Ever wonder about spreads

I’ve been doing this a long time like a lot of you …but for instance, the Laker game  today total was 217.5  first half 118 points ok..both  shot average 44 and 43 % ..close game 60-58 ..second half total 106.5 hmmm thought it was going  to be  around 108  ..so i bet over ..of course lakers shit the bed in the third 18 points ..and of course they scored 106 second half   lakers take a wild 3 with 34 seconds left didnt come close magic dribble it out … just makes you wonder how  this keeps happeneing it is not just happening every now and then it happens a couple times a freaking week  If the spread is  7 1/2 they win by 7  if its 13 1/2. They win by 13 total 228 1/2 they score 229  if second half 114 it ends up being 114   Just happened the other day in the NBA 4 1/2 minutes left needed four fucking points to tie five to win. They got four fucking points missed four free throws in a row. It can’t just be a coincidence this many times just can’t how do they make the spread that and how does it end up missing by half point how did they come up with that spread today? 118 first half total is 217.5  all they need is 100 they both shoot 40% 42% but they come up 106.5 and they score 106 ..i am venting but come on …

well sometimes there are fishy play calling, but with 100s of games each day, there's bound to be coincidental photo finishes.  It just the ones that you lose obvious lly stand out more.

For example, I had Colorado St vs Memphis on friday over 147.5 and Sunday Colorado St and over 142.5 , both games needed miracle finishes to go over by half a point.   Then today, I had Chicago Bulls first half +1.5, and coby white makes a ridiculous 3 at the buzzer 65 all.  

Don't you think coaches and players know the spread (game or 2nd half). They will do exactly what they instructed to do.

Do you think if it was rigged they would keep it so close to predicted outcome. M

... and then there are some good cappers who would buy the half point at the right situation and was saved or won.  Also these cappers tend to bet early and get the good odds before they go up.  I gave up on analyzing games and just follow.  

Yep, just gotta be on the right side my friend. Happens every single day on numerous games. Betting is legal now. The handles on everything are ridiculous. Good luck 

You only notice the games this happens on and not the ones it doesn’t. Also the lines move a few points so there will be plenty of people who say I lost by half a point on my line

Crunch the numbers and see

And buying points is a losing strategy. Don’t let anyone tell you different 

Agree with this fully.  I mean it's hard enough to hit 53 percent long term on -110 bets, how cam one think they can beat -120 odds by gaining a half point

running numbers works like 55% of the time lmao nothings a bad strategy in the nba you need 1000 different strategy's. strategy #1 buy the .5  lmao

that is true, if you watched every game every night in every sport.. but when you only watch 1-3 games each night and it happens every night and it just so happens its prime time on the most bet side, it sticks out.

Just happened a fucking again .. 107.5 second half of the suns game they scored 107 that’s three times now  in 4 days …coincidence again really WTF ..missed free throw ..boston of course shot clock violation ..suns dribble it out …

Back to my original question what’s the formula for a second half spread   the dorst half score was 127 points  how do they come up with a number like 107.5 and how do they only score 107 on the dot it keeps happening. .. Laker game they scored 128 the first half the second half number was 113.5 they had 114 points wasn’t for LeBron‘s last split second tipin . It would’ve landed on 114 and they would’ve covered it by a half point. It’s just too fucking strange and coincidental

@smellieflower

Second halves at least on my books you cant buy points onky full game 

@ALEXSON

 Im talking mainly second halves

I have pre-game Over 221.5 and the way they were playing in the 4th just dribbling and passing the entire shot clocks out had me nervous.

Once they put in the 3rd stringers it almost felt like it might just stay under FG

6 to 7 games out of 10 usually flip at half time spread, totals are prolly 3 to 5 games of 10 flip from halfs. ah i see i dont get 2nd half stuff with the book i use its either ml 2nd half or nothing but if your watching the game close enough you should be able to pick up on the nuance of it about to switch to the other team momentum wise. i love basketball so the statement might be geared towards me but theres still showing signs that point. nothing we can do when they shave the shit out of the points like both tnts games yesterday. do you play 2nd halfs live or before the game because if its live you might need watch it differently