Record vs. Spread/ML: 69-66 (+3.65u) Record vs. O/U: 65-60 (+5u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) =================================================================
1-2 yesterday, but still hit my 2 unit play to limit the damage. Not too many games on the board today, so ya gotta be smart.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 135-127 (+8.75u)
Record vs. Spread/ML: 69-66 (+3.65u) Record vs. O/U: 65-60 (+5u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) =================================================================
1-2 yesterday, but still hit my 2 unit play to limit the damage. Not too many games on the board today, so ya gotta be smart.
Big story in this game is obviously the injuries to the Warriors...Steph Curry and Andrew Bogut will probably both miss this game, and Harrison Barnes is still dealing with a calf injury. If I'm Mark Jackson, I rest them all in this game and wait to get back home. 4th game in 5 nights for the Warriors...all on the road. On the flip side, the Warriors have been very good against the Eastern Conference (13-6 ATS)...the Cavaliers surprisingly have done well against the better teams in the league this season, 13-10 ATS. If anything I would lean strongly towards the UNDER in this game just because of the injuries, fatigue factor, and all that.
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Golden State vs. Cleveland -
Big story in this game is obviously the injuries to the Warriors...Steph Curry and Andrew Bogut will probably both miss this game, and Harrison Barnes is still dealing with a calf injury. If I'm Mark Jackson, I rest them all in this game and wait to get back home. 4th game in 5 nights for the Warriors...all on the road. On the flip side, the Warriors have been very good against the Eastern Conference (13-6 ATS)...the Cavaliers surprisingly have done well against the better teams in the league this season, 13-10 ATS. If anything I would lean strongly towards the UNDER in this game just because of the injuries, fatigue factor, and all that.
3rd matchup of the season for these two teams...first total hit 180, second one hit 190...now the total is set above 200 thanks to the new coach and system of the Bucks. Bucks are 13-8 ATS on the road this season, and the Pistons are only 1-5 ATS as favorites of less than 3 points. Because of that, and the revenge factor after losing the first two battles, I would lean strongly towards the Bucks
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Milwaukee vs. Detroit -
3rd matchup of the season for these two teams...first total hit 180, second one hit 190...now the total is set above 200 thanks to the new coach and system of the Bucks. Bucks are 13-8 ATS on the road this season, and the Pistons are only 1-5 ATS as favorites of less than 3 points. Because of that, and the revenge factor after losing the first two battles, I would lean strongly towards the Bucks
Initial lean would be for the Mavericks here, as they bounced back exactly how they were expected to against a weaker Suns team. Now they start a road trip and a 3 game in 4 day stretch. Mavericks are 14-5 ATS this season as underdogs of less than 3 points...so when they get little respect, they show up. Weird scheduling for the Blazers here as this is the middle game between two home and home stretches against the Clippers and the Jazz. Blazers are only 3-7 SU in their last ten games. Will have to watch the spread on this one to see if it can deter me in any way.
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Dallas vs. Portland -
Initial lean would be for the Mavericks here, as they bounced back exactly how they were expected to against a weaker Suns team. Now they start a road trip and a 3 game in 4 day stretch. Mavericks are 14-5 ATS this season as underdogs of less than 3 points...so when they get little respect, they show up. Weird scheduling for the Blazers here as this is the middle game between two home and home stretches against the Clippers and the Jazz. Blazers are only 3-7 SU in their last ten games. Will have to watch the spread on this one to see if it can deter me in any way.
Lakers finally seem to have figured out what might work best for this offense, and Vegas feels as though the public realizes that as well...setting the line quite high and having it still get pounded for the Lakers. Hornets are 15-6 ATS on the road this season, which is incredible. If anything I would lean towards the OVER in this one, as I do see the Lakers putting up 103-107 or so..and the spread should be very close, so that would mean the Hornets getting up to the high 90's.
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New Orleans vs. LA Lakers -
Lakers finally seem to have figured out what might work best for this offense, and Vegas feels as though the public realizes that as well...setting the line quite high and having it still get pounded for the Lakers. Hornets are 15-6 ATS on the road this season, which is incredible. If anything I would lean towards the OVER in this one, as I do see the Lakers putting up 103-107 or so..and the spread should be very close, so that would mean the Hornets getting up to the high 90's.
Golden State vs. Cleveland UNDER 204 (2.2 to win 2)
Going big on this one early on here...thanks to a very generous line. No Steph Curry and Bogut for the Warriors more than likley...and now Kyrie Irving might be limited due to sickness? The fourth game in five nights for the Warriors, Cavs coming in rested for this game so there might be some rust. First meeting of the year early on hit 202, so you have to think it's either going up from there or down...and all signs point to down for me. Prediction: Warriors 99 Cavaliers 93
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Golden State vs. Cleveland UNDER 204 (2.2 to win 2)
Going big on this one early on here...thanks to a very generous line. No Steph Curry and Bogut for the Warriors more than likley...and now Kyrie Irving might be limited due to sickness? The fourth game in five nights for the Warriors, Cavs coming in rested for this game so there might be some rust. First meeting of the year early on hit 202, so you have to think it's either going up from there or down...and all signs point to down for me. Prediction: Warriors 99 Cavaliers 93
Very gutsy call on the scoring results for GSW/Cavs.
