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Johnson's NBA Monday 1/28

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  134-125 (+8.95u)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  69-64  (+5.85u)
Record vs. O/U:  64-60  (+3u)
Record vs. Parlay:  1-1  (+0.1u)
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5-2 yesterday...solid 7-3 weekend to get back on track a little bit. 
 
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Posted: #2
Glad to see someone had a good weekend.

 
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Golden State vs. Toronto -

Last half of the 4 games in 5 night stretch for the Warriors...first two went OVER just barely in both cases...would lean towards the UNDER in this matchup and probably tomorrow night against Cleveland as well.  Raptors have been slightly more competent on the offensive side of the ball...and the line movement points towards the Raptors winning as of now.
 
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Way to go!! I was on fire as well. I've noticed CMJ you are an excellent capper. Why not stick to games??
Just curious.......
 
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Memphis vs. Philadelphia -

Will obviously have to wait until closer to game time to see if Mike Conley plays or not after his sprained ankle...initial lean would be towards the UNDER...first meeting hit 188 so this one so be a little on the lower side IMO.  Sixers haven't really been getting into the win column that much, but they have improved as far as covering the spread.  When the spread has been in the 170's for the Grizzlies, the UNDER is 6-1 this year...it's 12-4 against the Eastern Conference...and it's 12-1 after a game which the Grizzlies scored 85 or less points.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy:

Way to go!! I was on fire as well. I've noticed CMJ you are an excellent capper. Why not stick to games??
Just curious.......


What do u mean by sticking to games? 
 
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Posted: #10
Sacramento vs. Washington -

Has the spread finally caught up with the Wizards?  And vice versa, has the spread finally been generous enough for the Kings to cover?  Story of the two opposite teams in January...Kings are in a 1-10-1 ATS stretch, while the Wizards are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games.  Might have to take a look at the Wizards TT in this one because of how terribly the Kings defense has been playing.
 
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Orlando vs. Brooklyn -

Total seems quite high IMO at first glance.  Spread seems quite high as well despite the fact that the Magic haven't been able to win a game if their lives depended on it.  Might have to just hold off on this one to see how the Nets bounce back after their road trip
 
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Posted: #12
Charlotte vs. Chicago -

Initial lean is once again on the UNDER in a Bulls game.  Bobcats defense is pretty terrible...but it's a revenge game as the Bobbies found a way to win the first matchup of the season.  Charlotte is not good at shooting the ball, and the Bulls are the best in the NBA at forcing bad shots.  Missed out by one point in the UNDER against the Warriors the other night...but I really can't see the Bobcats getting above 84 points tonight.  The big question just like last game is where will the Bulls offense end up?
 
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Posted: #13
Indiana vs. Denver -

Despite the heavy action on the OVER...that's where I'm looking in this one as well.  First meeting was the slower match up, and in Denver in the high altitude I think they can get out and dominate the Pacers on the offensive end.  Nuggets at home for a while...no really high profile games on the horizon...should be able to focus on winning.
 
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Posted: #14
Houston vs. Utah -

Rockets have gotten back on track a little bit winning three of their last four, but it's really tough to go against the Jazz at home right now.  Will wait to see how low the line goes...has already dropped a point or so at most books.  Total is tough to tell...this is the 3rd meeting which as you all know I like to try and middle it out...but the first one hit 193 and the 2nd one hit 240...so that's a huge difference
 
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Posted: #15
I mean handicapping games as opposed to prop plays and o/u's.
I know you had a good night last night with them, once again just asking.

BTW Sixers win tonight.
 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Orlando vs. Brooklyn -

Total seems quite high IMO at first glance.  Spread seems quite high as well despite the fact that the Magic haven't been able to win a game if their lives depended on it.  Might have to just hold off on this one to see how the Nets bounce back after their road trip

CMJ....  I know i dont post alot but i do make your posts a must read every day.  Thought i would throw something at you that i have noticed and get your opinion on. 

I have noticed a lot of teams that play a 4 game road trip come home and lose ATS and if you pair Brooklyn with a look ahead to MIA and a pretty high line (that is moving) ....  is that enough info to take Orlando?

i know most people will say... Orlando has BOS And NY coming up too, but this teams doesn't look ahead and doesn't NEED to look ahead.  They have to play with whats in front of them each and every day. 

Let me know what you think

 
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Posted: #17
Cant wait for your final plays
 
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Posted: #18
Yes...must stop thread...definitely
 
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Posted: #21
Sorry guys...got stuck on I-93 on this shitshow of a winter storm...missed the early games
 
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Posted: #22
would have been on the Warriors/Raptors UNDER and probably the Grizzlies/Sixers UNDER as well
 
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Posted: #23
Orlando Magic +3 1st Quarter  (1.1 to win 1)

Magic have been quite competitive in their past couple weeks for the first quarter...and the Nets are just returning home after a long road trip.  Will more than likley take a while to get their sea legs under them.
 
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Posted: #24
Rushed the play...my fault
 
 
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Indiana vs. Denver OVER 192.5  (2.2 to win 2)

Still the best play of the night...despite more people being on it...Nuggets will put up 100+ almost automatically...and the Pacers are good enough to stay in it for a while.

Prediction:  Nuggets 104  Pacers 95
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