LOW POST: Celtics @ Heat

Question

LOW POST: Celtics @ Heat (Honey Do)Back by popular demand...lol.I have some time today so I will write this one up. I got down on the Celtics &#x2B;10 tonight. I am playing them for a number of reasons, one being that Miami just returned home from a road trip that began back on January 7. Historically, the Heat are 7-19 in their first home game following a road trip 7 days or longer.This road trip &#x2B; tonights game will end a 5 game in 7 night(s) span for the Heat and will serve as a historically brutal situation for basketball teams, especially favorites.This unattractive record, is typical for every type of sports team that comes  off a long road trip. In fact, these games are so have been so historically bad for home teams that oddsmakers and, even the players, refer to it as a "honey do" game. Honey Do basically is old phrase that refers to a list of tasks (written on paper) that are attached to a door by a wife who&#x27;s husband has been gone for longer then a week. (1) Fix the light, wash the car, mow the lawn...etc. Of course the letter obviously starts with "Honey, now that your home can you do ..."Though this old fashioned list probably wasn&#x27;t stapled to the gate of LeBron James Mansion last night... you would be surprised the stuff even these guys have to do to readjust, just like us normal people, when they get home from a long trip. Much less regimented then hotel life. In addition to the honey Do factor.... Miami has a knack for stepping it up for big games and a curiously similar knack for stepping down for less important games. This season the Heat are sporting a SU record of 10-15 versus teams under .500 and at home are just 4-6 SU against sub .500 teams. So I factor Miami first home game angle and then add (&#x2B;) their lack of interest in "non-big games) and I get (=) a Miami flat performance.I think on the flip side the Celtics will come in with a chip on their shoulder as they could/should have beat the Heat earlier in the season but lost on a buzzer beater. The Celtic&#x27;s actually are finding themselves with Rondo&#x27;s return. The return of Rondo for Boston (even though he will be limited to about 25 mins) will be a major difference for the celtics they didn&#x27;t have before. Also, Boston recent run of losses, do not include Rondo as he has just returned a few games ago in a time the Celtic&#x27;s look vastly improved. In addition the Celtics have given Jarred Sullinger a longer leash and he has been taking advantage and playing well. He is helped greatly by Humphries, who can steady the ship and produce on offense and defense.Tonight, since Bayless can&#x27;t go for Boston, I expect the game to be slower and lower. I think the Celtics go into the paint and try to use the big fellas, this because the speed of Bayless is gone, so it would suit their chances best. Miami&#x27;s Bosh just logged a ton of minutes last night and has burdened more then his share the past couple weeks with Birdman in and out of the line-up. Tonight Miami will do what they always do in this spot...and that is the bare minimum...but I think the Celtics are coming in swinging. Always take the team with more heart, especially &#x2B;10.Play the Celtics &#x2B;10 Good Luck!

