Historically this has been an “over or nothing” event. Last season, that approach burnt me and probably many others too. This year I feel very strongly about the unders. Keep in mind, there are no lines out yet and I am assuming the total will open at the 310-320 mark.
Why unders?
Last season was the first time they shifted to this format where captains draft players. As intended, it added a slight (but important) element of competitiveness. You could see that guys were guarding just that 5% harder throughout the game, and at the very end the defensive intensity increased much more.
I believe that most casual backers will assume the overs trend will just continue and that last season was some sort of outlier. I hope this keeps the number high. Additionally, some quick “research” by the average punter will show some astronomically high scores:
2018: 293
2017: 374!
2016: 369!
2015: 321
2014: 318
It would be hard to look at this and then conclude that unders is the right play, right?
Did anyone see the Giannis interview making the rounds in the past 24 hours? The reason it went viral, is that he was asked whether the Allstar game will have more defense than the Pro bowl (NFL). His response: “what’s the Pro bowl?” Now while most focused on him and the reporters laughing, he actually partially answered the question after the laughing subsided, saying something to the effect of “I’m going to draft guys who play D”.
I think this new format has changed the allstar game. Guys take it a bit more seriously. It’s not just a random group being forced together. It’s a captain, picking his teammates in an effort to beat the opponent. If the number is at 320, I’m smashing the unders!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Historically this has been an “over or nothing” event. Last season, that approach burnt me and probably many others too. This year I feel very strongly about the unders. Keep in mind, there are no lines out yet and I am assuming the total will open at the 310-320 mark.
Why unders?
Last season was the first time they shifted to this format where captains draft players. As intended, it added a slight (but important) element of competitiveness. You could see that guys were guarding just that 5% harder throughout the game, and at the very end the defensive intensity increased much more.
I believe that most casual backers will assume the overs trend will just continue and that last season was some sort of outlier. I hope this keeps the number high. Additionally, some quick “research” by the average punter will show some astronomically high scores:
2018: 293
2017: 374!
2016: 369!
2015: 321
2014: 318
It would be hard to look at this and then conclude that unders is the right play, right?
Did anyone see the Giannis interview making the rounds in the past 24 hours? The reason it went viral, is that he was asked whether the Allstar game will have more defense than the Pro bowl (NFL). His response: “what’s the Pro bowl?” Now while most focused on him and the reporters laughing, he actually partially answered the question after the laughing subsided, saying something to the effect of “I’m going to draft guys who play D”.
I think this new format has changed the allstar game. Guys take it a bit more seriously. It’s not just a random group being forced together. It’s a captain, picking his teammates in an effort to beat the opponent. If the number is at 320, I’m smashing the unders!
Giannis probably wants this more than lebron. I dunno if the king ever lost an all star game, but this year if giannis can get done defense then the king is going down.
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Giannis probably wants this more than lebron. I dunno if the king ever lost an all star game, but this year if giannis can get done defense then the king is going down.
Giannis probably wants this more than lebron. I dunno if the king ever lost an all star game, but this year if giannis can get done defense then the king is going down.
which would nicely compliment an unders bet
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Quote Originally Posted by rr207:
Giannis probably wants this more than lebron. I dunno if the king ever lost an all star game, but this year if giannis can get done defense then the king is going down.
I think the time has come to explore this game... total opened at 300.5, and has now jumped to 316.5! I hope it gets pushed a bit higher so I can grab that under.
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I think the time has come to explore this game... total opened at 300.5, and has now jumped to 316.5! I hope it gets pushed a bit higher so I can grab that under.
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