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Game 4, I know my team.

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Posted: #26
Saying something "will happen" does not constitute a good write-up! His write-up was better than yours...
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Posted: #27

I don't think so..lol you don't see all the things wrong with his write up that I see...

Once again, the same thing we argued about before...LOL Seeing vs not seeing.

No point really. But I could explain it would take a while though. One thing right off the top is the spread he doesn't get actually favors cleveland. If CLE was -3 or more than it would favor golden state so he had that backwards

he is fooled the reverse psychology of the books

 
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Posted: #28
GS is still in a great/relaxed spot. If they win game 4, this series is a wrap and they know it. However if the Cavs win, pressure falls back on GS in game 5. They can't go down 3-2 heading back to Cleveland because unlike Durant, Lebron doesn't fold under pressure. I think Cavs get a close game 4. I think 5 and 6 go to the home teams and game 7 will be up in the air. 
 
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Posted: #29
You can have the best write up in the world and still lose!!!!!!!!! I've been on covers for years and I still get a kick out of what people say. The Warriors record is 6-4 yea because they play in the Western Conference Maybe? The Eastern Conference reminds me of the CBA besides The Cavs. 
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

Good write-up, and I think you have a good read on it.  Prior to the series, Game 3 is the only one I predicted the Cavs would win, although I couldn't bring myself to bet them.  Game 4 is the Warriors game to win!

Incidentally, I saw a stat before game 3:  teams losing by 30 points in the Finals (before game 3) were 8-5 SU in the following game. That trend now becomes 9-5 SU... but now it applies to the Warriors.  Most trends are meaningless, but trends like this one are not, because it relates directly to sports psychology.  The winning team feels over-confident, and the losing team feels like they have to play perfect to win.

Regarding ISO-ball: the Cavs at one point in the game had only scored 16 of their 48 points off of more than 1 pass.  The other 32 points came off of 1 pass or 0 passes.  That means they are living and dying off of one-on-one situations and hot shooting.  That can go south very quickly, especially if GS (who has the superior coach) makes the correct adjustments.

Game 4 is the key game in this series.  Right now everyone is over-reacting to what was a favorable situation for the Cavs, coming home off of 2 blowout losses... but that doesn't hold true again in Game 4.

Enjoy the game!




I find this persuasive. Unfortunately.

Following GS going up 2-0, I saw the series line go to 6-1 on Cleveland. I thought that was an overreaction, since all GS had really done was "hold serve." I took Cleveland at 6-1 and now have some equity since I can now get GS on the series line at 4-1, covering my series bet either way. But, I previously felt there was a pretty good chance Cleveland could win their first two home games, which, if that happens, will probably let me get GS on the series line at something like 2-1. So, my quandary is whether to grab GS now and just play with house money, or, to hope Cleveland wins Friday at home, at which time I'd be able to grab GS at a much better series price of about 2-1. or 2.15.

I'm probably going to let it play out on Cleveland on Friday, but I think I agree this looks like a bad spot for them.
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

His picture gives it away too.

He's totally bias, and I said he blindly picks which he does, I mean look he passed up free money last night going with a first half play when he said he was sure cavs would win the game!

Cavs were -120 for game and -150 for half. Why would he throw away -30 if he wasn't blind?

 

I have other reasons for saying that as well...I know the dude is blind. But I don't want to argue about it

 

I bet first half because to me it was a better bet before the game, it pays out the same as moneyline so i have no clue what h are talking about. Like i said ibet against the warriors but i tred lightly when it comes to the game bet. I almost never bet entire games wether its football baseball nba etc. so i dont understand any of your ret.arded fu.cking reasoning that you pulled out of your behind. I am not betting with my heart, im from oakland and im a warriors fan my while life but that doesnt mean i blindly bet warriors. I didnt bet them game 1 or 2. I have warriors future before game 7 okc at -119. Warriors arent losing to the cavs thats why i bet it. I dont lose many futures it rarely happens. With that said i said warriors in 5 cuz thats whats going to happen. 

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by StanThaCaddy:

GS is still in a great/relaxed spot. If they win game 4, this series is a wrap and they know it. However if the Cavs win, pressure falls back on GS in game 5. They can't go down 3-2 heading back to Cleveland because unlike Durant, Lebron doesn't fold under pressure. I think Cavs get a close game 4. I think 5 and 6 go to the home teams and game 7 will be up in the air. 

You gotta believe Cleveland wins at least one game in Oakland. Whether that will be game 5 or 7 , I am sure they win one

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by EastOakland:

 

I bet first half because to me it was a better bet before the game, it pays out the same as moneyline so i have no clue what h are talking about. Like i said ibet against the warriors but i tred lightly when it comes to the game bet. I almost never bet entire games wether its football baseball nba etc. so i dont understand any of your ret.arded fu.cking reasoning that you pulled out of your behind. I am not betting with my heart, im from oakland and im a warriors fan my while life but that doesnt mean i blindly bet warriors. I didnt bet them game 1 or 2. I have warriors future before game 7 okc at -119. Warriors arent losing to the cavs thats why i bet it. I dont lose many futures it rarely happens. With that said i said warriors in 5 cuz thats whats going to happen. 

