Record vs. Spread/ML: 74-67 (+7.55u) Record vs. O/U: 76-64 (+14.5u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) ===================================================================
1-1 last night. Didn't really like too much, took it easy and made it out alive just losing on the juice. Shocked and disappointed with the lack of effort from the Brooklyn Nets last night. 28% shooting from the guards against one of the worst defensive teams in the league? At home?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 151-132 (+22.15u)
Record vs. Spread/ML: 74-67 (+7.55u) Record vs. O/U: 76-64 (+14.5u) Record vs. Parlay: 1-1 (+0.1u) ===================================================================
1-1 last night. Didn't really like too much, took it easy and made it out alive just losing on the juice. Shocked and disappointed with the lack of effort from the Brooklyn Nets last night. 28% shooting from the guards against one of the worst defensive teams in the league? At home?
So the Celtics are favored against the Clippers, and now are underdogs against the Raptors? Interesting line, and one would think that the Celtics would be looking ahead to the Lakers tomorrow night, teams generally struggle in Toronto, but I still would have expected a majority of the money to be on the Celtics here. Will wait to see where the money comes in...and if the line moves. Initial lean towards the Celtics and the UNDER
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Boston vs. Toronto -
So the Celtics are favored against the Clippers, and now are underdogs against the Raptors? Interesting line, and one would think that the Celtics would be looking ahead to the Lakers tomorrow night, teams generally struggle in Toronto, but I still would have expected a majority of the money to be on the Celtics here. Will wait to see where the money comes in...and if the line moves. Initial lean towards the Celtics and the UNDER
Tough to call this one...Sixers playing much better as of late winning three straight games in very low scoring fashion. Pacers going completely against the grain putting up 106 per game in their last six games against pretty decent defenses. First meeting hit 180, and based on the recent play of the Sixers, I would tend to believe this one will be a little bit lower, but right now it's just too tough to call.
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Indiana vs. Philadelphia -
Tough to call this one...Sixers playing much better as of late winning three straight games in very low scoring fashion. Pacers going completely against the grain putting up 106 per game in their last six games against pretty decent defenses. First meeting hit 180, and based on the recent play of the Sixers, I would tend to believe this one will be a little bit lower, but right now it's just too tough to call.
Initial lean in this one would be for the Knicks. They swept through their home stand, and now head out on the road for two very winnable games. Only hesitation is how well the Wizards have played at home...but the alternative argument to that is that the refs in this game are generally not home friendly. Total seems about right, but right now I'm leaning towards the Knicks.
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New York vs. Washington -
Initial lean in this one would be for the Knicks. They swept through their home stand, and now head out on the road for two very winnable games. Only hesitation is how well the Wizards have played at home...but the alternative argument to that is that the refs in this game are generally not home friendly. Total seems about right, but right now I'm leaning towards the Knicks.
Big lean towards the Magic in this one. What is the reasoning behind the Clippers right now besides "they're due". They have a look ahead to the Heat and Knicks coming up this weekend...they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. Their offense is down 7 points per game without Chris Paul. I would be surprised if Blake Griffin plays this game. Just take off one more night, hope CP3 and Blake come back strong on Friday Night against the Heat.
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LA Clippers vs. Orlando -
Big lean towards the Magic in this one. What is the reasoning behind the Clippers right now besides "they're due". They have a look ahead to the Heat and Knicks coming up this weekend...they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. Their offense is down 7 points per game without Chris Paul. I would be surprised if Blake Griffin plays this game. Just take off one more night, hope CP3 and Blake come back strong on Friday Night against the Heat.
Initial lean towards the UNDER. Total seems a little high to me, figured it would be in the high 190's. First total hit 210 behind 50% shooting for the Cavs and a ton of free throws from both teams. Gotta figure that doesn't happen again tonight. Charlotte only putting up 91.3 ppg in their last 10 games...Cavs with 3 days off after the great win against the Thunder, probably some rust/lack of enthusiasm.
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Charlotte vs. Cleveland -
Initial lean towards the UNDER. Total seems a little high to me, figured it would be in the high 190's. First total hit 210 behind 50% shooting for the Cavs and a ton of free throws from both teams. Gotta figure that doesn't happen again tonight. Charlotte only putting up 91.3 ppg in their last 10 games...Cavs with 3 days off after the great win against the Thunder, probably some rust/lack of enthusiasm.
