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Johnson's NBA Tuesday 12/18

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  73-63 (+16.4u)

Record vs. Spread:  33-35  (-2.7u)
Record vs. O/U:  40-27  (+20.1u)
Record vs. Parlay:  0-1  (-1u)
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1-1 on Monday Night, and I would have changed that OVER pick had I known that Carmelo Anthony would have been out, and added more to the Rockets.  I said the same damn thing when the Knicks played the Cavs, if Melo is out, they cannot spread the floor and they don't have the same offensive talent.  Moving on to Tuesday, and working on even further spreadsheets, which is a pain in the ass.  Hopefully I'll finish this week...
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
TUESDAY TRENDS:

Home Teams are 12-18-1
13 OVERS 17 UNDERS
B2B is 2-2 ATS
B2B is 0-4 O/U
Home Favorites are 9-11-1
Home Dogs are 3-7-1
Double Digit Faves are 2-0-1
 
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Brooklyn Nets -1.5 1st Quarter  (2.2 to win 2)

The Nets have done fairly well against the Western Conference this year.  The Jazz have not done well on the road this year.  The Nets have a +8 point differential in the first quarter on 2 days of rest...and being at home, I really feel as though the Nets will come out hot in this one.

Prediction:  Nets 26  Jazz 22
 
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Posted: #4
Boston Celtics PK 1st Quarter (1.1 to win 1)

The Celtics are a surprising +18 point differential in the 1st Quarter on the road...and every game for them on the road has been with 0 or 1 days of rest...they come into this game against the Bulls with 2 days of rest, and the Bulls don't have any rest at all, playing against the Grizzlies on Monday night.  Celtics won the first meeting, and had a 6 point advantage after the 1st quarter.  Should be a much lower scoring game in this one, but I still like the C's to have the lead after 1.

Prediction:  Celtics  22  Bulls 19
 
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Posted: #5
I think Boston wins outright tomorrow. You think thats a good call?
 
Legend
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Posted: #6
Not quite sure on that one...Celtics generally struggle at some point around Christmas...most years it has been after, but the past couple games leads me to think that it will be before this year.  I see an 88-85 type of game
 
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Posted: #7
thoughts on spurs johnson? think they can overcome b2b on the rocky mountains?
 
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Posted: #8
Looks good mate
 
Legend
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by duncantutan:

thoughts on spurs johnson? think they can overcome b2b on the rocky mountains?


Really depends on if Manu can play or not...if not, I would still stay away from the spread but bet on the UNDER just like I said tonight
 
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Posted: #10
Charlotte Bobcats +12  (1.1 to win 1)

A few too many points in this one.  The Bobcats have played their best basketball against the Lakers for some reason, winning 6 of the last 10 games, and covering just about every time.  The Lakers have only been at home for a couple days this month, and I feel like it will take a little bit of time and maybe Gasol and Nash returning this week to truly get into their groove under D'Antoni.  This should be a do enough to win type of game, and I will grab double digits just about every time in that situation.

Prediction:  Lakers 109  Bobcats 100
 
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Posted: #11
i agree with you on the double digits just something is telling me take the lakers cause they are gonna show oout

 
Legend
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Posted: #12
I just can't justify taking the Lakers...BOL to you either way
 
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Posted: #13
yea i agree im leaning
heat on ez pick -5
thoughts?
 
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Posted: #14
lol another celtics pick? lmaooooo
 
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Posted: #15
Bobcats started off well this season but are becoming the Bobcats of last season the last couple weeks. They'll get blown out tonight.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by sabermaths:

lol another celtics pick? lmaooooo


Yes sir.  I understand your concern
 
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Posted: #17
Atlanta Hawks -2 1st Quarter (1.1 to win 1)
Hawks vs. Wizards UNDER 187.5  (1.1 to win 1)

Hawks come into this one as one of the better road teams in the league...and the Wizards are just outright terrible right now.  Hawks are 3-0 as road favorites this season, and have gotten off to a hot start in all three games (hence the 1st quarter play).  +26 point differential in those three games, and a 2-0 1st quarter against the Wizards so far this season.  Would have thrown in a full game play on the spread, but it might be a look ahead game for Atlanta.  As far as the UNDER is concerned, the Hawks on the road are only averaging 184 points per game.  Wizards putting up 89.2 points per game in their last ten, skewed big time by the blip on the radar of the Miami game where they put up 105.  I can't see them putting up 89 in this game, and I can't see the Hawks putting up 100.

Prediction:  Hawks 24  Wizards 20  (1st Quarter)  Hawks 92  Wizards 83  (Full Game)
 
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Posted: #18
Atlanta first q
Young teams always come out running
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

I just can't justify taking the Lakers...BOL to you either way

It really depends if Kobe can get 35+ points per night.  He said that he was gonna defer more this year but it turns out that the ball is in his hands more.  Can't trust anyone anymore......I guess...
 
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Posted: #20
How come you even bother with picking a side when you are clearly way better at capping totals? Just wondering. You are a good capper. Keep up the great work and thanks for putting in your time.
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Atlanta Hawks -2 1st Quarter (1.1 to win 1)
Hawks vs. Wizards UNDER 187.5  (1.1 to win 1)

Hawks come into this one as one of the better road teams in the league...and the Wizards are just outright terrible right now.  Hawks are 3-0 as road favorites this season, and have gotten off to a hot start in all three games (hence the 1st quarter play).  +26 point differential in those three games, and a 2-0 1st quarter against the Wizards so far this season.  Would have thrown in a full game play on the spread, but it might be a look ahead game for Atlanta.  As far as the UNDER is concerned, the Hawks on the road are only averaging 184 points per game.  Wizards putting up 89.2 points per game in their last ten, skewed big time by the blip on the radar of the Miami game where they put up 105.  I can't see them putting up 89 in this game, and I can't see the Hawks putting up 100.

Prediction:  Hawks 24  Wizards 20  (1st Quarter)  Hawks 92  Wizards 83  (Full Game)
Completely agree with you :)
 
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Posted: #24
BOL to you
 
 
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Posted: #25
What about GSW? 
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