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Johnson's NBA Wednesday 12/12/12

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  67-53 (25.9u)

Record vs. Spread:  30-30  (+2.1u)
Record vs. O/U:  37-22  (+24.8u)
Record vs. Parlay:  0-1  (-1u)

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2-0 on Tuesday night...and by a pretty easy margin.  Just about had the write-ups perfect.  Hopefully we keep it going tonight.
 
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Posted: #2
It's a dog night buddy, well done yesterday.
 
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Posted: #3
 
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Posted: #4
yeap i liked knicksover didnt pull trigger ended up taking knicks -2.5 i bought it down of course from -3 to that number and it cashed lol
anyway looking forward to your pics man thanks

 
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Posted: #5
WEDNESDAY TRENDS:

Home Teams are 34-33-1 ATS
36 OVERS 30 UNDERS 2 PUSH
B2B is 10-14 ATS
B2B is 14-10 O/U
Home Favorites are 24-20 ATS
Home Underdogs are 10-13 ATS
Double Digit Favorites are 3-0 ATS
 
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Posted: #6
That's like an insta play on Okc -13.5 lol
 
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Posted: #7
CM, do you follow trends a lot? I find trends not too useful because for any trends you find to favor one team you can find another trend that favors the other team.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Cuno144:

CM, do you follow trends a lot? I find trends not too useful because for any trends you find to favor one team you can find another trend that favors the other team.


I don't focus in on team trends as much as I do the daily trends and overall NBA trends
 
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Posted: #9
New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City OVER 195  (1.1 to win 1)

Seems like it should be an easy play on the Thunder in this one...but I also believe the line is right where it should be...even though they have won by 15 and 21 against the Hornicans this year.  Too close to call on that one...but I also love how the Thunder offense has been playing lately, especially at home.  This one should have been closer to the 200-203 range.  Anthony Davis being back gives the Hornets a little more offensive flexability.

Prediction:  Thunder 109  Hornets 97
 
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Posted: #10
Once again waiting on further news from Harden to see if he plays...the line being at 11 seems a bit high
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City OVER 195  (1.1 to win 1)

Seems like it should be an easy play on the Thunder in this one...but I also believe the line is right where it should be...even though they have won by 15 and 21 against the Hornicans this year.  Too close to call on that one...but I also love how the Thunder offense has been playing lately, especially at home.  This one should have been closer to the 200-203 range.  Anthony Davis being back gives the Hornets a little more offensive flexability.

Prediction:  Thunder 109  Hornets 97

Wow, that's quite a high scoring game you got for Hornets.  BOL to you, CMJ!  I like OKC at 13.5 but trying to figure out their lineup first.  Will Davis start tonight is my main question. 

 
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Posted: #12
according to trend okc-14 and over is a 2 teamer
would you agree.
i like the over myself may just play that i was leaning for a 2 teamer though good luck!!!
 
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Posted: #13
bol
 
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Posted: #14
what do you think about cle@ind? This seems like an easy over to me..
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City OVER 195  (1.1 to win 1)

Seems like it should be an easy play on the Thunder in this one...but I also believe the line is right where it should be...even though they have won by 15 and 21 against the Hornicans this year.  Too close to call on that one...but I also love how the Thunder offense has been playing lately, especially at home.  This one should have been closer to the 200-203 range.  Anthony Davis being back gives the Hornets a little more offensive flexability.

Prediction:  Thunder 109  Hornets 97

Love it, everything points in the direction of the over. As with you, I chose Over rather than Okc because 14 points is a lot, but still have the urge to take the side as well. Either way, LETS GET 
 
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Posted: #16
Dallas vs. Boston UNDER 196  (1.1 to win 1)

I like the Celtics to win this game after their prolonged rest...but the spread is way too tough to call right now.  Celtics have had mixed results this season on Wednesday nights, as well as with the extended rest periods.  I have them winning this game because of Dallas' tough travel schedule over the past week...and flying east for this game won't be easy.  Now because I see the Celtics winning the game, I do not see them putting up 100+ points in doing so...it will be close to 100, but not quite there.  Dallas will find buckets hard to come by without Marion adding the depth.  Close game throughout...Boston pulls it out late.

Prediction:  Boston 98  Dallas 91
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Rakiztah:

what do you think about cle@ind? This seems like an easy over to me..


Cavs are averaging 96.3 points on a B2B...but the Pacers are only putting up 90 ppg overall.  That total seems to be set exactly where it should be IMO
 
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Posted: #18
Miami Heat -8.5  (2.2 to win 2)

Said the other night that I will be riding the Heat quite heavily over this homestand unless they prove me wrong.  Warriors are on a nice little run here on the road, but the record of the teams that they have beat is 28-54 (.341)...not very impressive.  The overall record of the teams they have beat this year is 128-157 (.449).  The Heat are at home, they got a good solid win over the Hawks the other night...and now it's time to beat a team that they should handle quite well.  This should have been a double digit spread.

Prediction:  Heat 108  Warriors 94
 
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Posted: #19
any lean on atlanta
 
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Posted: #20
5 points seems a bit too high...especially considering the Hawks seem to play to their competition...if anything I would lean UNDER on that game
 
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Posted: #21
bol mate 
 
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Posted: #22
i took hawks ml.. teased it down.. think they win?
 
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Posted: #23
What do you guys think about these 3 team teasers?

CHI +9.5/CLE +15/DEN +10.5
CHI +9.5/BKL-.5/DEN +10.5
CHI +9.5/CLE +15/BKL -.5

Chi only last once this season by double digits. It was to the a very good Clippers team. CLE +15 should be enough against IND. IND is 29th in scoring this season with only 1 win by double digits this season (against DAL), plus CLE is getting Irving back. BKL at pick them should be a no brainer with Lowry and Amir Johnson out. And DEN +10.5 should cover as well against MIN. They have already beaten them in MIN.

Any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #24
Thanks CM, with you on everything. BOL 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Dallas vs. Boston UNDER 196  (1.1 to win 1)

I like the Celtics to win this game after their prolonged rest...but the spread is way too tough to call right now.  Celtics have had mixed results this season on Wednesday nights, as well as with the extended rest periods.  I have them winning this game because of Dallas' tough travel schedule over the past week...and flying east for this game won't be easy.  Now because I see the Celtics winning the game, I do not see them putting up 100+ points in doing so...it will be close to 100, but not quite there.  Dallas will find buckets hard to come by without Marion adding the depth.  Close game throughout...Boston pulls it out late.

Prediction:  Boston 98  Dallas 91

Boston and Dallas been killing it off a rest with 21 Over results in 30 games combined where teams were off a rest.
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