Johnson's NBA Wednesday 12/3

OVERALL RECORD:  53-49 (+$160)

ATS:  23-18
O/U:  13-21
1ST Q: 11-7
1ST H:  1-1
3RD Q:  1-1
2ND H:  2-0
TEAM TOTALS:  2-1

2 UNIT PLAYS:  8-5
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6-0 for a solid +700 on Tuesday night.  Got a good solid feel for the games and hopefully that can keep rolling.  Missed out on being able to give a write-up on each game like I wanted to do due to moving back to New Hampshire and being on the road for most of the weekend.

Let's get it on!

Nice work! BOL

Chicago vs Charlotte -

Seems like the line will be between 4 and 6 for the Bulls...and I have a strong lean towards the Hornets at home to get the job done.  Bulls have to be exhausted...I don't see how they can continue to play as well as they have after a huge road trip and a random one game home stand.  Hornets at home average 3 points more per game than their season average.  If it goes up to 3 possessions I don't see a reason not to be on the Hornets.

LA Lakers vs Washington -

Small lean towards the Wizards if I can get the line under 8 or so.  Lakers got a good win against a weaker opponent in Detroit, but I don't think they have what it takes to win two straight games or even compete against one of the better teams in the East.  Add in the fact that the Lakers are a -11 on the road this year, and the Wizards might be a very smart play.

Detroit vs Boston -

Big time lean towards the Celtics.  A lot of talk lately around these parts about some dissension within the team and not listening to Brad Stevens.  Rondo is trying to be the distributor WAY too much right now (2 points and 19 assists?) rather than taking over on the offensive end like he needs to do.  Pistons lost at home against the Lakers and just have absolutely no team chemistry...which I'm surprised at with Van Gundy at the helm.  I think the Celtics come through in the next two games to quiet the talk a bit.

San Antonio vs Brooklyn -

Another good sized lean towards the Nets in this one.  The Spurs have been on fire lately and have seen a double digit line in 5 of the last 6 games...and only covering 2 of those 5 games.  The Nets are very well rested...only having to "travel" into the city to face the Knicks on Tuesday.  Biggest reason why I love the Nets is that this is a huge look ahead game for the Spurs (something that they don't really do too much) as they have the Grizzlies on deck on Friday night.

Atlanta vs Miami -

OVER is really the only play that you can put money on in this one IMO.  They played to 217 a couple weeks ago in Atlanta which tends to be a much faster place to play...but this one should at least get over 200 points.  No look ahead situations for either team, and the Hawks have the momentum off a solid 2nd half against Boston.

Great night 

Memphis vs Houston -

Huge conflict game here...probably a stay away game unless something just screams crazy.  Rockets have the revenge factor going since the Grizz whooped them in Memphis earlier this year.  Rockets also have the pleasure of having 4 days of rest coming into this game.  I would set the line at Rockets -2 and an O/U of 196...we will see if Vegas agrees with me.

Dallas vs Milwaukee -

I really like the OVER in this one with the Mavericks coming in tired off a long game against the Bulls and the Bucks defense not exactly lighting it up in the past couple games.  What I don't love is the early huge public support for the OVER.  Going to wait this one out and see what the line does...if there is some reverse movement it will tell us a lot.

Philadelphia vs Minnesota -

Man...Vegas is just BEGGING us to take the Sixers in this game.  We all know how terrible they are...but they have to win one of the next three games right?  I'm going to continue to hold off my money on these games...I just can't justify it.

Toronto vs Utah -

Look ahead situation here for the Raptors...they are at the end of the road trip and have a huge game against the Cavaliers coming up.  I would set the line at Raptors -5 and O/U of 204.5...If I can get the Jazz at three possessions I'm going to jump all over it. 

