Fickle fate dealt me a crippling blow last night. 18 hours later, and I am still trying to process it all. I think I am going through the seven stages of grief, LOL.
My one and only saving grace is that I hedged out most all of the principal of my bet after game 2 by putting money on Portland to win the series. Guaranteed I would not lose anything but cut into the winnings (which are still decent). Thank God I did not let greed keep me from letting the whole bet ride.
Man, I was counting on that money to help offset some other bad bets. Now though it looks like I should not have counted my chicks until they hatched. Just a brutal turn.
Also have a Clippers future bet to win it all, and I started to perk up a bit at the thought of Clippers playing Golden St without Curry. My how quickly things change.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Fickle fate dealt me a crippling blow last night. 18 hours later, and I am still trying to process it all. I think I am going through the seven stages of grief, LOL.
My one and only saving grace is that I hedged out most all of the principal of my bet after game 2 by putting money on Portland to win the series. Guaranteed I would not lose anything but cut into the winnings (which are still decent). Thank God I did not let greed keep me from letting the whole bet ride.
Man, I was counting on that money to help offset some other bad bets. Now though it looks like I should not have counted my chicks until they hatched. Just a brutal turn.
Also have a Clippers future bet to win it all, and I started to perk up a bit at the thought of Clippers playing Golden St without Curry. My how quickly things change.
The series is locked up at 2-2. This series is far from over. Yes they will be hurting without CP3 and Griffin but they played over 30 games this season without Griffin and played very well. CP3 is the big loss but hey, you have Crawford stepping in for him. I don't like Rivers at all but you know what, he did well in 2 games without CP3 towards the back end of the season when they were resting players. They have home court advantage as well. The line opened at -2 for Game #5 and has been hit hard by bettors forcing the line already to -2 for the Blazers. I like when teams play their first game without their superstars because they step up. I think the Clippers can make this a 7 game series. I truly do. I think they can win tomorrow, not give a damn about game #6 in Portland and then give it their all in game #7 back in LA. They do have the experience as well in Paul Pierce and I think this series is far from over buddy
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The series is locked up at 2-2. This series is far from over. Yes they will be hurting without CP3 and Griffin but they played over 30 games this season without Griffin and played very well. CP3 is the big loss but hey, you have Crawford stepping in for him. I don't like Rivers at all but you know what, he did well in 2 games without CP3 towards the back end of the season when they were resting players. They have home court advantage as well. The line opened at -2 for Game #5 and has been hit hard by bettors forcing the line already to -2 for the Blazers. I like when teams play their first game without their superstars because they step up. I think the Clippers can make this a 7 game series. I truly do. I think they can win tomorrow, not give a damn about game #6 in Portland and then give it their all in game #7 back in LA. They do have the experience as well in Paul Pierce and I think this series is far from over buddy
The series is locked up at 2-2. This series is far from over. Yes they will be hurting without CP3 and Griffin but they played over 30 games this season without Griffin and played very well. CP3 is the big loss but hey, you have Crawford stepping in for him. I don't like Rivers at all but you know what, he did well in 2 games without CP3 towards the back end of the season when they were resting players. They have home court advantage as well. The line opened at -2 for Game #5 and has been hit hard by bettors forcing the line already to -2 for the Blazers. I like when teams play their first game without their superstars because they step up. I think the Clippers can make this a 7 game series. I truly do. I think they can win tomorrow, not give a damn about game #6 in Portland and then give it their all in game #7 back in LA. They do have the experience as well in Paul Pierce and I think this series is far from over buddy
naw, it's over
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Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:
The series is locked up at 2-2. This series is far from over. Yes they will be hurting without CP3 and Griffin but they played over 30 games this season without Griffin and played very well. CP3 is the big loss but hey, you have Crawford stepping in for him. I don't like Rivers at all but you know what, he did well in 2 games without CP3 towards the back end of the season when they were resting players. They have home court advantage as well. The line opened at -2 for Game #5 and has been hit hard by bettors forcing the line already to -2 for the Blazers. I like when teams play their first game without their superstars because they step up. I think the Clippers can make this a 7 game series. I truly do. I think they can win tomorrow, not give a damn about game #6 in Portland and then give it their all in game #7 back in LA. They do have the experience as well in Paul Pierce and I think this series is far from over buddy
I remember last month when LAC visited OKC without all stars and they played very well . Crawford and Rivers made 3 points so perfect . That's game people thought Under and OKC would cover easily but Wrong . Maybe tomorrow it will happen again . LAC Over and cover the game !