Usually, I would stay with the home team but GSW has been getting back on track as of late. DLee is playing better again. I like GSW bench a lot and some of them deserve starter positions.
But if Irving plays............
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Very gutsy call on the scoring results for GSW/Cavs.
Usually, I would stay with the home team but GSW has been getting back on track as of late. DLee is playing better again. I like GSW bench a lot and some of them deserve starter positions.
I think that CMJ is spot on, FWIW...this was always going to be a rough game for GS with the 4 in 5 on the road. Even if Kyrie plays, he prob won't be near top shape...so GS could go defensive and try to win on that level if possible.
gl to all
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I think that CMJ is spot on, FWIW...this was always going to be a rough game for GS with the 4 in 5 on the road. Even if Kyrie plays, he prob won't be near top shape...so GS could go defensive and try to win on that level if possible.
Dallas Mavericks +3 (1.1 to win 1) Dallas vs. Portland UNDER 203 (1.1 to win 1)
The Mavericks have clearly turned a corner in their season. They have gone 10-3 ATS in January..and are 14-5 this year as short underdogs. The Blazers are a very inconsistent team which is the only thing that worries me a little bit about this game. They win 6 out of 7 a couple weeks ago with games against Miami, Memphis, and New York...but the only loss was a 23 point blowout to the Raptors? Then they lose 6 straight games, 4 of them at home? But oh wait, lets just go out and beat the Pacers by 20 points and then win against the Clippers as well. They have some talent on that team and when they focus they are pretty solid, but I just think the Mavericks are too strong right now for them.
As far as the UNDER is concerned...I feel like that's the best case scenario for a Mavericks win. They have had a high number of OVERS this season, and I see this game as being a Vegas adjustment. This is the first game in a while against a bottom level offensive team...and the start of a road trip for the Mavericks. They know they can't go all out balls to the wall if they want to have any gas left for the remainder of the trip. Prediction: Mavericks 98 Blazers 92
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Dallas Mavericks +3 (1.1 to win 1) Dallas vs. Portland UNDER 203 (1.1 to win 1)
The Mavericks have clearly turned a corner in their season. They have gone 10-3 ATS in January..and are 14-5 this year as short underdogs. The Blazers are a very inconsistent team which is the only thing that worries me a little bit about this game. They win 6 out of 7 a couple weeks ago with games against Miami, Memphis, and New York...but the only loss was a 23 point blowout to the Raptors? Then they lose 6 straight games, 4 of them at home? But oh wait, lets just go out and beat the Pacers by 20 points and then win against the Clippers as well. They have some talent on that team and when they focus they are pretty solid, but I just think the Mavericks are too strong right now for them.
As far as the UNDER is concerned...I feel like that's the best case scenario for a Mavericks win. They have had a high number of OVERS this season, and I see this game as being a Vegas adjustment. This is the first game in a while against a bottom level offensive team...and the start of a road trip for the Mavericks. They know they can't go all out balls to the wall if they want to have any gas left for the remainder of the trip. Prediction: Mavericks 98 Blazers 92
I like the under a lot in the Gsw game , had exactly the same thinking , tired , injured team on the road , though they will want to end there road trip strong , i think they may not have the legs for it , under is my only play today .
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I like the under a lot in the Gsw game , had exactly the same thinking , tired , injured team on the road , though they will want to end there road trip strong , i think they may not have the legs for it , under is my only play today .
Golden State vs. Cleveland UNDER 204 (2.2 to win 2)
Going big on this one early on here...thanks to a very generous line. No Steph Curry and Bogut for the Warriors more than likley...and now Kyrie Irving might be limited due to sickness? The fourth game in five nights for the Warriors, Cavs coming in rested for this game so there might be some rust. First meeting of the year early on hit 202, so you have to think it's either going up from there or down...and all signs point to down for me. Prediction: Warriors 99 Cavaliers 93
Square play of the day. I wonder what the bookmakers feel about this very obvious under.
Golden State vs. Cleveland UNDER 204 (2.2 to win 2)
Going big on this one early on here...thanks to a very generous line. No Steph Curry and Bogut for the Warriors more than likley...and now Kyrie Irving might be limited due to sickness? The fourth game in five nights for the Warriors, Cavs coming in rested for this game so there might be some rust. First meeting of the year early on hit 202, so you have to think it's either going up from there or down...and all signs point to down for me. Prediction: Warriors 99 Cavaliers 93
Square play of the day. I wonder what the bookmakers feel about this very obvious under.
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