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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    GIFT For the Forum #2 - Game Of The Year Edition

    12 Next Last»
    BarrelledIn
    BlackwaterOP
    Brady2Gronk
    MrFreedo
    hotflaznboi
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 4317
    Posts: 27
    12 Next Last»
     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:07 AM ET #1

    I tell you the Mavs line was wrong and it lands exactly where it should have been, covering. Sunday, Pacers ambush the Knicks in a rout. 

     

    It was a small miracle Knicks even kept game 3 close the entire way. Four starters/contributors injured + a hobbling Brunson + the emotional comeback gm2 + coming off a brutal series vs Sixers + starters overplaying every game. They should have got run off the court and showed true grit. It took a near perfect game with all time performances from Devenvenzo and a NOBODY like Alec Burks getting his first playoff mins and going 4-6 for 14 pts. Knicks bench outscored IND bench 24 to 14. The first 2 games it was IND winning the bench 92 to 15. Let that sink in. Knicks shot 52% from 3. All things that will regress big time in gm4. I repeat, a small miracle Knicks were even in the game. 

    The knicks were visibly spent in the 4th Q. In the last 9:45 of the game they had two (2) buckets, both from Brunson. The big 3 guards especially are beyond overworked playing insane high intensity mins every single game. They stopped getting to loose balls, they had no lift on their shots, their energy was gone, and they blew a 9 point lead barely limping to the finish line in a close loss. Had that game continued another quarter, they lose by 20. 

    The knicks would have been better served packing it in gm 3 and resting starters. The fact that every player went all in spells disaster. They are emotionally and physically on empty. It's really not healthy or sustainable for such an extremely limited team to come out and give 1000% game after game for 9 games in a row. Tomorrow, they hit the wall. 

     

    The Knicks roster is actually dog shitt and they've coasted on grit vs a mentally weak Sixer team + refs + underperforming Pacers team + all time performances from just about every player. Pacers bench shows up, KNicks bench and 3p% regresses, Brunson and the big 3 guards hit a wall. They are so overdue for a true letdown game for a severely limited and outmatched team it's crazy. 

    Knicks gm3 won bench pts by 10, won 3p%/FG%, FTs, even RBs, get all time performances from multiple players - 1000% effort game - and you still lose by 5. The Knicks need to play almost literally perfect in every category from every player while having the Pacers play suboptimally to even stay in the building. 

    Haliburton """questionable"""? Less than a nothing burger. 

     

     

    This line is way too low at -5.5. Objectively speaking, it should be around -7.5/8 like gm3. If the market had true foresight like me, it would be -10.5. Unload on -5.5 and alternative lines. 

     

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I tell you the Mavs line was wrong and it lands exactly where it should have been, covering. Sunday, Pacers ambush the Knicks in a rout. 

     

    It was a small miracle Knicks even kept game 3 close the entire way. Four starters/contributors injured + a hobbling Brunson + the emotional comeback gm2 + coming off a brutal series vs Sixers + starters overplaying every game. They should have got run off the court and showed true grit. It took a near perfect game with all time performances from Devenvenzo and a NOBODY like Alec Burks getting his first playoff mins and going 4-6 for 14 pts. Knicks bench outscored IND bench 24 to 14. The first 2 games it was IND winning the bench 92 to 15. Let that sink in. Knicks shot 52% from 3. All things that will regress big time in gm4. I repeat, a small miracle Knicks were even in the game. 

    The knicks were visibly spent in the 4th Q. In the last 9:45 of the game they had two (2) buckets, both from Brunson. The big 3 guards especially are beyond overworked playing insane high intensity mins every single game. They stopped getting to loose balls, they had no lift on their shots, their energy was gone, and they blew a 9 point lead barely limping to the finish line in a close loss. Had that game continued another quarter, they lose by 20. 

    The knicks would have been better served packing it in gm 3 and resting starters. The fact that every player went all in spells disaster. They are emotionally and physically on empty. It's really not healthy or sustainable for such an extremely limited team to come out and give 1000% game after game for 9 games in a row. Tomorrow, they hit the wall. 

     

    The Knicks roster is actually dog shitt and they've coasted on grit vs a mentally weak Sixer team + refs + underperforming Pacers team + all time performances from just about every player. Pacers bench shows up, KNicks bench and 3p% regresses, Brunson and the big 3 guards hit a wall. They are so overdue for a true letdown game for a severely limited and outmatched team it's crazy. 

    Knicks gm3 won bench pts by 10, won 3p%/FG%, FTs, even RBs, get all time performances from multiple players - 1000% effort game - and you still lose by 5. The Knicks need to play almost literally perfect in every category from every player while having the Pacers play suboptimally to even stay in the building. 

    Haliburton """questionable"""? Less than a nothing burger. 

     

     

    This line is way too low at -5.5. Objectively speaking, it should be around -7.5/8 like gm3. If the market had true foresight like me, it would be -10.5. Unload on -5.5 and alternative lines. 

     

     

     
    BlackwaterOP
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:09 AM ET #2

    Good luck!

    clover

    Believe
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    Good luck!

    clover

     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:11 AM ET #3

    Remember, I have the best writeups on this forum. Basically the only one who gives any insight whatsoever.

