I've been 30-11 these past two weeks and figured I finally hit a point where I guess I'm able to make decent calls... we'll see how short-lived this thread is.
NBA 2/3/23
CHA vs DET (DET 1H) (DET FG) (O239.5) SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG) (O233.5) POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG) PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5) (BOS FG -10) TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4) (TOR FG -8) ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5) (ORL +4.5 FG) ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG)
PHI SAS is a no touch for me... 76ers stupid unreliable with large spreads, and away at that.
BOL to all, especially those who tail & remember to only degen what you can afford.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I've been 30-11 these past two weeks and figured I finally hit a point where I guess I'm able to make decent calls... we'll see how short-lived this thread is.
NBA 2/3/23
CHA vs DET (DET 1H) (DET FG) (O239.5) SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG) (O233.5) POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG) PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5) (BOS FG -10) TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4) (TOR FG -8) ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5) (ORL +4.5 FG) ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG)
PHI SAS is a no touch for me... 76ers stupid unreliable with large spreads, and away at that.
BOL to all, especially those who tail & remember to only degen what you can afford.
You are correct - let me clarify my anger towards the 76ers as that being towards what I would consider "teams that aren't playing for a chip". Versus teams like the Pacers, Spurs, Magic, Pistons, etc. - I did a quick look at some recent games and it only makes sense that they don't want to risk any injuries and allow for load management since they theoretically should be blowing them out. However, once they attain a dd lead at some point, they tend to sub in players that play super fast; typically to the favor of the opposing team.
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@SPark1
You are correct - let me clarify my anger towards the 76ers as that being towards what I would consider "teams that aren't playing for a chip". Versus teams like the Pacers, Spurs, Magic, Pistons, etc. - I did a quick look at some recent games and it only makes sense that they don't want to risk any injuries and allow for load management since they theoretically should be blowing them out. However, once they attain a dd lead at some point, they tend to sub in players that play super fast; typically to the favor of the opposing team.
CHA vs DET (DET 1H) (DET FG) (O239.5) W W L SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG) (O233.5) W L POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG) W PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5) (BOS FG -10) W L (not doing this reverse team betting again) TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4) (TOR FG -8) W L ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5) (ORL +4.5 FG) L W ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG) W (posting this early but looks like hawks have a clear edge)
GN All see you tmr
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CHA vs DET (DET 1H) (DET FG) (O239.5) W W L SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG) (O233.5) W L POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG) W PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5) (BOS FG -10) W L (not doing this reverse team betting again) TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4) (TOR FG -8) W L ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5) (ORL +4.5 FG) L W ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG) W (posting this early but looks like hawks have a clear edge)
LAL vs NOP (O232.5) With Westbrook out, Lebron questionable, and AD probable, this looks like it'll be a pretty close matchup here. I wouldn't be surprised to see another OT. WAS vs BKN (O229) Kyrie officially requested a trade here - don't expect him to be dropping 30 this game; however the Nets overall have a lanky team that can give Porzingas a run for his money in terms of pacing. I expect this game to lean towards BKN, but it depends on how closely guarded and open the paint is. PHX vs DET (PHX -4.5) Even on a B2B, this should be a win with CP3 playing here; they should be able to control the pace of the game here. With how fast the second string Suns have showed us they can play, I wouldn't be surprised if this game went over too. LAC vs NYK (LAC -3.5) It's too suspicious to have a home team favored at +3.5; additionally, the Knicks do not play well at MSG for some reason and play better on the road. On the other hand, the Clippers do very well against teams like the Knicks, where they can match pace. They have consistent mid-range shooters compared to the Knicks that rely on 3s to fix their pacing throughout the game. With Mitchell Robinson still out here, Zubac and Batum continue to be defensive threats. POR vs CHI (O234.5) This is the toss-up of the night. You have two inconsistent teams that either shoot well or don't shoot well at all. The best bet here is the over, as either of these teams could pop off at any minute - but then the other will choose to turn up. There are plenty of games just in the last week or two where POR has been down double digits in the FH and tied it up in the 3rd quarter. Likewise, we're familiar with the Bulls and Mr. 4th quarter here. MIA vs MIL (MIL -5) This is probably the safest bet of the night, but now that I've written it in stone it will come back to haunt me. However, you just don't skip lines like this. If you lose, you lose - it is what it is. HOU vs OKC (OKC -10) OKC is undoubtedly the better team; with Eric Gordon out, they're missing some consistent scoring here; I expect to see a lot of threes chucked this game, so the over may be a worthwhile play. DAL vs GSW (GSW - 10) No Luka against GSW at home? I'll take this spread any day. Again, like MIL - if you don't cover here it is what it is. ATL vs DEN (ATL +6) This is a ton of points to give ATL here - they are one of the teams that can actually attack Jokic in the paint efficiently. With DEN playing a B2B tomorrow, I expect Jokic to sit out one of these days. I'd grab this line while I can if Jokic is indeed out tonight, but it's more likely he's resting tomorrow. Regardless, Capela and Collins have been putting in a lot of work off the glass, and while DEN is great on the offensive with Jokic, they lack defense - Trae exploits these weaknesses in teams and has high BBALL IQ against flaws like this.
