Record vs. Spread/ML: 71-66 (+5.65u) Record vs. O/U: 72-62 (+11.7u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) ===================================================================
2-0 on Saturday...9-2 in my last 11 plays, with one of the losses being the Bulls UNDER which Nate Robinson screwed over late. Great games on Super Bowl Sunday as usual.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 144-129 (+17.45u)
Record vs. Spread/ML: 71-66 (+5.65u) Record vs. O/U: 72-62 (+11.7u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) ===================================================================
2-0 on Saturday...9-2 in my last 11 plays, with one of the losses being the Bulls UNDER which Nate Robinson screwed over late. Great games on Super Bowl Sunday as usual.
VERY tough game to cap here. Celtics are rolling since the Rondo injury...Clippers are going in the opposite direction without their stud PG. It technically would fall under the early Sunday UNDER theory, and I said before that I love the under's in the Celtics game until they prove me wrong. The tough part is that the first matchup hit 183 points in a Clippers blowout. Celtics have been very solid the past couple Super Bowl Sunday's. Still leaning towards the UNDER here because of when it's being played, and the fact that the Celtics have been lights out defensively.
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LA Clippers vs. Boston Celtics -
VERY tough game to cap here. Celtics are rolling since the Rondo injury...Clippers are going in the opposite direction without their stud PG. It technically would fall under the early Sunday UNDER theory, and I said before that I love the under's in the Celtics game until they prove me wrong. The tough part is that the first matchup hit 183 points in a Clippers blowout. Celtics have been very solid the past couple Super Bowl Sunday's. Still leaning towards the UNDER here because of when it's being played, and the fact that the Celtics have been lights out defensively.
This is the game that I'm really focusing on as far as the early Sunday UNDER game. Detroit at home plays much better, and the Lakers are still up and down. I would set the line at Lakers -3.5 and have the O/U at about 194.5. I will have to sleep the night away and see if Vegas agrees with me.
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LA Lakers vs. Detroit -
This is the game that I'm really focusing on as far as the early Sunday UNDER game. Detroit at home plays much better, and the Lakers are still up and down. I would set the line at Lakers -3.5 and have the O/U at about 194.5. I will have to sleep the night away and see if Vegas agrees with me.
With Rudy happy clearly looking great in a Raptors uniform, and the energy that he was able to bring to the crowd, added with the fact that teams generally lay an egg in Toronto. The line movement is what's going to determine how to play this game. Public should be all over the Heat as usual, and if the line stays where it is, or goes down, I think Vegas is trying to get a leg up
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Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors -
With Rudy happy clearly looking great in a Raptors uniform, and the energy that he was able to bring to the crowd, added with the fact that teams generally lay an egg in Toronto. The line movement is what's going to determine how to play this game. Public should be all over the Heat as usual, and if the line stays where it is, or goes down, I think Vegas is trying to get a leg up
Honestly, I think Boston continues the streak at home. They are a different animal in Boston...they are gelling extremely well together...and the have done well in the past at home on Super Sunday
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Quote Originally Posted by SRB1975:
how about the line @ LAC vs BOS?
Honestly, I think Boston continues the streak at home. They are a different animal in Boston...they are gelling extremely well together...and the have done well in the past at home on Super Sunday
CM, I would like to discuss the Clippers game further. I think the Celtics hangover kicks in finally and the reality of a post rondo season will sink in. The Clippes rebound after an abysmal shooting game in toronto without barnes (36% fg or so, will not happen again). More importantly, the Clippers will absolutely wreak havoc on the glass, one of the Celtic's weaknesses right now. (kg n collins vs blake n deandre in the paint). I expect a big game out of crawford and if bledsoe plays a smart game and doesn't turn it over, flop city will be too fast and too much inside for the C's.
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CM, I would like to discuss the Clippers game further. I think the Celtics hangover kicks in finally and the reality of a post rondo season will sink in. The Clippes rebound after an abysmal shooting game in toronto without barnes (36% fg or so, will not happen again). More importantly, the Clippers will absolutely wreak havoc on the glass, one of the Celtic's weaknesses right now. (kg n collins vs blake n deandre in the paint). I expect a big game out of crawford and if bledsoe plays a smart game and doesn't turn it over, flop city will be too fast and too much inside for the C's.
The Clippers definitely have the advantage inside. Just about every team in the NBA has that....but the Celtics are exceptional at forcing you into bad shots.
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The Clippers definitely have the advantage inside. Just about every team in the NBA has that....but the Celtics are exceptional at forcing you into bad shots.
The Clippers have the size but they dont look good without chris paul....after that brutal loss to the raptors (scoring 73 points?) I was expecting the Celtics to open at least -1 favorites, especially since Boston has been playing better as a team ever since Rondo went down...its strange the books have the Clippers as -1 here
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The Clippers have the size but they dont look good without chris paul....after that brutal loss to the raptors (scoring 73 points?) I was expecting the Celtics to open at least -1 favorites, especially since Boston has been playing better as a team ever since Rondo went down...its strange the books have the Clippers as -1 here
I actually saw the opening line of that Heat game and was surprised it was only -4.5 after a heavy loss to the Pacers, you'd think the step down in overall quality (especially defensively) would have seen the Heat favored by 7 or so points which is usually a warning sign if you plan on betting the Heat.
