Posted:
#1
Season: 3-6, -3.96 Units
Houston –3½ over WASHINGTON Pinnacle
Strength of schedule is important whether you’re betting the NBA, the NFL, College Football or the NHL. It’s mightily important because it can make great teams appear bad and awful teams appear good and the examples of this phenomenon are present throughout the sports world. Yeah the Rockets are 1-5 but have played hands down the hardest schedule in the league. Rocket opponents have an unreal .658 win percentage, far and away the highest in the NBA. Despite this, Houston basically has an equal point differential and what that means is that they are way better than the 1-5 record indicates. Luckily for us bettors this means that spreads which would normally be in the 6-7 point range come down to 3½, making this an automatic bet. The Wizards are 1-4 but unlike the Rockets have played a relatively easy schedule. They have been blown out by the Knicks and Magic and if not for a miracle win over the Sixers would be 0-5 right now. The fact that they’re playing at home shouldn’t be seen as an “advantage” because quite frankly this Wizards team is going to be awful either way and the venue they play at won’t make one iota of a difference. It’s a team that ranks dead last in the East in points allowed, dead last in field goal percentage against, dead last in offensive and defensive rebounding and first in turnovers. This is a putrid, putrid squad that will approach the 60-loss mark and aren’t in the same class as Houston. The Rockets should pound this feeble opponent like they did the Timberwolves on Sunday. The players and coaches know wins in the West are hard to come by and will play with maximum effort tonight. Play: Houston –3½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2)0
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