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LAL vs NOP (O232.5) With Westbrook out, Lebron questionable, and AD probable, this looks like it'll be a pretty close matchup here. I wouldn't be surprised to see another OT. WAS vs BKN (O229) Kyrie officially requested a trade here - don't expect him to be dropping 30 this game; however the Nets overall have a lanky team that can give Porzingas a run for his money in terms of pacing. I expect this game to lean towards BKN, but it depends on how closely guarded and open the paint is. PHX vs DET (PHX -4.5) Even on a B2B, this should be a win with CP3 playing here; they should be able to control the pace of the game here. With how fast the second string Suns have showed us they can play, I wouldn't be surprised if this game went over too. LAC vs NYK (LAC -3.5) It's too suspicious to have a home team favored at +3.5; additionally, the Knicks do not play well at MSG for some reason and play better on the road. On the other hand, the Clippers do very well against teams like the Knicks, where they can match pace. They have consistent mid-range shooters compared to the Knicks that rely on 3s to fix their pacing throughout the game. With Mitchell Robinson still out here, Zubac and Batum continue to be defensive threats. POR vs CHI (O234.5) This is the toss-up of the night. You have two inconsistent teams that either shoot well or don't shoot well at all. The best bet here is the over, as either of these teams could pop off at any minute - but then the other will choose to turn up. There are plenty of games just in the last week or two where POR has been down double digits in the FH and tied it up in the 3rd quarter. Likewise, we're familiar with the Bulls and Mr. 4th quarter here. MIA vs MIL (MIL -5) This is probably the safest bet of the night, but now that I've written it in stone it will come back to haunt me. However, you just don't skip lines like this. If you lose, you lose - it is what it is. HOU vs OKC (OKC -10) OKC is undoubtedly the better team; with Eric Gordon out, they're missing some consistent scoring here; I expect to see a lot of threes chucked this game, so the over may be a worthwhile play. DAL vs GSW (GSW - 10) No Luka against GSW at home? I'll take this spread any day. Again, like MIL - if you don't cover here it is what it is. ATL vs DEN (ATL +6) This is a ton of points to give ATL here - they are one of the teams that can actually attack Jokic in the paint efficiently. With DEN playing a B2B tomorrow, I expect Jokic to sit out one of these days. I'd grab this line while I can if Jokic is indeed out tonight, but it's more likely he's resting tomorrow. Regardless, Capela and Collins have been putting in a lot of work off the glass, and while DEN is great on the offensive with Jokic, they lack defense - Trae exploits these weaknesses in teams and has high BBALL IQ against flaws like this.
LAL vs NOP (O232.5) W WAS vs BKN (O229) W PHX vs DET (PHX -4.5) W LAC vs NYK (LAC -3.5) W POR vs CHI (O234.5) W MIA vs MIL (MIL -5) W HOU vs OKC (OKC -10) W DAL vs GSW (GSW - 10) L - is what it is ATL vs DEN (ATL +6) L - we took this too early - if I knew no Trae, I would not have bet. We’ll still count it in the record because a loss is ultimately still a loss
7-2 today BOL tmr.
