Posted:
#1
Season Record 9-5 +10.39 Units
Took some time off from betting the NBA and just watched games. This year just like every year brings those surprise teams that continue to roll. The Hawks and Warriors have been cash cows this year going a combined 67-32 ATS. As I sat back and observed all these games there was one common theme I found, motivation factor. This is huge folks. It is difficult to really gauge a whole team (or even star players) mindset for 82 games. I had a really good read on the Cavs for majority of the season, but once GM Lebron added the 7 footer, JR Smith and Iman I haven't been able to cap them at all. Same thing with the Thunder and Lakers. Those are usually my go to teams. I know this is a rant but bare with me.
Today, I see a game that really stands out. The Hawks @ Grizzlies. We have two teams that are very solid ball clubs. One team (Hawks) spread you out and utilize the whole floor for spacing, while the other team (Grizzlies) pound you inside with big bodies and rely on defense and rebounding. The Hawks just played the Warriors and they had the game circled for weeks. Majority of the public and respected cappers on here took the Warriors bait. The problem is they faded the Hawks a game too soon. This is a perfect scenario IMO to take the Grizzlies. They are at home where they've won their last 10 of 11, they just lost to the horrific T'Wolves (Up 7 with 1:47 to go) on Friday, and the public remembers that Warriors W and Grizzlies bad loss because it's still fresh in their minds. Bench production and those 3 pointers tend to tip when you go on the road against a defensive minded ball club.
Play is Memphis Grizzlies -2 (5 Units) Best Bet
GL to everyone. Feedback is always welcomed.
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