Hit it up: HUGE PROFIT to be made on the Knicks tomorrow night by fading Linsanity (with write-up)

Linsanity is a thing of the past right? A fleeting moment in Knicks history that is no longer relevant. 

Well let me give you a wake-up call. To the Knicks, in their first game against Jeremy Lin, it is very, very relevant. 

Felton, the guy who the Knicks signed may just have the game of his life against Lin. That will be combined with Kidd making a point to show him up as much as possible in this game as well. 

The Knicks will smother Lin. You will see turnovers and some of the most aggressive D possible to ensure Lin doesn't do anything of consequence in the box score against the Knicks. Lin will score and get some assists because he does have talent, but this will NOT be a Linsanity type game of last year.

Therefore, in my view, this will be a 4 on 5. So how will the rest of the team fair against the Rockets? The Knicks have the best point differential in the league (Offensive output - Defensive Pts allowed). Why is this important? Listen to the top teams in the league in Pt Differential last year: Miami, Chicago, OKC, San Antonio, and Boston.

Needless to say, Pt Differential determines playoff teams and champions.

The Knicks are playoff, and at this point, championship material. 

Curious about the Rockets Pt. Differential this year? -1.1

They are an average to a below average team playing one of the best, if not the best team in the league at this point. Remember the Knicks smoked the Heat opening night and beat San Antonio in their house this year. The only reason they have two losses is because the second leg of both games were on B2B's, one against Memphis (the other Dallas) who is another elite team in the West. Without the B2B's the Knicks could easily be undefeated as the rest of their wins are by significant margins and are no fluke.

The Knicks are winning games no in ways that are, amazingly, boring. They are almost TOO efficient (see the recent win over the Hornets). 

So what's the opening line? -4 Knicks.

Guys, this line is ideal. I'm making this one of the biggest plays this year thusfar given I'm so comfortable with them covering it.

So to summarize:

We have what may be the best team in the league, offensively and defensively, going against an average to below average team coupled with the extra motivation to show up the guy who created hysteria in their city (and worldwide) and leave Houston with a convincing win. 

The ONLY con I can think of is that the Knicks likely didn't practice today and may have fattened themselves up a bit too much with family with stuffing and mash. But even at that, the Rockets likely didn't practice as well and fattened themselves up like the rest of the league and America as well. Otherwise, there is NO REASON you shouldn't pound this line for all of the reasons above.

This is not a trap line, just a bad one at the moment for you to take advantage of. Forget your unwarranted fear of the public pounding/what vegas knows that we don't! Sometimes that is warranted but not in this game. Let Vegas take a bath on this one while you profit.

The pick:

I found this on twitter:

Vegas isn't dumb...and they don't take one game off..  

I'll be with vegas tomorrow,...

Good luck with your BIGGEST BET OF THE YEAR!!!! 

"We have what may be the best team in the league, offensively and defensively, going against an average to below average team coupled with the extra motivation to show up the guy who created hysteria in their city (and worldwide) and leave Houston with a convincing win."


God, you are a moron.  Ever hear of the Miami Heat?

Saying that Harden will score is not a legitimate reason to bet on the Rockets +4. The Knicks know he is averaging 24+ pts per game and will double him appropriately. 

The problem comes in with exactly what you said: the other 4 players. Who will make up the rest of the offense? Asik? Patterson? Parsons? Douglas? This is why the Rockets are 5-7. They are a young team with a developing roster. Knicks are built to win now and +4 is a bargain in my book.

My angles are 'narrow' and this poster comes back with his angle:

HOME COURT MATTERS!!! 

Bet on HOME COURT every night because it MATTERS!!! and you will get filleted by the books kid.

Good luck and have fun fading the pick. It's your right to do so.

Soft lines is right and tonight is yet another one...

Correct...on a B2B. Knicks would have beat them otherwise.

Whenever anyone here bets against the Heat with a line with value, think of this poster.

He is your typical betting lemming that drives up the Heat lines .5/1/1.5 pts. simply because the Heat won the championship last year and "Lebron James is the garbage!"

Not only did the Knicks beat the Heat this year, handily at that, they have a better winning percentage, have a better Defense, have a far superior pt. differential, and have played teams with better records on the aggregate.

This of course does not make the Knicks better than the Heat, but right now, the Knicks at Heat line would be about the same as the Heat at Knicks line which basically says that Vegas views them on an even betting plane at the moment. And that is the key: "At the moment". And at the moment, they play the Rockets tonight given all the above which makes this line attractive. 

Well, right now, unfortunately, they are playing like they are. They can give the Heat, their primary contenders in the EC by far, a real series and with their newfound D under Woodson and possibly win it.

I know the Knicks well and I know it's crazy to think the Knicks can make a run at the EC Championship, but this D is very effective and all the parts they brought in are playing to their maximum potential right now (Felton, Kidd etc.) Plus they have Shumpert coming back and gasp, Amare off the bench which, if he agrees to it will make their bench that much better. That's even more legitimate talent waiting in the wings (Shump is by far their best defender and Amare can give you near 20 a night). 

The championship talk is just something you'll have to accept at this point instead of immediately dismissing as would have been justified in the past decade. 

GL

Well he just dismisses that game because "Dwayne Wade and LBJ can't be beat dude!!!"