Lakers also look better without Howard, it's clear his chemistry isn't right and perhaps the quicker he leaves the better it will be for that organization.
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CMJohnson = one of the best cappers on the forum
I actually saw the opening line of that Heat game and was surprised it was only -4.5 after a heavy loss to the Pacers, you'd think the step down in overall quality (especially defensively) would have seen the Heat favored by 7 or so points which is usually a warning sign if you plan on betting the Heat.
Lakers also look better without Howard, it's clear his chemistry isn't right and perhaps the quicker he leaves the better it will be for that organization.
CM been enjoying your write ups the last few weeks, was wondering what site you get your line movements/money wagered from and also who you like in the SB.
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CM been enjoying your write ups the last few weeks, was wondering what site you get your line movements/money wagered from and also who you like in the SB.
This is the game that I'm really focusing on as far as the early Sunday UNDER game. Detroit at home plays much better, and the Lakers are still up and down. I would set the line at Lakers -3.5 and have the O/U at about 194.5. I will have to sleep the night away and see if Vegas agrees with me.
LAL - 3 O/U 201 1/2
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
LA Lakers vs. Detroit -
This is the game that I'm really focusing on as far as the early Sunday UNDER game. Detroit at home plays much better, and the Lakers are still up and down. I would set the line at Lakers -3.5 and have the O/U at about 194.5. I will have to sleep the night away and see if Vegas agrees with me.
Celtics have won and covered 13 out of their last 14 Sunday home games. The team is rested and has two days off after today. Clippers are playing a 10 am game with their body clock... Celtics got embarrassed earlier this year in LA....
Not that tough
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Celtics have won and covered 13 out of their last 14 Sunday home games. The team is rested and has two days off after today. Clippers are playing a 10 am game with their body clock... Celtics got embarrassed earlier this year in LA....
BOL Cm!! I got C's and Heat.. I think the heat will cover the raps.. Rebounds is killing the heat right now.. Without ed davis on raps i think bosh can play good in here..
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BOL Cm!! I got C's and Heat.. I think the heat will cover the raps.. Rebounds is killing the heat right now.. Without ed davis on raps i think bosh can play good in here..
Detroit Pistons +2.5 (1.1 to win 1) Lakers vs. Pistons UNDER 201.5 (2.2 to win 2)
Reverse line movement is really the only reason for the Pistons pick..just like the Raptors game the other night against the Clip show. Pistons are a much better team at home, Lakers still have a couple of big time road tests coming up this week. Slight revenge game as well, the Lakers were able to beat the Pistons by 30 points in the first week of the season in LA. Not super confident about the Pistons, but it's the line movement play.
As far as the total is concerned, it's an early Sunday UNDER type of game. Lakers offense showed a little bit of something against the Wolves on the road, but besides that they have struggled big time to put up points away from the Staples Center.
Prediction: Pistons 98 Lakers 95
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Detroit Pistons +2.5 (1.1 to win 1) Lakers vs. Pistons UNDER 201.5 (2.2 to win 2)
Reverse line movement is really the only reason for the Pistons pick..just like the Raptors game the other night against the Clip show. Pistons are a much better team at home, Lakers still have a couple of big time road tests coming up this week. Slight revenge game as well, the Lakers were able to beat the Pistons by 30 points in the first week of the season in LA. Not super confident about the Pistons, but it's the line movement play.
As far as the total is concerned, it's an early Sunday UNDER type of game. Lakers offense showed a little bit of something against the Wolves on the road, but besides that they have struggled big time to put up points away from the Staples Center.
Boston Celtics -1 (1.1 to win 1) LA Clippers vs. Celtics UNDER 184.5 (1.1 to win 1)
Gotta keep rolling with the Celtics until they prove me wrong. The line movement here has been up and down and up and down. Clippers certainly have the size inside...no doubt about it. But what the Celtics have that I feel gives them the huge advantage in this game is the pressure that Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee can put on the ball. Without Chris Paul in there...the Clippers Assist/Turnover ratio has dropped, their assists have dropped, and the most important stat for me in this game is that their turnovers have increased almost 1 more turnover per game. I can definitely see the Celtics winning the fast break battle and using their great defense to keep the Clippers at bay.
Prediction: Celtics 94 Clippers 87
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Boston Celtics -1 (1.1 to win 1) LA Clippers vs. Celtics UNDER 184.5 (1.1 to win 1)
Gotta keep rolling with the Celtics until they prove me wrong. The line movement here has been up and down and up and down. Clippers certainly have the size inside...no doubt about it. But what the Celtics have that I feel gives them the huge advantage in this game is the pressure that Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee can put on the ball. Without Chris Paul in there...the Clippers Assist/Turnover ratio has dropped, their assists have dropped, and the most important stat for me in this game is that their turnovers have increased almost 1 more turnover per game. I can definitely see the Celtics winning the fast break battle and using their great defense to keep the Clippers at bay.
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