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#1
I've seen a lot of love for the Hawks today. A lot of people want to point to the home and home trend where the second game tends to go the other way when two teams play two games so close together. No doubt last night was embarrassing for the hawks but the bucks are no push over.
For me, the key to this home and home trend is that most of the time the team you want to play on in the second game (loser of the first) is either at home in the second game, a dog in the second game, or both. Tonight Atlanta is on the road and a favourite. Bucks shouldn't be afraid of Atlanta at all after last night and 5 is a lot of points.
My pick would be the over. I expect Atlanta's offense to look a lot better tonight and I wouldn't expect the bucks to ever roll over. Kidd has these guys playing inspired ball just about every night. The total is down a bit today compared to yesterday because of the under yesterday and this should also scare off some of those who would have otherwise bet over on this game.
I have a system that I use sometimes for O/U that produced the under last night. Decided to make a play on the bucks as well, as I figured 9 was a lot for a low scoring game. Tonight that same system says Over and so I will ride it out.
Just a little food for thought. Good luck with whatever you bet.
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