Orlando vs LA Clippers -

Leaning fairly strongly towards the Magic...little too big of a number.  They are in the middle of their road trip, and as we saw tonight, they can actually compete with a good team.  They have size down low and athleticism on the outside.  Oladipo is a stud.  Only issue I have is if the Magic lose steam in the 2nd half against the well rested Clippers team that is absolutely on fire in the past week.  If the Magic have to be without Vucevic again...I would lean a little more towards them fading late...but how much will they fade?

You as well LC...keep on killin it

Glad to hear you went 7-0 Tuesday, I always enjoy reading your write ups. I'm with you on Washington, Boston and Brooklyn, but idk if I can bet against the Bulls after a game they Should have won but threw away (lucky dal cover). . Thibs will have them ready for an awful Charlotte team. If Charlotte gets anything more than 5-6pts, I think the safe play is Bulls ML. Even without noah/Gibson.

I need a big hit for tomorrow , I went 4/5 on a 5team parlay Tuesday. 30 to win 750.

Mil +11, Bos +7, bkn-1.5, dal +1.5, POR -3.

Man did Portland kill me.


Wednesday parlay: bos -4, bkn +8.5, leaning on Milwaukee +5 at home....Bulls ml.....and looking for 1 or 2 more plays.

CMjohnson

I agree with taking UTAH...but raps team for some reason never ever looks ahead .after years of following them..

Great night buddy!

Keep it rolling.....

Perfect night. 

Sixers are a play IF Noel plays, otherwise gotta stay away like you said.....

raptors gona pound jazz
76ers will be close game so i recomend to take +7.5 or +6.5

Boston Celtics -1.5 1st Quarter  ($220 to win $200)

The Celtics are the best 1st half team possibly in the league...and the Pistons just played at home last night and lost against the weak Lakers.  Celtics coming in from Atlanta as well...but I don't see the Pistons getting their groove until the 2nd half, as most teams do against the Celtics.   Celtics are +31 in the 1st half in the last 4 games, and -70 in the 2nd half. 

Prediction:  Celtics 31  Pistons 25

Brooklyn Nets +9  ($110 to win $100)

Look ahead situation for the Spurs...Nets at home are a pretty solid team...home team has done well in this series...David Jones reffing is one of the biggest homers...Nets been at home for over a week now...they will contend.

Prediction:  Spurs 103  Nets 100

Atlanta vs Miami OVER 200.5  ($110 to win $100)

Line is set low due to the Heat's performance in the past couple weeks offensively.  I look at the teams they played however and i don't see a faster paced offensive team in the bunch.  The Heat play to their opponent's level...if it's fast they can play fast.  There are no injuries in this game, and they played to 217 points in their earlier meeting.

Prediction:  Heat 107  Hawks 102

Houston Rockets +5  ($110 to win $100)

I said I would stay away unless something seemed crazy...and this seems crazy to me.  Huge revenge game.  Rockets at home and rested.  End of a long road trip for the Grizzlies with a big game against the Spurs on Friday night.  Rockets playing well without some of their bigger guys.  This game won't be more than 2 possessions.  Rockets might win.

Prediction:  Rockets 98  Grizzlies 95

Orlando Magic +15  ($110 to win $100)

I just can't figure this one out...not only is the line about 4 points too high, but the public is backing the Clippers early?  The Magic are 11-9 ATS this year, have played fairly well on the road, the Clippers are only a +3 ppg at home this year, and Vucevic might play tonight which would negate a lot of what Jordan/Griffin can do.

Prediction:  Clippers 109  Magic 98

great night CJM, bol again today.

.  

Man. I cant go against memphis anymore, got killed twice
Lets put it this way, if memphis can really blow out clippers, they are for real this year
Rockets. Losing too many players and harden looks like an wnba player against good teams

Man. I cant go against memphis anymore, got killed twice
Lets put it this way, if memphis can really blow out clippers, they are for real this year
Rockets. Losing too many players and harden looks like an wnba player against good teams

The Celtics are the exception to this though...they've blown big leads in every game just about...and just keep coming out hot.