FIBA WC 2014 1/4finals

Brasil to win RT 3 units @1.66 Marathonbet

do you think serbia wont win against brazil dude? i think they almost evenly matched, serbia even has a slight advantage on the outside shots...hw bout france? i think they can cover the spread against spain...

Will stay away on France.

And I'm strongly on Brasil, since the group stage was pretty sure they can be in top 4 and I even think they will beat Lithuania if they play against each other.

USA to win World Cup 8 units @1.57 Bet365
Strongly on it, just the referees can help to Spain.

usa to win all that is more of a safe bet i think....goodluck on your brazil bet though i think i will pass that one and just bet france small play.

Darjus Lavrinovic over 8 2 units @1.85 Unibet

serbia really is for real

What a quarterfinals! And basically all the championship, I think backing all the underdogs would have given ~20-30% profit in this championship but happy, that managed to trade Brasil in play and made just small minus with this one yesterday and got money from Spain under, so was pretty good day yesterday. Furthermore, USA odds went from 1.57 to ~1.10 today

what do you thinkl will lithuani cover?

To tell the truth, I don't think they will cover. Even coach Kazlauskas said, they will look up at the situation, and if they see there are no chances to fight, they will start thinking about the game for 3rd place.

wow if the coach said that well its better to stay off em now. thanks man, im glad we both won last night, the usa has alot of quick big men who can match lithuania and alot of guards to shot and drive. i think you are right and just be realistic you stand a pretty good chance for 3rd place than risk injury and fatigue  in this game

You're right, actually, if the game starts with USA domination and they will have ~13-15 pts lead, I will take USA handicap with this kind of situation. Will be looking for it.

goodluck to you man...ill just be waiting tomorrow to bomb serbia

About tomorrow, I think it's 50/50 game, probably will simply take the higher odds

yeah im taking whoever has the points man and its serbia for sure coz of frances lucky win over spain. they just caught spain on a very bad day that time. serbia is very consistent and has more teamwork than france....if batum has a bad day tomorrow then france will go down easily....

^ France are catching the points tomororow, they're 2.5 point dogs to Serbia

@Lukitas,

you really think your squad won't be able to hang within 25 of this US team? Interesting...they return 6 from the team that took US to the brink two years ago.

US only returing 2 from that team, which was much stronger, and they were guys who didn't get any playing time in Harden and Ant Davis.

Blocksnbooze that squad wasn't much stronger.

Ok, I can explain some insights about that. 4 years ago Lithuania lost by 15 to USA and 2 years ago we lost by 5. Both times my team chosen the tactics to do everything to stop Americans inside the paint and let them shoot 3pts shots and both times they did it very successfully to every American, except Durant. In 2010 Durant scored 38 with 14/25 field shots and in 2012 he scored 16, but made 4/7 3pts shots. In 2010 all other americans except Durant scored 3/13 3pt shots and in 2012 they did 5/25.

Both these matches we had awesome playmakers, who were a very big part of out team, they were the coaches on the court for Lithuania, Kalnietis and Jasikevicius.

And now situation is totally diferent. This year we lost Kalnietis on the last friendly game, so Lithuania was preparing to have Kalnietis as the main power and the captain for the team and lost him on the last day before the championship. We have just 2 young playmakers without that kind of games experience this year and sometimes we put Seibutis, our shooting guard, for playmaker position. Furthermore, this year USA team is totally diferent - they have awesome shooters like Curry, Harden, Thompson and USA are shooting over 38% 3pointers in the tournament, so this tactic totally doesn't fit. We will not have the advantage in the paint against USA, like we had playing with other teams.

But definately, Lithuania will try to fight at first, but the thoughts of Lietuva coach and some other signs make me think, that we will loose quite big. I'm not locking the bet on prematch, I will see how the match goes, and as I said earlier, I will look for the signs that coach Kazlauskas starts looking for 3rd place game and then I will lock the bet for USA, because I don't think team with Seibutis, Valanciunas and Darjus Lavrinovic on the bench can keep it close, these are main players that needs some rest.

Enjoy the game guys!

And actually, Lithuanians strongly believe in our team and picking Lithuania a lot, but myself today I don't for the reasons I mentioned above :)

But if we could win, I definately would blow away my 5 units, just to have opportunity to play in finals! GL!

^ Great insight. Thanks for that.

Betting line getting crushed...opened USA +27.5 now at 23.5. Looks like Lithuania has some backers!

Yeah, everybody is looking at the history :) actually it opened even at 29.5 first minutes.

^ They're hanging tough...I know USA is strong in the 3Q, but if they weather that run, it's going to be close...

wow lithuania playing their hearts out in this game already one player injured...usa playing like little girls on this one espcially harden....i think lith can cover but if that last technical can fire up this sissies in the second half and concentrate on the game instead of just fooling around then we might see a blowout...still 70% chance now lith covers....

thank you irving!!!!!

Great analysis Lukitas...Lithuania hung tough for a half, but eventually sheer talent and atleticism won out