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LAL vs NOP (O232.5) W WAS vs BKN (O229) W PHX vs DET (PHX -4.5) W LAC vs NYK (LAC -3.5) W POR vs CHI (O234.5) W MIA vs MIL (MIL -5) W HOU vs OKC (OKC -10) W DAL vs GSW (GSW - 10) L - is what it is ATL vs DEN (ATL +6) L - we took this too early - if I knew no Trae, I would not have bet. We’ll still count it in the record because a loss is ultimately still a loss
CHA vs DET (DET 1H)Win (DET FG)Win (O239.5)Loss SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG)Win (O233.5)Win POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG)Win PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5)Win (BOS FG -10)Loss TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4)Win (TOR FG -8)Loss ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5)Loss (ORL +4.5 FG)Win ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG)Win
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Here are your results from the top:
You went 9 win and 4 loss plus 5
CHA vs DET (DET 1H)Win (DET FG)Win (O239.5)Loss SAC vs IND (IND +4 FG)Win (O233.5)Win POR vs WAS (POR +4 FG)Win PHX vs BOS (PHX 1H +5)Win (BOS FG -10)Loss TOR vs HOU (TOR 1H -4)Win (TOR FG -8)Loss ORL vs MIN (ORL 1Q +1.5)Loss (ORL +4.5 FG)Win ATL vs UTA (ATL +1 FG)Win
CLE vs WAS (CLE-1.5) (U222.5) BOS vs DET (DET +10.5) (U230) LAC vs BK (LAC -8) (O220.5) SAC vs HOU (SAC -7) (O238) SA vs CHI (CHI -10) (U239) DAL vs UTA (DAL +9) (O222.5) OKC vs GS (GS-4) (U234) MIL vs POR (MIL -4.5) (O242)
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CLE vs WAS (CLE-1.5) (U222.5) BOS vs DET (DET +10.5) (U230) LAC vs BK (LAC -8) (O220.5) SAC vs HOU (SAC -7) (O238) SA vs CHI (CHI -10) (U239) DAL vs UTA (DAL +9) (O222.5) OKC vs GS (GS-4) (U234) MIL vs POR (MIL -4.5) (O242)
CLE vs WAS (CLE-1.5) (U222.5) W W BOS vs DET (DET +10.5) (U230) L W LAC vs BK (LAC -8) (O220.5) D W SAC vs HOU (SAC -7) (O238) W W SA vs CHI (CHI -10) (U239) W W DAL vs UTA (DAL +9) (O222.5) W W OKC vs GS (GS-4) (U234) W L MIL vs POR (MIL -4.5) (O242) W L
12-3-1 today BOL tomorrow
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CLE vs WAS (CLE-1.5) (U222.5) W W BOS vs DET (DET +10.5) (U230) L W LAC vs BK (LAC -8) (O220.5) D W SAC vs HOU (SAC -7) (O238) W W SA vs CHI (CHI -10) (U239) W W DAL vs UTA (DAL +9) (O222.5) W W OKC vs GS (GS-4) (U234) W L MIL vs POR (MIL -4.5) (O242) W L
NYK vs ORL (NYK -1.5) PHX vs BKN (PHX -6) ATL vs NO (ATL +2) (O235) CHI vs MEM (O235.5) MIN vs DEN (DEN -8) (U235.5) OKC vs LAL (LAL -7) (O237.5)
I don't necessarily like most of the games today, but for purposes of trying to win the $3500 on the king of covers; these are my leans. Heavier on NYK, PHX, and ATL O235 Can follow my progress - #19 on weekly at the moment; hopefully top 10 by EOD
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NYK vs ORL (NYK -1.5) PHX vs BKN (PHX -6) ATL vs NO (ATL +2) (O235) CHI vs MEM (O235.5) MIN vs DEN (DEN -8) (U235.5) OKC vs LAL (LAL -7) (O237.5)
I don't necessarily like most of the games today, but for purposes of trying to win the $3500 on the king of covers; these are my leans. Heavier on NYK, PHX, and ATL O235 Can follow my progress - #19 on weekly at the moment; hopefully top 10 by EOD
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