And if Cleveland wins game 4, then what are you going to say?

 
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Posted: #34
 I like Cleveland game 5 though, no way I will pass up that bet
 
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Posted: #35
Then im going to say i was wrong about game 4. But i still like warriors to win series. They are just so much better than the cavs and one of the best teams under pressure.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

Good write-up, and I think you have a good read on it.  Prior to the series, Game 3 is the only one I predicted the Cavs would win, although I couldn't bring myself to bet them.  Game 4 is the Warriors game to win!

Incidentally, I saw a stat before game 3:  teams losing by 30 points in the Finals (before game 3) were 8-5 SU in the following game. That trend now becomes 9-5 SU... but now it applies to the Warriors.  Most trends are meaningless, but trends like this one are not, because it relates directly to sports psychology.  The winning team feels over-confident, and the losing team feels like they have to play perfect to win.

Regarding ISO-ball: the Cavs at one point in the game had only scored 16 of their 48 points off of more than 1 pass.  The other 32 points came off of 1 pass or 0 passes.  That means they are living and dying off of one-on-one situations and hot shooting.  That can go south very quickly, especially if GS (who has the superior coach) makes the correct adjustments.

Game 4 is the key game in this series.  Right now everyone is over-reacting to what was a favorable situation for the Cavs, coming home off of 2 blowout losses... but that doesn't hold true again in Game 4.

Enjoy the game!



You cant win a series playing like to me. We will see what happens but i just see that failing in game 4. If warriors are playing well they can be down and still win. They come from behind so much. They just have to be careful early because cavs will use all their energy at thebeginning. 
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by ryan3212:

You can have the best write up in the world and still lose!!!!!!!!! I've been on covers for years and I still get a kick out of what people say. The Warriors record is 6-4 yea because they play in the Western Conference Maybe? The Eastern Conference reminds me of the CBA besides The Cavs. 

Thats because dude is an idiot. 6-4 against west while lebrons cruising in the sadas.s east. Raptors, hawks and detroit are u kidding me...plus warriors got kinda robbed in game 1 because that was a travel.
 
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Posted: #38
Above :
I'd hedge. What happens if gsw win
 
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Posted: #39

Just making a point, he will admit he was wrong on game 4 and continue to admit he was wrong all the way until the end of the series when Cleveland wins.

 

 
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Posted: #40
I cannot wait for tomorrow. Gona be a big game from curry and klay! You will be butthurt after the game. Even if warriors lose game 4 and 5 they still wouldnt lose this series. You will see in the end. Hope scott foster isnt the ref other then that warriors have dominated the cavs. I just dont think you remember. Warriors are 7-1 in last 8 vs cavs. Ill use one of your stats! Hahahaha the margin is double digits in 6 of the game we won i believe.
 
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Posted: #41
You better pray that james and irving drain those iso jumpers. Richard jefferson and jr smith. Would be shocked if they had another good game in them.
 
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Posted: #42
You keep forgetting...sports is a stage. Warriors have no control over winning this series
 
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Posted: #43
I was the first one to say W's would sweep the cavs....but that is only if this were for real. And it's not. That's why you saw W's get blown out last game.
 
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Posted: #44
lol no prayers needed, jr smith will shoot lights out
 
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Posted: #45
So if warriors win you will say it is staged the other way. You csnt be serious. Now im waisting time lol.
 
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Posted: #46
It seems like every thread i read its about how the cavs are going to win this series. I guess because warriors are the favorite and people cant believe the favorite winning. When they were down 3-1 to okc even ppl here said they are done they have no chance. Klay and curry will show up. They are those type of players and people just cant believe that. When they come out hitting shots no team can hang with them. Both are pissed off too they have ice cold in their veins. I think people will hate on warriors even if they win series. They will start taking about how they wont 3peat and how they cant beat the lakers and bulls. 
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I don't think so..lol you don't see all the things wrong with his write up that I see...
Once again, the same thing we argued about before...LOL Seeing vs not seeing.


Logic vs. non-logic
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Posted: #48
When warriors come to play its hard to beat them. Gona see how well cavs play in a close game i couldnt imagine it being too good. Warriors need to attack kyrie also he cant defend.
 
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Posted: #49
The 6-4 argument is nonsense... it disregards contextual thinking,as people without foundations in logic are inclined to do...

GS is 6-4 against the highest level of competition in the NBA this year (GS,SA,OKC and Clev)... apply the same rule to Clev and they are 1-2
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Posted: #50
Wow! Just found the ignore button,but I think it only works on my phone,not my computer... regardless,what a find!
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