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Johnson's NBA Thursday 12/13

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  67-56 (21.5u)

Record vs. Spread:  30-31  (-0.1u)
Record vs. O/U:  37-24  (+22.6u)
Record vs. Parlay:  0-1  (-1u)
==================================================================

0-3 last night...rough games all over the place.  Still a great win for the Celtics in 2OT.  Back to the board tonight.
 
Legend
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THURSDAY TRENDS:

Home Teams are 1-8-1 ATS
5 OVERS 5 UNDERS
B2B is 5-1-1 ATS
B2B is 3-4 O/U
Home Favorites are 0-7-1 ATS
Home Underdogs are 1-1 ATS

 
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Posted: #3
Lots of people had a rough night. We will get them back tonight  I went 2-4 .
 
Legend
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Legend
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LA Lakers +6.5  (2.2 to win 2)

I know I said I'm staying away from the Lakers' spread for a while, but this one is a little too juicy for me.  I'm not positive that the Lakers win this game and get off the slide, but I do believe that they will keep it close the entire way through.  Kobe usually has special games in MSG...as does Dwight Howard.  Knicks escaped a tough battle against the Nets the other night...and it should be that type of game once again.  Also riding the trend of home teams doing terribly on Thursday nights.

Prediction:  Knicks 107  Lakers 104
 
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LA ML....consider it    bol
 
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Haha, what trend?
It's absolutely random you nut.

Say you flip a coin 10 times each day, on average you can expect to get at least a day, where you have 7-3 or 8-2 or 9-1 head (chance for that is 17%). Say that day is Thursday.

Now you conclusion is you are more likely to flip heads on Thursday?

Dude, these kind of trends are RANDOM, you have no sample size of any significance, it's what the toot do to sound smart, but they really aren't.
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
Best of Luck Tonight...
 
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Posted: #9
GL
 
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Unless Lakers start playing defense, they will continue losing.  They are so disgustingly disorganized.  They and Heat have been   to me because I just can't tell if they will show up and play right!  
 
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Posted: #11
opposite here..Thanks

Nicks-6.....you will be glad u did!!
 
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Posted: #12
TNT Thursday warrants stronger consideration when evaluating daily  trends. Additionally, ignoring trends is like ignoring referee schedules; if you don't know, you won't care. BOL CMJ
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by fiire:

Haha, what trend?
It's absolutely random you nut.

Say you flip a coin 10 times each day, on average you can expect to get at least a day, where you have 7-3 or 8-2 or 9-1 head (chance for that is 17%). Say that day is Thursday.

Now you conclusion is you are more likely to flip heads on Thursday?

Dude, these kind of trends are RANDOM, you have no sample size of any significance, it's what the toot do to sound smart, but they really aren't.


Wrong. Home teams playing on thursday doing bad could be random, but that's not a for sure. You don't think theres a player or two on each team that won't be looking ahead to their weekend, plans with the boys, wife, vacation maybe?

Every person is different.


 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by fiire:

Haha, what trend?
It's absolutely random you nut.

Say you flip a coin 10 times each day, on average you can expect to get at least a day, where you have 7-3 or 8-2 or 9-1 head (chance for that is 17%). Say that day is Thursday.

Now you conclusion is you are more likely to flip heads on Thursday?

Dude, these kind of trends are RANDOM, you have no sample size of any significance, it's what the toot do to sound smart, but they really aren't.


There is very little about sports that is RANDOM.  Based on your theory...every trend in sports is useless because they are all random?  If you truly believe that, then I feel bad for you, and enjoy capping at 50% because it's just a coin flip
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



Wrong. Home teams playing on thursday doing bad could be random, but that's not a for sure. You don't think theres a player or two on each team that won't be looking ahead to their weekend, plans with the boys, wife, vacation maybe?

Every person is different.




My thinking is that generally the Thursday games are higher profile games...and there is a lot more pressure on the home team knowing that they have a quality opponent or rival team coming into town and the cameras are on them. 

Same with last season in the playoffs...home teams might win the games, but they don't cover that well
 
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Posted: #16
u have same pick as me show with me lake show. gotta love the road dogs on nat tv..
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:



My thinking is that generally the Thursday games are higher profile games...and there is a lot more pressure on the home team knowing that they have a quality opponent or rival team coming into town and the cameras are on them. 

Same with last season in the playoffs...home teams might win the games, but they don't cover that well
True, but you have to remember, this isn't the Knicks of old, totally different team.. I say 16 thees go down tonight..I leaned Lakers at first, but couldnt do it. GL..
 
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Posted: #18
The three's might rain for sure...but as long as the Lakers make some of their own
 
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BOL CMJ!!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

LA Lakers +6.5  (2.2 to win 2)

I know I said I'm staying away from the Lakers' spread for a while, but this one is a little too juicy for me.  I'm not positive that the Lakers win this game and get off the slide, but I do believe that they will keep it close the entire way through.  Kobe usually has special games in MSG...as does Dwight Howard.  Knicks escaped a tough battle against the Nets the other night...and it should be that type of game once again.  Also riding the trend of home teams doing terribly on Thursday nights.

Prediction:  Knicks 107  Lakers 104



Spread looks either way to me, but that is one way to keep a short losing streak running longer > bet on a team with multiple problems.
 
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Hard to bet on a Lakers defense that is non-existent. They have one of the best defensive players and they cant get a stop. If I heard correct the Cavs had something like 12 layups in a row the other night against them. Do you think their D got any better in a couple nights? The Knicks have proved they can shoot the lights out of the ball and have depth. I cannot see this being very close especially if the Knicks hit their 3s. I definitely like the over in this game but wouldnt burn my money on a Laker team that has yet to show any toughness or energy on the court. My opinion. BOL
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
 
 
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BOL
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