Posted:
#1
49-45 in the playoffs
14-5 in the conference finals
First off, let’s remember what this day is all about. Because of the sacrifices so many have made for this country, we have luxuries that many don’t have. Remembering the amigos and amigas who have served that I’ve had the privilege of knowing is what fills this day for me. So many have been lucky, including myself, to see this day and let’s understand how that was all made possible. Whether you are red or blue, it doesn’t matter. Today we are ONE. All respects to those who have had loved ones serve. Hats off.
On to the conference finals: Well....we saw the King get it done yet again. I have to hand it to the league in finding the ultimate opposing variable....Boston and an undefeated home record. It got a lot of Boston money last nite but how could anyone truly go against the King with all that we’ve seen progress throughout this season for him? I’m an MJ guy but Lebron is surely making an argument. So why talk about Lebron when it’s the West turn tonite? Well, I thinks important because I think it ties into tonite. If the Warriors win we get part 4 and after last year’s 5 game shalacking, is the league gonna really put Lebron through another beatdown especially after what we’ve seen him accomplish this year alone? Well if it’s the warriors, they already laid down two years ago to lebron so it’s tough to see them doing that again. If it’s the Rockets winning though, it’s great for the books, the league, parity to an extent and obviously Lebron because it helps his chances of doing the unthinkable this year and getting that 4th ring.
Aside from this bs people call “regression” what other factors point to Houston winning tonite? Probably no CP3 and Houston is supposed to beat the machine of the Warriors with two MVPs, arguably the best defender in the league and a coach with tons of experience? Look at this forum folks. It’s so pro warriors it’s nuts. I mean we have people picking the Warriors tonite and calling it the bet of the century/millennium/year? Really?! Taking the warriors in this game is going out on a limb?! Too funny! I’ve been monitoring the MLs for both teams and you can seriously get the warriors at -235?! So a grand gets me over 400?! Who wouldn’t take that? Yet the rockets ML since this morning has gone from+240 down to +195. This is happening with still about 65% on the warriors? Hmmmmm....
I think back to Harden last year and how in his last playoff game he laid down to the point where even the pure eye could tell you it was a bit eerie. All summer, all year, an MVP, home court, CP3 and he’s gonna go quietly? He has been ice cold from 3, he’s been non existent in the 4th and so many are doubting him. He knows this folks! We have yet to see him play like the MVP in this series and we have yet to see everybody clicking from outside on the rockets. With no Iggy and maybe no looney now who has played good defense, watch out! Listen...if you wanna line up and take the warriors, go for it. It’s the easy easy bet especially after what the public eye just saw in game 6. A beatdown and CP3 on the bench. If the warriors win tonite, you can bet that viewers will not tune in the way they have the last few years. The NBA will be left alone as the only major sports league with absolutely no parity if we see part 4 but with a rockets win, at least we’d get a new team in there. The books would see closer to even money in the series and lebron again, gets a better chance of winning it all. Win/win for EVERYBODY.
I’ve been on a hot streak lately and because of that, I’m gonna try and go for my fourth win against the machine of the warriors in this series alone. I’m going off pure hunch here with this bet, nothing else. It’s worked well so far as documented in the write ups in BOTH conference finals. Analytics....they are great, they make people think they are experts but they can and have lost just as much as any other variables people use. Sometimes we just gotta go with something outside the box. We gotta listen to our gut at times. Sometimes those plays dont make sense to the brain trust and consensus in here but they make sense to ourselves. In the last year or so we’ve seen Leicester City at 1100-1 odds win the English Premiere League, we’ve seen the Eagles and a backup dispose of everyone including the almighty Brady and Belly to win the Super Bowl and in a few hours, we will see an NHL expansion team from Vegas play in game 1 of the cup. All surprises. So why not another one tonite? It’s the minority play taking the Rockets but I’m ok with that. Whether you tail, fade, explain to people that “there are too many ifs, ands or buts” in taking a side, post a “lean”, do your thing. All good. I won’t be watching most of this game because this weekend and this day is more about a game. It’s personal unlike this game really....With the bet below, if it loses, that’s ok. No doubt we’ll get the “i told you so” guys and the squares coming in here boasting afterwards and you know we’ll get the ones who show up only in the losses (it’s been a while for those; maybe it stays that way tonite) but that’s ok if they come by. All good! Ultimately, I wish all good luck, I hope you enjoy the game and again please dont forget about what this weekend is truly about. 
Houston ML
GL ALL
0
to mah man Achilles 
uote: Originally Posted by Achilles1629]Barkley all over the warriors.....[/Quote]
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