Posted:
#1
2016 Record 0-0
Yes I am now starting to contribute to this site as I feel like the time is ripe and that this is a big play with an 87% chance of winning according to my extensive calculations and believe it or not I've been very profitable this NBA playoffs. I don't care who follows me but I am very confident and I will start posting my plays of the year starting from today but will continue starting next NBA season. Take it how you want but the season is over tomorrow.
I've watched both the dubs and cavaliers all season long and I rarely missed a dubs game.
However, I made a cavaliers series bet prior to Game 5 given the tremendous value. I felt the cavaliers had a hitter's chance of winning and I went all out on the Cavs on Game 5 expecting them to give a herculean effort which they did particularly against Curry who they've utilized the "Jordan Rules" against putting a body on him wherever he goes.
I expect Love to play better at home which he usually does but he won't play great just decent. However, I wouldn't discount Jefferson as the starter for tomorrow given Loves poor performance in the Finals. I also expect Lebron to dominate the paint and the BallsBuster. Lebron will get his points in the paint no doubt but will not be able to hit those open jumpers the dubs were giving him as they will play tighter defense. Also, JR should contribute double digits at home and play his usually great defense. Kyrie is capable of producing 40 point games in any game he plays in but not when warriors defense play lockdown defense on him. He made tough shots and was hitting shots at a extraordinary rate which WONT HAPPEN AGAIN against this underrated warriors defense that WILL NOT be hindered by the absence of Bogut although Bogut is a premier rim protector. What the Dubs give up in defense they make up in offensive efficiency. Tristan Thompson is a extremely consistent player and I expect him to have an above average game. They will also utilize Shumpert and Delly for defense and Frye for three point shooting. Jefferson should get some minutes as well.
With all this said, Dubs are just better than the Cavs period. No way they should be dogs in this game. My figures have them as a 8 point favorite. Sounds ridiculously high doesn't it? Considering Cavs play extremely well at home and they're missing Bogut. The reason for the high figure is that when the dubs win, they don't usually win in single digits. Curry had an abnormally off game even with the suffocating D. He will have a better game which he is due for and which is in him. Klay did his part offensively but couldn't take care of Irving. Klay will do a better job the next game guaranteed. Klay is a competitor and a exceptionally good defender and one of the greatest shooters. Barnes had great looks but just couldn't hit his shots. Barnes is usually one of the most consistent and also accurate shooters when he is open. Green is the X factor because if he is hitting his shots, the warriors are unstoppable. Green takes more shots than he should and isn't as great offensively as many of his team mates and offensively can be a detriment to the dubs by taking too many shots but when he is making passes and play great defense. The Dubs are the 73-9 team that they are. Iguodala is clutch and his defense is exceptional. Barbosa is a great player off the bench a impact player both offensively and defensively. Livington makes it tough for Kyrie to make shots because of his length. Also, If cave go small ball Livingston can get his shot whenever he wants and HE MAKES THEM. MO Buckets had an off game BUT HE GETS BUCKETS DONT FORGET. His Mid-Range is deadly. EZELI AND VAREJAO GIVES ENERGY. I don't expect to see Clark,Rush, or McAdoo ANYMORE. This team is better than last year. This team is better than practically every team in NBA history.
Please don't be fooled by the last game. Dubs didn't have the energy. Green wasn't playing. but most importantly Cavs WON that game. Kyrie and Lebron did what they do and Dubs didn't stop them. They will stop them now. They will force the other players to score. Mark my words wouldn't write all this for nothing.
Dubs ML + Dubs +2
Leaning Over 207.5
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