually quite a few more easy buckets. Also, I think this first game will have a ton of fouls called for miami, as they will be attacking relentlessly untill dallas figures out how to stop them. Watching tape is a poor substitute for game time experience.
Sold a half point, I think this ends up close to 200.
Hope for even more, so I can pound the under every game after this one. 
I have no strong opinion on the side (but lean with dallas).
As a side note, I have almost 10% of my bankroll on dallas to win, ranging from +1400 down to +170. As soon as dallas wins one game (ideally gm 1), I will hedge out. If they lose game 1, I will likely add more.
Opinions and thoughts are more than welcome, we have 3 days to wait.
Good luck everyone,
CT
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