m15525 · Answer

LOW POST: Celtics @ Heat (Honey Do)Back by popular demand...lol.I have some time today so I will write this one up. I got down on the Celtics &#x2B;10 tonight. I am playing them for a number of reasons, one being that Miami just returned home from a road trip that began back on January 7. Historically, the Heat are 7-19 in their first home game following a road trip 7 days or longer.This road trip &#x2B; tonights game will end a 5 game in 7 night(s) span for the Heat and will serve as a historically brutal situation for basketball teams, especially favorites.This unattractive record, is typical for every type of sports team that comes  off a long road trip. In fact, these games are so have been so historically bad for home teams that oddsmakers and, even the players, refer to it as a "honey do" game. Honey Do basically is old phrase that refers to a list of tasks (written on paper) that are attached to a door by a wife who&#x27;s husband has been gone for longer then a week. (1) Fix the light, wash the car, mow the lawn...etc. Of course the letter obviously starts with "Honey, now that your home can you do ..."Though this old fashioned list probably wasn&#x27;t stapled to the gate of LeBron James Mansion last night... you would be surprised the stuff even these guys have to do to readjust, just like us normal people, when they get home from a long trip. Much less regimented then hotel life. In addition to the honey Do factor.... Miami has a knack for stepping it up for big games and a curiously similar knack for stepping down for less important games. This season the Heat are sporting a SU record of 10-15 versus teams under .500 and at home are just 4-6 SU against sub .500 teams. So I factor Miami first home game angle and then add (&#x2B;) their lack of interest in "non-big games) and I get (=) a Miami flat performance.I think on the flip side the Celtics will come in with a chip on their shoulder as they could/should have beat the Heat earlier in the season but lost on a buzzer beater. The Celtic&#x27;s actually are finding themselves with Rondo&#x27;s return. The return of Rondo for Boston (even though he will be limited to about 25 mins) will be a major difference for the celtics they didn&#x27;t have before. Also, Boston recent run of losses, do not include Rondo as he has just returned a few games ago in a time the Celtic&#x27;s look vastly improved. In addition the Celtics have given Jarred Sullinger a longer leash and he has been taking advantage and playing well. He is helped greatly by Humphries, who can steady the ship and produce on offense and defense.Tonight, since Bayless can&#x27;t go for Boston, I expect the game to be slower and lower. I think the Celtics go into the paint and try to use the big fellas, this because the speed of Bayless is gone, so it would suit their chances best. Miami&#x27;s Bosh just logged a ton of minutes last night and has burdened more then his share the past couple weeks with Birdman in and out of the line-up. Tonight Miami will do what they always do in this spot...and that is the bare minimum...but I think the Celtics are coming in swinging. Always take the team with more heart, especially &#x2B;10.Play the Celtics &#x2B;10 Good Luck!

glewis461 · Answer

Like it.  BOL.

m15525 · Answer

My apologies I cut and pasted...... "on the flip side the Celtics will come in with a chip on their shoulder as they could/should have beat the Heat earlier in the season but lost on a buzzer beater." directly from my notes, but I deleted it my notes but it git pasted to the write-up. I know Boston won that game earlier. The play here is still the same .

kimoinsd808 · Answer

Boston DID beat the Heat earlier in the season on Jeff Green&#x27;s buzzer beater.

m15525 · Answer

Yep, read my second post on this thread

SeoulCapper · Answer

I like it. If the Heat had covered the game at Atl, I would probably have liked this play more. Although I fully understand what you are trying to say, I am kind of worried that the Heat hate the Celtics and after a loss at Atl, there is a possibility that the Heat are more motivated than usual. Yes, maybe the Heat don&#39;t care as the Celtics are horrible this season, but the Celtics are still Celtics, and the Heat MIGHT want to take extra care of them. I don&#39;t know. I will probably stay away, but good luck and thanks for Houston last night and great write-up.

SeoulCapper · Answer

Oh, I forgot to add the following. Keep writing on this forum. I want more of yours. Very informative and insightful. Thanks.

m15525 · Answer

Sort of disagree, the Celtics are a totally different team with Rondo.

nicfrost81 · Answer

I got a gut feeling miami comes out swinging but i love the humphries bosh mismatch. I took first q over 50 i really think it gets over. Good luck all

Theone324 · Answer

gl bud, wasnt going to play anything tonight but I will blindly tail

kimoinsd808 · Answer

We must&#x27;ve been typing at the same time. Lol. My commented  posted 30 seconds after yours.I got Celts ML &#x2B;450. Apparently Wade not playing tonight.

t6rider · Answer

Love it. The Miami Heat are also (0-12) ATS last two full seasons, when returning home from a road trip of 2&#x2B; games.

t6rider · Answer

Sorry that was basically what you already said. My bad.

insatiable · Answer

Good luck buddy

m15525 · Answer

Never blindly tail anyone

stevenp · Answer

ironically, that&#x27;s the miami revenge angle which you didn&#x27;&#x27;t address.  i&#x27;m on boston with my fingers and toes crossed.  we got d wade out!

m15525 · Answer

sorry I neglected my thread here...dealing with the snow in the driveway

m15525 · Answer

coming in for a landing

m15525 · Answer

cover or not....my handicap of the Heat&#x27;s play tonight was spot on match....lack of interest &amp; they did bare minimum to win.

janesl36 · Answer

Nice job, thx

m15525 · Answer

Celtic 86         Heat  93

HugeLetDown · Answer

Good call. Played it as well.

m15525 · Answer

Happy to pick up a $ 1G tonight and also another last night for the Rockets

LOW POST: Celtics @ Heat

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