Johnsons NBA Plays - Thursday 1/6

OVERALL RECORD:  190-133-9 (+37.08 units)

SIDES:  50-29-3  (+22.35 units)

TOTALS:  70-68-2  (-11.05 units)

ML PLAYS:  44-23-3  (+12.70 units)

PROPS:  21-12-1  (+6.75 units)

PARLAYS: 5-2  (+5.43 units)

Thursday Trends

13 overs 11 unders

Home Team is 14-6 ATS and 13-7 SU

Favorites are 14-7 ATS

East @ West is 2-2 ATS and SU

West @ East is 2-2 ATS and SU

Double Digit Favorites are 2-0 ATS

Home Underdogs are 3-3 ATS and 2-4 SU

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Decent 3-2 night...lost units though.  I picked out 2 of the 3 unders.  Lucky me.  On to Thursday...not many days left to salvage a good week...but I'll make it happen.

Line Projections:

Oklahoma City vs. Dallas (-4)  O/U 201.5

Denver (-6) vs. Sacramento  O/U  209

I think Denver may end up 6 or 6.5 by game time. Opened at 5.5.

I will take Under for Denver game and OKC + whatever.... really like this card and these 2 will cash

If OKC is a dog I think you gotta take em but if it is a pick em or OKC is a short fav might be a lay off game cause OKC covers well when they r a dog of about 4 points, plus they gotta eventually beat Dallas, good luck CMJ

Head to Head

• Thunder are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.
• Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas.
• Thunder are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
• Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
• Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

I will definitely play OKC... but if they are +4 dogs, it will be a hammer for me

BOL CM

Denver is now at -3.5.

 

GL CM

I was wondering if you can help me out with this. Trying to find out how many games finished over the projected line that had a spread of 2 or less points. Noticed it went 2-0 last night with the over. Much appreciated if you can find this out. Thanks.

So in games where the spread is PK...-1...or -2??

How many of those games went OVER?

10/26  Miami -1 vs. Boston  U189 (168)
10/27  New York vs. Toronto -1  U214.5  (191)
10/27  Portland -2 vs. LA Clippers  U191.5 (186)
10/29  Denver vs. New Orleans -2  U208  (196)
11/1  Portland vs Chicago -1  O187  (208)
11/3  Charlotte -1 vs. New Jersey  U187 (168)
11/3  San Antonio -1 vs. Phoenix O207.5  (222)
11/5  Charlotte -1 vs. Detroit  O183  (187)
11/5  Utah -1.5 vs. Golden State U223.5  (163)
11/7 Golden State -1.5 vs. Detroit  U209  (199)
11/8 Golden State vs. Toronto -1  U216.5  (211)
11/8 Denver vs. Chicago -2  U207.5  (186)
11/9  Denver -1 vs. Indiana O209.5  (257)
11/10  Charlotte -1 vs. Toronto  O193.5  (197)
11/10  Dallas vs. Memphis -1  O196.5  (197)
11/12  Charlotte -1 vs. Washington  U187.5  (178)
11/12  Detroit vs. LA Clippers -1.5  O191  (220)  OT
11/13  Utah -1 vs. Charlotte O190  (191)
11/13  Indiana vs. Cleveland -1.5  U201.5  (184)
11/15  Denver vs. Phoenix -2  U221.5  (194)
11/15 New Jersey vs. LA Clippers -2  O191  (206)


Here are the first bunch of them.  I really don't have the time to do more...but it seems like it's pretty even

12 unders  9 overs

Throughout the whole season...there have been 75 games where the spread was -2 or less...there was 42 unders....32 overs...and 1 push.  In the past couple weeks there has been a strong tendency towards the over however.

Interesting stat. In Denver's last 10 games played and Sac's last 10 games played where the o/u line was set between 203-210, their records are as follows:

Denver: 4-0 to the Under

Sac: 4-1 to the Under

Line is currently hovering at 207.

try

killersports NBA query

These are your numbers for games with a line of -2 or less this year

SU:	27-44 (-2.6)
ATS:	24-45-2 (-4.1)	avg line: -1.5
O/U:	28-41-2 (-3.0)	avg total: 201.3

Killersportsquery is solid shit.

No plays for me on the first game...going to wait and see what the line movements do on the Nuggets/Kings game.

Its gonna be a dog night I think...BOTH on the ML