Strong lean towards the Hawks here, which worries me because I'm terrible at predicting this team. Grizzlies are clearly going downhill fast after trading Rudy G. If the Hawks are to win this game, then you would also have to lean towards the UNDER as well...Grizzlies offense has gone sour as well and it's tough to see them getting up above 90 points...too close to call on that one.
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Memphis vs. Atlanta -
Strong lean towards the Hawks here, which worries me because I'm terrible at predicting this team. Grizzlies are clearly going downhill fast after trading Rudy G. If the Hawks are to win this game, then you would also have to lean towards the UNDER as well...Grizzlies offense has gone sour as well and it's tough to see them getting up above 90 points...too close to call on that one.
First glance tells me this line is just a bit too high. I can see the Heat winning after the crazy game last night for the Rockets...but can they finally find some consistency in covering? Win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss in their last 8 games. Another factor in this one is that the Heat will look past this game to the upcoming battles with the Clippers and the Lakers. Total seems dead on to me.
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Houston vs. Miami -
First glance tells me this line is just a bit too high. I can see the Heat winning after the crazy game last night for the Rockets...but can they finally find some consistency in covering? Win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss in their last 8 games. Another factor in this one is that the Heat will look past this game to the upcoming battles with the Clippers and the Lakers. Total seems dead on to me.
Could be the fade the public play of the day here. If the Nets can't get up for a game at home against the Lakers, what are the odds they get up for a road game in Detroit the next night? Would also be leaning a little bit towards the UNDER here, as the first battle between these two went high. Difficult thing is that if the Pistons win, it generally means they score over 100 points, which would lean towards the over.
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Brooklyn vs. Detroit -
Could be the fade the public play of the day here. If the Nets can't get up for a game at home against the Lakers, what are the odds they get up for a road game in Detroit the next night? Would also be leaning a little bit towards the UNDER here, as the first battle between these two went high. Difficult thing is that if the Pistons win, it generally means they score over 100 points, which would lean towards the over.
I capped this one out at about 2 or 3 point favorites for the Hornets...and they are at 7? After coming off a long road trip? Having to leave after the game for another road trip? After giving up 111 points per game in their last four games? Against a team that just won last night against Memphis? Hornets might win this game, but I would highly doubt it's by a big margin. Strong lean towards PHOENIX
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Phoenix vs New Orleans -
I capped this one out at about 2 or 3 point favorites for the Hornets...and they are at 7? After coming off a long road trip? Having to leave after the game for another road trip? After giving up 111 points per game in their last four games? Against a team that just won last night against Memphis? Hornets might win this game, but I would highly doubt it's by a big margin. Strong lean towards PHOENIX
Look into the 1Q or 1H play for Phoenix. Lately it seems they come out strong and fall apart after half, especially on the road. But they tend to do pretty solid in the first half and first quarter, they are actually one of my favorite teams to take in 1Q. (Especially since they are always getting points, usually 2-2.5, in the 1Q.)
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Look into the 1Q or 1H play for Phoenix. Lately it seems they come out strong and fall apart after half, especially on the road. But they tend to do pretty solid in the first half and first quarter, they are actually one of my favorite teams to take in 1Q. (Especially since they are always getting points, usually 2-2.5, in the 1Q.)
Best game of the night, and also the toughest to cap. After getting blown away by the Rockets last night, one would assume that coming into this one against the Thunder, the Warriors stand little chance. However, the Thunder have been terribly inconsistent over their past 10 games with my favorite win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win. Should break that tonight and get a winning streak going strong. Could definitely see a late game cover in this one for the road team...total seems dead on since the first game hit 228 and the second was at 203...split the difference and it's at 215...too close to call.
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Golden State vs. Oklahoma City -
Best game of the night, and also the toughest to cap. After getting blown away by the Rockets last night, one would assume that coming into this one against the Thunder, the Warriors stand little chance. However, the Thunder have been terribly inconsistent over their past 10 games with my favorite win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win. Should break that tonight and get a winning streak going strong. Could definitely see a late game cover in this one for the road team...total seems dead on since the first game hit 228 and the second was at 203...split the difference and it's at 215...too close to call.
Look into the 1Q or 1H play for Phoenix. Lately it seems they come out strong and fall apart after half, especially on the road. But they tend to do pretty solid in the first half and first quarter, they are actually one of my favorite teams to take in 1Q. (Especially since they are always getting points, usually 2-2.5, in the 1Q.)
