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JAZZ @ CLIPPERS - GAME 7! THE BIG ONE!!! EVERYTHING you need to know to bring home the BACON!!!

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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by Mathwiz:

You spent 2 hours with a essay, and it wasn't even the right side. I could have saved you 1hr 59 minutes 58 seconds. FLIP A COIN. You wouldn't have done any worse. And by the way. FLIP A COIN ON ALL NBA GAMES. You will WIN just as much or even more as someone who spends hrs of time trying to figure out the NBA. I promise you will

And I spent 2 hours on the other 8 picks and nailed 80% (by the way, it doesn't take nearly 2 hours to type these up. 40 minutes at most).
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


And I spent 2 hours on the other 8 picks and nailed 80% (by the way, it doesn't take nearly 2 hours to type these up. 40 minutes at most).

Scal, I can't believe the Warriors opened at -13 against the Jazz. That is an absurd number even if the Warriors cover it. They were favored by 14 against the Blazers at home and the Jazz are a much more complete team. I'm just pissed because my teaser only gets that number to -7 (which is still a lot). 
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


Scal, I can't believe the Warriors opened at -13 against the Jazz. That is an absurd number even if the Warriors cover it. They were favored by 14 against the Blazers at home and the Jazz are a much more complete team. I'm just pissed because my teaser only gets that number to -7 (which is still a lot). 

GSW is likely going to be the public play given their dominant performance in the first round. Hence it is not a surprise they get such big numbers, which could be 1~2 pts higher than it should be. After all the line is made to split money and reduce risks.

 
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Posted: #79
2 game ATS chase on the Jazz is $$$
 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by joel00:

GSW is likely going to be the public play given their dominant performance in the first round. Hence it is not a surprise they get such big numbers, which could be 1~2 pts higher than it should be. After all the line is made to split money and reduce risks.

The line is used to split money in theory only. If the books could get 50% on every side of every bet they would take it every day of the week and make the vig (and probably charge -112/-113 to exploit us even more).

In the real world where the bets are not perfectly split, the books know there will be exposure on one side, and given the Warrior's public status, they inflate the line, beyond even an unreasonable opening line. And that is BB's point. This opening line is unreasonable.

But I'll leave it to him for the pick if he has one. I haven't capped a single Warriors game all year because I look to his threads for info.

 
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Posted: #81

Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:




But where in the Fuk were these Jazz guys last Saturday night in Utah? Was this thing fixed to go 7?
I still cant believe the Jazz played that bad Saturday at home and now miraculously come out looking like GS today. We know sometimes these things are strung out to go 7 almost intentionally.


Jazz  are a solid team. And they've had a ton of pent up frustration against the Clippers over the last several years as the Clips have really drilled them and this core.

Well I knew that all along and ignored it at the worst time. Sorry to all who tailed (sacker etc.). We won't go cold. I will do everything possible to avoid that. It's .500 and we move forward with wins.

 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

The line is used to split money in theory only. If the books could get 50% on every side of every bet they would take it every day of the week and make the vig (and probably charge -112/-113 to exploit us even more).

In the real world where the bets are not perfectly split, the books know there will be exposure on one side, and given the Warrior's public status, they inflate the line, beyond even an unreasonable opening line. And that is BB's point. This opening line is unreasonable.

But I'll leave it to him for the pick if he has one. I haven't capped a single Warriors game all year because I look to his threads for info.

That's also what I meant. Sometimes the line splits money evenly on both sides. And if it that cannot be done, bookmakers need to inflate the line to reduce their risk of losing on public plays.

 
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Posted: #83
On the real  . Jazz ml 3 way was easy breezy F baby 
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

The line is used to split money in theory only. If the books could get 50% on every side of every bet they would take it every day of the week and make the vig (and probably charge -112/-113 to exploit us even more).

In the real world where the bets are not perfectly split, the books know there will be exposure on one side, and given the Warrior's public status, they inflate the line, beyond even an unreasonable opening line. And that is BB's point. This opening line is unreasonable.