    90% of threads go like this: 

    -Cavs +8 today

    Comments: peace_5

    No discussion on line movement, odds, any analysis or odds. 

     

    Covers should be paying me yet I give it away for free out of generosity once in awhile an_light

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    Remember, I have the best writeups on this forum. Basically the only one who gives any insight whatsoever.

    90% of threads go like this: 

    -Cavs +8 today

    Comments: peace_5

    No discussion on line movement, odds, any analysis or odds. 

     

    Covers should be paying me yet I give it away for free out of generosity once in awhile an_light

     
    Brady2Gronk
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 2:45 AM ET #4

    Some teams are just hard hats. The Knicks are too steady for the pacers to win multiple games in a row. If the pacers cover, it’ll be a sweat 

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    Some teams are just hard hats. The Knicks are too steady for the pacers to win multiple games in a row. If the pacers cover, it’ll be a sweat 

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 3:21 AM ET #5

    I think the Knicks run out of steam finally and get blown out. Knicks are past due on regression and Pacers are yet to have a great offensive game imo. Knicks are a .500 team without OG and unstoppable with him in the lineup (20-3 since getting him). Pacers are too good at home too. Can never trust the Pacers defense but I think this is the game they smash. bol

     

    PS keep rolling with the analysis on plays….I agree with more discussion sometimes in the forum.

     

     

    to win 1u unless noted
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    I think the Knicks run out of steam finally and get blown out. Knicks are past due on regression and Pacers are yet to have a great offensive game imo. Knicks are a .500 team without OG and unstoppable with him in the lineup (20-3 since getting him). Pacers are too good at home too. Can never trust the Pacers defense but I think this is the game they smash. bol

     

    PS keep rolling with the analysis on plays….I agree with more discussion sometimes in the forum.

     

     

     
    hotflaznboi
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 5:43 AM ET #6

    @BarrelledIn

    win WILL DO UNLOAD ON INDY

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    @BarrelledIn

    win WILL DO UNLOAD ON INDY

     
    Rebel27
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 7:01 AM ET #7

    Spot on opinions. I’m on the pacers heavy at -5.5

     

    Knicks are tough but they have to have regression and tired legs here. Not that the pacers are fresh, but they are home and that should be enough to win by 7+

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    Spot on opinions. I’m on the pacers heavy at -5.5

     

    Knicks are tough but they have to have regression and tired legs here. Not that the pacers are fresh, but they are home and that should be enough to win by 7+

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 7:43 AM ET #8

    clover

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    clover

     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 12:08 PM ET #9

    Weird line movement and lots of squares here on the pacers, don’t worry. 75% of public bets on knicks an_boggienight

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    Weird line movement and lots of squares here on the pacers, don’t worry. 75% of public bets on knicks an_boggienight

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 12:31 PM ET #10

    GL peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    GL peaceclover

     
    MoPinkie
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 12:39 PM ET #11

    Im not worried but i dont bet with emotion nor ignorance. 

    I will Pound Knicks+5.5 and GL to ALL. Im probably on wrong side as usualclover

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    Im not worried but i dont bet with emotion nor ignorance. 

    I will Pound Knicks+5.5 and GL to ALL. Im probably on wrong side as usualclover

     
    Ascetic
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:06 PM ET #12

    Nice write up but it seems like your daddy didn't hug you enough and tell you how much he loves you.

    Settle down Junior.

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    Nice write up but it seems like your daddy didn't hug you enough and tell you how much he loves you.

    Settle down Junior.

     
    dayknight
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:11 PM ET #13

    @BarrelledIn

     Agree 1000%

    Great info! Thank you

    It's never over until the money is in your hand.
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    @BarrelledIn

     Agree 1000%

    Great info! Thank you

     
    dayknight
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:21 PM ET #14

    @Ascetic

     You really need: more positive engagement in your day.

    I've noticed that whenever you post/chat, the conversation tends to focus on the negative. Smoke some week and relax pops, you're a killjoy.

    It's never over until the money is in your hand.
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    @Ascetic

     You really need: more positive engagement in your day.

    I've noticed that whenever you post/chat, the conversation tends to focus on the negative. Smoke some week and relax pops, you're a killjoy.

     
    nattyorange
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:29 PM ET #15

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
    Theschneid3
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 1:37 PM ET #16

    @BarrelledIn

     As a Knicks fan, I tend to agree with this. That being said, you glazed over the fact that Haliburton had his best game by a country mile since the All Star Break and it STILL took a miracle three for them to win. Any other team would mail it in one of these two road games and get some rest, but that's not how the Knicks conduct business. Thing is, they play this way in February during the last game of a road trip vs the Wizards, much less the Playoffs. It would be fairly surprising if all of a sudden today they get tired, regardless of healthy players. If they are down 20 in the 4th, Brunson and Hart will still be in the game. Relentless isnt a strong enough word, however I do think Freedo nailed it, the absence of Anunoby (on both ends) will be too much in this one. Hope I'm wrong, bc the minute anybody doubts these guys, they find another gear...