Great information...Suns have only trailed after the 1st quarter in 2 of their last 10 games.
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Quote Originally Posted by ChasingTheOdds:
Look into the 1Q or 1H play for Phoenix. Lately it seems they come out strong and fall apart after half, especially on the road. But they tend to do pretty solid in the first half and first quarter, they are actually one of my favorite teams to take in 1Q. (Especially since they are always getting points, usually 2-2.5, in the 1Q.)
Great information...Suns have only trailed after the 1st quarter in 2 of their last 10 games.
Capped this game at Mavericks -5 to 7 and total at 200. Surprised that at most places a majority of the bettors are on the Mavericks in this one after their last game. If anything right now, I'm leaning hard towards the UNDER because of the pace of the first two matchups between these teams. Mavericks coming off a good sized road trip as well...might need some home cookin to get back their offensive groove.
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Portland vs. Dallas -
Capped this game at Mavericks -5 to 7 and total at 200. Surprised that at most places a majority of the bettors are on the Mavericks in this one after their last game. If anything right now, I'm leaning hard towards the UNDER because of the pace of the first two matchups between these teams. Mavericks coming off a good sized road trip as well...might need some home cookin to get back their offensive groove.
Spurs have won ten straight games, Wolves have lost 8 of 10...capped it out at 8-9 point favorites for the Spurs and the total at 204. Then I saw one thing...and it really might be the only thing that matters in this game. Joey Crawford is the ref. Spurs have no shot.
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San Antonio vs. Minnesota -
Spurs have won ten straight games, Wolves have lost 8 of 10...capped it out at 8-9 point favorites for the Spurs and the total at 204. Then I saw one thing...and it really might be the only thing that matters in this game. Joey Crawford is the ref. Spurs have no shot.
Initial lean is big time towards the OVER in this one. No Larry Sanders for the Bucks means limited defense in the paint. First matchup was extremely low with only 158 points. 21% shooting from the Bucks starters if you eliminate Drew Gooden down low. 2 for 21 from 3. Milwaukee will want to get out and run, and I think the Jazz will follow suit.
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Milwaukee vs. Utah -
Initial lean is big time towards the OVER in this one. No Larry Sanders for the Bucks means limited defense in the paint. First matchup was extremely low with only 158 points. 21% shooting from the Bucks starters if you eliminate Drew Gooden down low. 2 for 21 from 3. Milwaukee will want to get out and run, and I think the Jazz will follow suit.
Damn mobile, what are your thoughts with the Pacers playing 3-games in a row? I have a feeling they feel the effect of fatigue after going hard on two tough/grinding team in hawks/bulls and now they have to run with the 76ers.
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Damn mobile, what are your thoughts with the Pacers playing 3-games in a row? I have a feeling they feel the effect of fatigue after going hard on two tough/grinding team in hawks/bulls and now they have to run with the 76ers.
Easiest game to cap is Utah. Milwaukee just blew a huge lead and tanked in the 4Q against the Nuggets last night. Might felt the thin air and fatigue there. Not much a difference coming into this game. B2B games for teams coming into Utah usually get smoked and blown away. Plus the let down for letting that game slipped away last night. All pointing to Utah.
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Easiest game to cap is Utah. Milwaukee just blew a huge lead and tanked in the 4Q against the Nuggets last night. Might felt the thin air and fatigue there. Not much a difference coming into this game. B2B games for teams coming into Utah usually get smoked and blown away. Plus the let down for letting that game slipped away last night. All pointing to Utah.
Reverse line movement play of the day. No Paul, no Griffin. Clippers in a free fall...and it's looking like they are holding guys out until the big matchup against the Heat on Friday night. I just see no reason why they will come out in this game and give full effort and want to dominate a weaker team. Tough to back the Magic in any situation after putting up 61 points against the Sixers, but the line is just absolutely screaming right now.
Prediction: Magic 93 Clippers 90
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Orlando Magic +5.5 (1.1 to win 1)
Reverse line movement play of the day. No Paul, no Griffin. Clippers in a free fall...and it's looking like they are holding guys out until the big matchup against the Heat on Friday night. I just see no reason why they will come out in this game and give full effort and want to dominate a weaker team. Tough to back the Magic in any situation after putting up 61 points against the Sixers, but the line is just absolutely screaming right now.
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