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fading top 10 survior rank plays daily....Day1 (4picks)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Not sure if anyone has tracked this before or not,if so I apologize for the repetition and also i mean no disrespect to any of the other members whose picks I am fading, it is my belief that the odds are against you to keep picking winners, i have done this in the past and its worked ok, not sure if it was just coincidence or a pattern since i did not do it consistently enough...so im just going to put enough to win 1 unit on every play

I'm just going to post the plays i am making (which will be the opposite of what is picked by the top people in survivor)....going to do this for at least the rest of February

Feel free to chime in on whatever you like

WED FEB9 Picks:


All are 1.1 to win 1
NBA
Dal vs Sac UNDER 196
Toronto +7
Phil +1

NCAA BSK
Drexel -3.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
0-3 start...could be a bad experiment but i'll keep pluggin it
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
couldnt have asked for a better start ...0-4 ,,,yayyy....
FEB 9  0-4 -4.4 units

Thur Feb 10th plays
(will add before 7:30 eastern if any more go on)
NBA
Dal vs Den under 210.5


NCAA
Louisianna-Fayette +2.5
Georgia Tech +1

NHL
Buffalo Vs Florida OVER 5.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
(the buffalo florida over 5.5 is at +110...so that is 1 to win 1.1 instead of the other way around)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
added close to 7:30pm
NBA
LA vs Boston OVER 188

NCAA
St Johns +1.5
Valpraiso -7.5
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #6
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
so far the top 10 survivors are holding it down for sure....2-8 fading them over the 1st 2 days

FRI FEB 11 Plays
NBA
LA Lakers vs New York UNDER 211.5
PHI +3.5

NCAAB
Harvard -12

NHL
Chicago Vs Atlanta OVER 5.5
 
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Posted: #8
BOL
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
(i may quit using / throw out the hockey bets or look at them seperately since it seems alot of the survivor picks are under 5.5 goals no matter the situation)

also adding that other than my survivor picks and the few dollars i have built up on centsports.com i'm not betting these games, just tracking them and doing it on here so its a little more fun and others can chime in
 
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Posted: #10
why would u wanna fade the hottest cappers in the world?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
mite try tailing them and see how that goes for you
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
hopefully nobody has been tailing me ...and im just tracking the games, im not putting any real money on the games (i did put some free plays on the games from youwager and betjamaica)

inev, no offense to them but i wouldnt call them the hottest cappers, just on a somewhat lucky streak of 10+ picks, but the #s are definitely proving my initial thought wrong..if i thought they were that good i would have just kept track of their record instead of keeping track of what fading them would produce =( (red face)

additional games (Already started so i won't count them in + - but i will count them in overall survivor picks

NBA
Mil +4

NHL
Pitt VS NY Islanders UNDER 5.5 (already 10 goals in 2 periods!)

 
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Posted: #13
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
so far fading the top survivor picks 6-10


FEB12 plays:

NCAAB
Tulsa +3.5
UNLV -1.5
Wisconsin Pickem
Rhode Island -10
Ohio St Vs Wisconsion OVER 122

NHL
St Louis Vs Minn OVER 5.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
3-3 yesterday, 9-13 overall

i may have missed a few late adds yesterday, i didnt check back after 4pm

FEB13 plays
NBA
Wash +2

NCAAB
Duke -10
Cincinatti -5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
added FEB 13 plays:
NBA
Orlando -1.5
Detroit +2

NHL
Boston/Det UNDER 5.5 (in progress already 5 goals in 2nd period)
 
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Posted: #17
 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
added plays:

NBA
Sacramento +8.5

NCAAB
Duke/Miami UNDER 143.5
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by InevErwin:

why would u wanna fade the hottest cappers in the world?


in the world?  really!?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
added play of ncaab ariz/ariz st OVER 135

2 games pending, 1-4 today so far,10-17 up to this point
would be 9-13 if we don't count the NHL Over/under picks (1-4)

again at this point i am just tracking picks, my original theory was that the top rankings in survivor picks would have a greater chance of losing
although i have only been doing this for 4 days , right now it would suggest that a blind fade or tail of these picks has no value.

i am going to continue to do this for at least 30 days to get some kind of long term trend

also , if i happen to have missed someones survivor pick that you notice,post it on here for me,,,usually weekdays i have no problem seeing them all...saturdays look like i may miss a few depending on how late they are picked,,,thanks everyone hope this thread can at least provide a little entertainment for you.
 
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Posted: #21
Great capping.

Why would you even risk a dollar with something like this? Survivor is a free competition, keep digging into your wallet with this genius system.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22
not entirely sure what you are trying to get at....as mentioned multiple times i am just tracking the fade picks...maybe its a dumb theory,no.... probably its a dumb theory, but i cant be the only one that has thought about fading/tailing survivor picks, so a little statistical info can only be helpful to everyone...

....and your other commment... since survivor is a free competition that would support my initial theory that fading the top players picks may have some value....ok so i lost $44 the 1st night and have just been tracking since...while $40 may be your entire welfare check ,its just 40 bucks to me...keep it comin though we need some humor in this thread or something to get other's attention

11-18 fading so far (10-14 if remove NHL bets which are weighted)




 
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Posted: #23
MON FEB 14 plays
NBA
Denver/Houston OVER 222.5

NCAAB
Syracuse -5

NHL
Phoenix (-105)
Wash/Pho UNDER 5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #24
NBA
NJ +8
 
 
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Posted: #25
NHL
Van/Min OVER 5.5
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