But I'll leave it to him for the pick if he has one. I haven't capped a single Warriors game all year because I look to his threads for info.


To my point about the absurd line, Utah lost 10 games by double digits this year.
 
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Posted: #85
Guys the lines not inflated the Warriors will have have had 8 days rest vs the Jazz 2 days plus the grueling 7 games series and Gobert not at full strength thank god the better team won this series just imagine what the spread would be vs the clippers we saw today like -19 and -6000 lol 
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by Mathwiz:

You spent 2 hours with a essay, and it wasn't even the right side. I could have saved you 1hr 59 minutes 58 seconds. FLIP A COIN. You wouldn't have done any worse. And by the way. FLIP A COIN ON ALL NBA GAMES. You will WIN just as much or even more as someone who spends hrs of time trying to figure out the NBA. I promise you will
spoken like the true moronic degenerate that you are, you know nothing in regards to cappin' the NBA,  this guy (scal) is at 80% for the playoffs, and you come into 'his thread' and tell him to"FLIP A COIN ON ALL NBA GAMES"  you sir, are a fuckin' moron...to say the least in behalf of your ridiculous commentary, to each his own...
 
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Posted: #87
Thank you for your kind words Sports Network. And you are right, I know nothing about capping games, because I don't cap  games, because you don't need to. For all NBA games I flip a coin. And yet somehow, a miracle I guess, I win as often as everyone else does.
 
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Posted: #88
I sure do see a lot of threads started by people complaining about cappers, about sharps making wrong pics. I never see anyone complaining about they flip a coin and lose. Because flipping a coin would go against every logic there ever was about gambling. How do you know flipping a coin don't work??? I'll keep flipping my coin, you keep spending your time on capping. To each its own
 
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Posted: #89
Tails, give the points. Heads, take the points. There is no need in posting plays , they will be different. Sometimes you will win and I will lose, sometimes I will win and you will lose. Sometimes we both win, sometimes we both lose. Gamblers won't admit this because this would take every logic out of their capping. Keep flipping. To each his own
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by GTD:

Guys the lines not inflated the Warriors will have have had 8 days rest vs the Jazz 2 days plus the grueling 7 games series and Gobert not at full strength thank god the better team won this series just imagine what the spread would be vs the clippers we saw today like -19 and -6000 lol 

I worry when teams have had that many days off vs a team with 2 or 3.....teams that have been just shooting around in practice tend to start slow so I'm inclined to take the points in game 1
 
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Posted: #91
For the record I flipped my coin. I have Cleveland- 6.5 Spurs - 5.5
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by Mathwiz:

Tails, give the points. Heads, take the points. There is no need in posting plays , they will be different. Sometimes you will win and I will lose, sometimes I will win and you will lose. Sometimes we both win, sometimes we both lose. Gamblers won't admit this because this would take every logic out of their capping. Keep flipping. To each his own
you're comical
 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

you're comical


No the guy that wrote an essay on the game and lost is the one that's comical , the line is built into the game most of these games are coin flips
 
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Posted: #94
Quote Originally Posted by kent55:



No the guy that wrote an essay on the game and lost is the one that's comical , the line is built into the game most of these games are coin flips
Thanks dude. You know HOW gambling works.
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by Mathwiz:

For the record I flipped my coin. I have Cleveland- 6.5 Spurs - 5.5
Let me clarify. I'm not playing either game tonight. If I were, this would be who I would wager on. It's mid 2nd quarter, Cavs lead 44-39 when I wrote this. Good luck to all, and to all good luck
 
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Posted: #96
1-0, Spurs up next. Actually if I were really playing, I wouldn't even play game 2. Just take my $300 from the Cleveland game and be HAPPY.
 
 
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Posted: #97
I spent 2 seconds of my valuable time today to made my pick and made $300. Huh, imagine that!!!! 
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