I`m surprised to see how much love the Celtics are getting from the betting public and sharps alike in Game 1 of the Finals. The Lakers are considerable favorites as far as the series price goes, and I expect them to get off on the right foot on Thursday night.
The Celtics haven't been a great ATS team in these playoffs by any stretch of the imagination. They're just 8-12 ATS entering Thursday's contest. Going back to Game 3 of their Eastern semi-final against the Cavs, they're 3-8 ATS over their last 11 games. Home court dictates them being favored in Game 1, but I feel the Lakers are the more confident, and most importantly, balanced team in this matchup.
All things considered, perhaps no team has played as well on the road as the Lakers this season. Thanks to a late season push, they've compiled a 31-17 SU record to go along with a 31-15-2 ATS mark. As an underdog of 4.5 points or less, they're 10-2 ATS in their last 12 opportunities. They're 3-1-1 ATS as an underdog in the playoffs.
While the Lakers have excelled in the current price range, the Celtics have been the polar opposite. This is a long-term trend, but they're 19-39 ATS in their last 58 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. That's not to mention their 0-6 ATS record following an ATS victory in these playoffs, as is the case here.
So as you can see, at first glance it may look like betting suicide to back the Lakers in what amounts to a SU win situation in Boston, where the Celtics have lost only seven times. But a closer look indicates that the Purple and Gold are more than capable of pulling the upset, and I use that term loosely
gl
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I`m surprised to see how much love the Celtics are getting from the betting public and sharps alike in Game 1 of the Finals. The Lakers are considerable favorites as far as the series price goes, and I expect them to get off on the right foot on Thursday night.
The Celtics haven't been a great ATS team in these playoffs by any stretch of the imagination. They're just 8-12 ATS entering Thursday's contest. Going back to Game 3 of their Eastern semi-final against the Cavs, they're 3-8 ATS over their last 11 games. Home court dictates them being favored in Game 1, but I feel the Lakers are the more confident, and most importantly, balanced team in this matchup.
All things considered, perhaps no team has played as well on the road as the Lakers this season. Thanks to a late season push, they've compiled a 31-17 SU record to go along with a 31-15-2 ATS mark. As an underdog of 4.5 points or less, they're 10-2 ATS in their last 12 opportunities. They're 3-1-1 ATS as an underdog in the playoffs.
While the Lakers have excelled in the current price range, the Celtics have been the polar opposite. This is a long-term trend, but they're 19-39 ATS in their last 58 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. That's not to mention their 0-6 ATS record following an ATS victory in these playoffs, as is the case here.
So as you can see, at first glance it may look like betting suicide to back the Lakers in what amounts to a SU win situation in Boston, where the Celtics have lost only seven times. But a closer look indicates that the Purple and Gold are more than capable of pulling the upset, and I use that term loosely
gl
Sry buddy. WE are on opps...Did you forget the Celtics beat LA BOTH times this year, AT LA and at HOME? Once, even with Andrew Bynum healthy...when he was playing very well...Boston in 7.
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Sry buddy. WE are on opps...Did you forget the Celtics beat LA BOTH times this year, AT LA and at HOME? Once, even with Andrew Bynum healthy...when he was playing very well...Boston in 7.
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