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I remember last month when LAC visited OKC without all stars and they played very well . Crawford and Rivers made 3 points so perfect . That's game people thought Under and OKC would cover easily but Wrong . Maybe tomorrow it will happen again . LAC Over and cover the game !
did you have clippers by a margin or just to win strait up??...wat kind of juice did ya pay??i wud imagine they were very strong favourites.
I originally bet the Clippers -405 for the series bet. After game 2 I put some money down on Portland +1150 to help cover my original bet in case of disaster. Usually any hedging I do is a waste of money, but this one time it might save my bacon.
I cannot believe how viciously the game 5 line changed! When I peeked this morning it was Clippers -2.5. Now I see it is Portland -3.5. Really?!? Wow. Portland to win the series is now -250 ha ha. That seems a bit of an overreaction.
I have not given up on the series bet just yet, as Portland has yet to show they are capable of playing well at Staples vs Clips. Keeping my fingers crossed.
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Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:
did you have clippers by a margin or just to win strait up??...wat kind of juice did ya pay??i wud imagine they were very strong favourites.
I originally bet the Clippers -405 for the series bet. After game 2 I put some money down on Portland +1150 to help cover my original bet in case of disaster. Usually any hedging I do is a waste of money, but this one time it might save my bacon.
I cannot believe how viciously the game 5 line changed! When I peeked this morning it was Clippers -2.5. Now I see it is Portland -3.5. Really?!? Wow. Portland to win the series is now -250 ha ha. That seems a bit of an overreaction.
I have not given up on the series bet just yet, as Portland has yet to show they are capable of playing well at Staples vs Clips. Keeping my fingers crossed.
I agree with AussieDownUnder. I believe this series will go 7/LA wins game 5 then puts in a throwaway effort in G6. NBA would no doubt like at least one Western Conf. series to go 7 (and this is basically the only realistic candidate), so expect some typical zebra hometown cooking for LA.
If I was the OP I wouldn't hedge away any LA profit at this point. Wait at least until game 5 is done. Those with any extensive experience of the NBA know that LA could easily end up winning this game by 12-16 pts & it would be no surprise.
Stats of the day:
(1) Portland is 0-9 SU & ATS on the road in the playoffs since winning game 2 @Houston to go up 2-0 in their 2013-14 Round 1 series. Portland has failed to cover the spread in these 9 games by an average of 10.87 points.
(2) Portland's reg. seasonroad record in the vs. their playoff road results, over the last 3 seasons
2013-14: 23-18 SU vs. 2-4 SU & ATS
2014-15: 19-22 SU vs. 0-3 SU & ATS
2015-16: 16-25 SU vs. 0-2 SU & ATS
The current iteration of this team has yet to win a road playoff game when they've finished the reg. season with a sub-.500 road record.
None of the above is to say they can't win game 5, but there's little chance I'd back their current price/accept anything less than plus odds pre-game. Live bet when they're proving themselves capable = different story.
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I agree with AussieDownUnder. I believe this series will go 7/LA wins game 5 then puts in a throwaway effort in G6. NBA would no doubt like at least one Western Conf. series to go 7 (and this is basically the only realistic candidate), so expect some typical zebra hometown cooking for LA.
If I was the OP I wouldn't hedge away any LA profit at this point. Wait at least until game 5 is done. Those with any extensive experience of the NBA know that LA could easily end up winning this game by 12-16 pts & it would be no surprise.
Stats of the day:
(1) Portland is 0-9 SU & ATS on the road in the playoffs since winning game 2 @Houston to go up 2-0 in their 2013-14 Round 1 series. Portland has failed to cover the spread in these 9 games by an average of 10.87 points.
(2) Portland's reg. seasonroad record in the vs. their playoff road results, over the last 3 seasons
2013-14: 23-18 SU vs. 2-4 SU & ATS
2014-15: 19-22 SU vs. 0-3 SU & ATS
2015-16: 16-25 SU vs. 0-2 SU & ATS
The current iteration of this team has yet to win a road playoff game when they've finished the reg. season with a sub-.500 road record.
None of the above is to say they can't win game 5, but there's little chance I'd back their current price/accept anything less than plus odds pre-game. Live bet when they're proving themselves capable = different story.
I was also a bit shocked (not at the line movement of the game, as I expected that) at the movemment in the series price. They were just -1200 before game 4
People had to figure Portland could win that game 4 at home. So it would have been better to wait until after game 4 to bet clippers for the series, when it was tied 2-2 rather than before. But then this happens, now the series price is really good
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I was also a bit shocked (not at the line movement of the game, as I expected that) at the movemment in the series price. They were just -1200 before game 4
People had to figure Portland could win that game 4 at home. So it would have been better to wait until after game 4 to bet clippers for the series, when it was tied 2-2 rather than before. But then this happens, now the series price is really good
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