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    @BarrelledIn

     As a Knicks fan, I tend to agree with this. That being said, you glazed over the fact that Haliburton had his best game by a country mile since the All Star Break and it STILL took a miracle three for them to win. Any other team would mail it in one of these two road games and get some rest, but that's not how the Knicks conduct business. Thing is, they play this way in February during the last game of a road trip vs the Wizards, much less the Playoffs. It would be fairly surprising if all of a sudden today they get tired, regardless of healthy players. If they are down 20 in the 4th, Brunson and Hart will still be in the game. Relentless isnt a strong enough word, however I do think Freedo nailed it, the absence of Anunoby (on both ends) will be too much in this one. Hope I'm wrong, bc the minute anybody doubts these guys, they find another gear...

     
    BANKROLLFRESH
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 2:27 PM ET #17

    great write up and yes covers should pay you! I’m peace on pacers as well

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    great write up and yes covers should pay you! I’m peace on pacers as well

     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 4:06 PM ET #18

    lol

    LMAO

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    lol

    LMAO

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 4:07 PM ET #19

    GL cloveron your play @BarrelledIn peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    GL cloveron your play @BarrelledIn peace_5

     

     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 4:47 PM ET #20

    The knocks today literally have the worst playoff roster ever constructed unless they have multiple career games every game

     

    just fucking lol

    The magic is over. Auto fade every single game until this biggest fraud team is gone

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    The knocks today literally have the worst playoff roster ever constructed unless they have multiple career games every game

     

    just fucking lol

    The magic is over. Auto fade every single game until this biggest fraud team is gone

     
    dogball
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    Posted: May. 12, 2024 - 5:14 PM ET #21

    ace of a call , wish I saw tis write up

    2025 Circa Grandissomo Champion, Circa Survivor 2024 Top 50
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    ace of a call , wish I saw tis write up

     
    cincyquencher
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    Posted: May. 13, 2024 - 3:27 AM ET #22

    Thank you, your write up made me go heavier than I usually do. moneybagpeace_5

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    Thank you, your write up made me go heavier than I usually do. moneybagpeace_5

     
    aron25
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    Posted: May. 13, 2024 - 3:30 AM ET #23

    I agreed 100 with the analysis, especially the running outta gas part. Hit the nail on the head again. 

    Banned for using a burning $ emoji. Lol. TRUMP 2024!!!
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    I agreed 100 with the analysis, especially the running outta gas part. Hit the nail on the head again. 

     
    ZigZagTheory
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    Posted: May. 13, 2024 - 1:15 PM ET #24

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 14, 2024 - 1:08 AM ET #25

    As stated, Knicks are cooked facing historically heavy high intensity minutes and injuries. Their roster is TRASH. In order to win game 5, they need: great games from the big 3 + refs + Pacers below average game. Hart and Devencenzo are not those guys to keep relying on and they've hit the wall. They played way over their head all playoffs. Needing them to come up with 25 points a game each is a joke, but that's basically what they need.

     

    Brunson's 40 pt games are long gone now, barely functional. Remember that Brunson is a fraud even when healthy. Now he is a hobbled fraud who physically cannot perform on top of being mentally fried. Maybe he gets a mental boost at home, but this is the most telling stat you need to hear how DONE he is. From gm4: 

    Brunson went 0-of-5 from 3. He missed on ALL eight of his jump shots. Six of those misses fell short

    You basically need him to score 40 points to win this game and he literally cannot even get lift to hit a jump shot. 

     

    This line is objectively incorrect and certain to go down. How does it go from -6 to +2.5? OKC in the same road/home goes -5 to +1.5. Pacers should be PK at worst based on this, which is what Bookmaker opened at. This line is near 100% certain to drop to 1.5/1. 

     

    Not a GOY but Pacers again at +122/2.5 is a laughable line - insane value 

     

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    As stated, Knicks are cooked facing historically heavy high intensity minutes and injuries. Their roster is TRASH. In order to win game 5, they need: great games from the big 3 + refs + Pacers below average game. Hart and Devencenzo are not those guys to keep relying on and they've hit the wall. They played way over their head all playoffs. Needing them to come up with 25 points a game each is a joke, but that's basically what they need.

     

    Brunson's 40 pt games are long gone now, barely functional. Remember that Brunson is a fraud even when healthy. Now he is a hobbled fraud who physically cannot perform on top of being mentally fried. Maybe he gets a mental boost at home, but this is the most telling stat you need to hear how DONE he is. From gm4: 

    Brunson went 0-of-5 from 3. He missed on ALL eight of his jump shots. Six of those misses fell short

    You basically need him to score 40 points to win this game and he literally cannot even get lift to hit a jump shot. 

     

    This line is objectively incorrect and certain to go down. How does it go from -6 to +2.5? OKC in the same road/home goes -5 to +1.5. Pacers should be PK at worst based on this, which is what Bookmaker opened at. This line is near 100% certain to drop to 1.5/1. 

     

    Not a GOY but Pacers again at +122/2.5 is a laughable line - insane value 

     

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